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While tech/XLK is #3 from the last, look at what is now hidden in consumer-discretionary/XLY (33.67% in AMZN, TSLA) and communications-telecom/XLC (42.41% in META, GOOGL/GOOG, NFLX) ?
So, ALL of the original FANG are now not even in the tech.
Investors should consider equal-weight indexes/ETFs for sectors.
Invested in CDs, after selling all my investments in March of 2022. CDs and MMs saved my bacon, providing nice predictable total return, via low risk income streams. For a retired investor, focused on preservation of principal, I have ended the year with a positive total return year, and sufficient profit to cover my RMDs.
Barring a huge plus or minus in the stock market in the last couple days of the year, I'll end the year over all somewhere around -11.5%. Better than my Fidelity and TRP benchmarks by a few percent, but that's of little solitude.
I will say, all my tinkering around the edges ended up being just a feel-good process making me think I was adding value. I guess my "helped and hurt" interaction cancelled each other out I come to that conclusion because 1/2 my money is in a Schwab robo and 1/2 I self-manage. Both portfolios are pretty much neck and neck at the finish line, the robo probably a few 10ths of a percent better.
The good news, at least I didn't screw things up to bad
Financials sucked it like a Hoover. I have half a mind to close-out PRISX and redeploy my mutual fund- financials stake into a contrarian play which actually performed excellently in 2022: single-stock BHB. Bar Harbor Bank. Maine. But not quite ALL. Itching also to start a position in CMTV. Community Bank, northern Vermont. I'm drawn to the regional banks. Fortune has smiled on my choices. Best performer this year in my own portfolio was NHYDY. It beat out BHB by a hair. (Personal cost basis and rate of return, NOT the overall published performance numbers.) Best performer among my funds: PRFDX.
Global multi sector etf's for an overview. The page is dated Dec.30, 2022; and the link is as of 8pm, EST, but all etf's may not be fully updated for the U.S. market close, but the 52 week will provide a decent, close enough view of performance for a YTD. You may click the 52W to sort that column for performance by percentage, negative or positive rankings.
There is lots of red in that chart - not much helped in 2022! Hopefully, 2023 will be a better year for investors.
While the historical contexts are very different, I can’t help thinking on the last day of the trading year of Whitman’s opening lines in “O’Captain”:
”O Captain! my Captain! our fearful trip is done, The ship has weather’d every rack, the prize we sought is won …”
A year when very little worked. Our best laid investment schemes wracked by escalating war in Europe and resultant shortages, transient inflation that wasn’t and a Fed seemingly hell-bent on pushing the economy into recession. Wishing all a smoother voyage in 2023.
Healthcare lost me less money than anything else (BHCFX and XLV with a few health-related individual stocks). TIAA Traditional and TIAA Real Estate made money.
What worked? For much of the year, managed futures and short stocks (especially the Nasdaq) and junk bonds. Also BTAL, a short high-beta, long low-beta U.S. stock etf that did pretty well, but I only discovered it too late in the year to make much difference.
Best portfolio performance enhancer: exchanging DODIX for stable value fund in late 2021. Worst portfolio performance detractor: holding VWILX in 2022 (-30.79% return).
My portfolio consisted of ~70% stocks and ~30% bonds/cash at the start of 2022. Here are the 2022 Personal Rates of Return according to Vanguard and Fidelity. Accounts are listed in descending order based on their total value.
401k -8.02%
Taxable account #1 -8.50%
Roth IRA -17.10%
Taxable account #2 -13.11%
HSA Rate of Return info not available
My overall portfolio value (includes 401(k), Roth IRA, HSA contributions) declined 8.18% in 2022.
What worked was alternative funds. Had members exchanged their balanced funds either three years ago or just one year ago for REMIX, in the first instance, or PAEGX in the second, they would be crowing about their gains.
@LewisBraham was spot-on to point to PGAEX in June of '22 as a fund worth watching. That fund has made money for its entire short existence and with a very steady climb. BLNDX/REMIX was profiled by @DavidSnowball back in 2019 as an alternative fund that promised to deliver. It did so, but the ride was rough at certain junctures.
I did not get out of my balanced funds (JBALX, PRSIX, BRUFX) all at once or soon enough, so I did not see great gains from my REMIX stake. However, I do not have losses for 2022.
Many moves made in late 2021 that helped/distracted this year. 1. Sold all bond funds to stable value, CDs, T bills and money market (just as we need 529 fund for our kids in college) 2. Bought commodity futures and energy and sold half of it last month 3. Sold all EM funds and bought conservative value overseas funds 4. Rotated from growth to value funds as value lagged for so many years (sheer dumb luck). 5. Reduced loss with dividend growth funds 5. Alternatives were flat. 6. Precious metals were flat in light of high inflation. Bitcoins must attracted the $.
