Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • A lot of red today
    The issue in the trials was safety of the vaccine generally. One of the purposes of phase 3 clinical trials is to test the safety of pharmaceuticals in a broad population sample. Each trial was paused to allow the companies to determine whether an illness was due to effects of the vaccine.
    https://www.statnews.com/2020/10/13/covid-19-clinical-trials-pauses-at-jj-and-eli-lilly-could-be-bumps-on-a-hard-road-or-mere-blips/
    Since these pauses occurred almost a week ago, I doubt that they were a reason for today's declines, especially since the markets opened on the upside and didn't go negative until 10:30 or so.
    Mass manufacturing and distribution has its own set of issues. Followup data from post- trial inoculations will be needed to show that manufacturing was safe and that over time a vaccine remains effective. See, e.g. the Cutter Incident.
    https://www.cdc.gov/vaccinesafety/concerns/concerns-history.html
    Monday's market:
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/markets/2020/10/19/dow-stocks-fall-hopes-new-covid-19-stimulus-fade/5984119002/
  • Maximal Drawdowns
    MAXDD is a monthly number and why VCOBX is only at -0.8%. Use 03/01-04/1. See this (link).
  • FPA Capital/Queens Road Small Cap Value Funds registration filing (combination)
    FPPTX has been a laggard for years since Robert Rodriguez left managing the fund. Only good news was I was able to get in the fund while Bob was still managing the fund (and pay a load) before it closed for the last time.
    Also, the asset base of FPPTX is nearly double that of QRSVX. There should be a sizeable capital gain loss remaining for a little while after the funds merge.
  • FPA Capital/Queens Road Small Cap Value Funds registration filing (combination)
    Passing on the loss is a plus; the problem is that while this is a loss existing shareholders have "earned", they now have to share that benefit with other shareholders. Their benefit (an embedded capital loss) is getting diluted. Were the fund not to be acquired, or were the fund to have offsetting gains, then all the losses would stay with the existing shareholders.
  • FPA Capital/Queens Road Small Cap Value Funds registration filing (combination)
    The "combo" actually is just the proxy that incorporates the registration (prospectus) by reference. It does contain links to the prospectuses on p. F-13 (near the bottom of the file Shadow linked to).
    Here's the link to the acquiring fund's (Queens Road Small Value Fund's) new prospectus:
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1170611/000139834420019562/fp0058114_497.htm
    Tax issue, from the proxy statement:
    "Any sales by the Target Fund [FPA Capital], including those made in anticipation of the Reorganization, of portfolio holdings prior to the Reorganization may generate capital gains that are expected to be distributed to shareholders prior to the Reorganization, which distribution may be taxable to shareholders." (p. 4)
    "Because there are differences in the Funds’ principal investment strategies, if the Reorganization is approved by shareholders of the Target Fund, it is anticipated that substantially all of the investments held by the Target Fund will have to be sold prior to the Reorganization and reinvested in accordance with the investment strategies of the Acquiring Fund." (p. F-14)
    M* reports a negative 17% cap gains exposure in FPPTX, so in theory this should not be a problem. The downside of having capital losses is that they will be carried over (I think) to the merged fund and thus apportioned among a larger base of shareholders.
  • The Best Taxable-Bond Funds -- M*
    Could you cite sources and explain your thinking? I've occasionally sold, or declined to buy, funds because I fundamentally disagreed with the manager's approach. But when investing in actively managed funds I generally take the view that I'm buying certain expertise and philosophy and rarely second guess changes.
    M* calculates the weighted average credit rating of the fund's holdings (based on Sept. 30th portfolio) to be "A". M*'s methodology is not a simple average, but a weighting based on default probabilities. This gives more weight to lower graded bonds. So if anything, M*'s calculation tends to give funds lower credit ratings than the funds would appear to merit.
    Of 126 distinct core plus funds for which M* reports credit ratings, it rates only 3 at AA and 19 at A, including DODIX. The remaining 104 are rated BBB or BB (mostly BBB). There are 28 unrated funds.
    M* reports average duration for 122 distinct core plus funds. While DODIX's 4.8 years is not near the bottom numerically (there are a few very short duration funds), it is 21st lowest (3 way tie