For the year, we have a negative single digit loss. Hopefully we are in good position to do better in 2023.
I like your idea for starting a new thread to discuss 2023 plans. I started this thread and am looking forward to responses from the MFO community. Link
The 2022 rates of return listed above were obtained directly from Vanguard/Fidelity for each account. I calculated total portfolio values after the last trading days of 2021 and 2022. My overall portfolio value decreased 8.18% when 401(k), Roth IRA, and HSA contributions were included. If these contributions were excluded, the decrease in value would have been greater (didn't calculate this result). The 401(k) account comprised 42.23% of the total portfolio. I hope this answers your question...
Thanks for your reply @Observant1 . Did you add addition money to these accounts during 2022 ? I'm guessing you did. I know I added to two separate accounts & will have to subtract those amounts from 2022 closing balance. Have a good week, Derf
One more: UUP, the U.S. $ long etf, was in fairly steady climb mode for most of the year, although that's no longer the case ... for now. It was one of the positive contributors in my port for 2022 as a whole.
Comments
So, ALL of the original FANG are now not even in the tech.
Investors should consider equal-weight indexes/ETFs for sectors.
Happy New Year YBB, Derf
Barring a huge plus or minus in the stock market in the last couple days of the year, I'll end the year over all somewhere around -11.5%. Better than my Fidelity and TRP benchmarks by a few percent, but that's of little solitude.
I will say, all my tinkering around the edges ended up being just a feel-good process making me think I was adding value. I guess my "helped and hurt" interaction cancelled each other out
The good news, at least I didn't screw things up to bad
Happy New Year, Derf
Hopefully, 2023 will be a better year for investors.
”O Captain! my Captain! our fearful trip is done,
The ship has weather’d every rack, the prize we sought is won …”
A year when very little worked. Our best laid investment schemes wracked by escalating war in Europe and resultant shortages, transient inflation that wasn’t and a Fed seemingly hell-bent on pushing the economy into recession. Wishing all a smoother voyage in 2023.
Worst portfolio performance detractor: holding VWILX in 2022 (-30.79% return).
My portfolio consisted of ~70% stocks and ~30% bonds/cash at the start of 2022.
Here are the 2022 Personal Rates of Return according to Vanguard and Fidelity.
Accounts are listed in descending order based on their total value.
401k
-8.02%
Taxable account #1
-8.50%
Roth IRA
-17.10%
Taxable account #2
-13.11%
HSA
Rate of Return info not available
My overall portfolio value (includes 401(k), Roth IRA, HSA contributions) declined 8.18% in 2022.
@LewisBraham was spot-on to point to PGAEX in June of '22 as a fund worth watching. That fund has made money for its entire short existence and with a very steady climb. BLNDX/REMIX was profiled by @DavidSnowball back in 2019 as an alternative fund that promised to deliver. It did so, but the ride was rough at certain junctures.
I did not get out of my balanced funds (JBALX, PRSIX, BRUFX) all at once or soon enough, so I did not see great gains from my REMIX stake. However, I do not have losses for 2022.
1. Sold all bond funds to stable value, CDs, T bills and money market (just as we need 529 fund for our kids in college)
2. Bought commodity futures and energy and sold half of it last month
3. Sold all EM funds and bought conservative value overseas funds
4. Rotated from growth to value funds as value lagged for so many years (sheer dumb luck).
5. Reduced loss with dividend growth funds
5. Alternatives were flat.
6. Precious metals were flat in light of high inflation. Bitcoins must attracted the $.
For the year, we have a negative single digit loss. Hopefully we are in good position to do better in 2023.
Congratulations, you made some good moves for 2022!
Let's hope that 2023 will be a better year for investors.
I like your idea for starting a new thread to discuss 2023 plans.
I started this thread and am looking forward to responses from the MFO community.
Link
"401k
-8.02%
Taxable account #1
-8.50%
Roth IRA
-17.10%
Taxable account #2
-13.11% "
It would appear you had 96% of assets in 401-k & 1% in the other 3 accounts.
What is it that I'm missing .
The 2022 rates of return listed above were obtained directly from Vanguard/Fidelity for each account.
I calculated total portfolio values after the last trading days of 2021 and 2022.
My overall portfolio value decreased 8.18% when 401(k), Roth IRA, and HSA contributions were included.
If these contributions were excluded, the decrease in value would have been greater (didn't calculate this result).
The 401(k) account comprised 42.23% of the total portfolio.
I hope this answers your question...
Have a good week, Derf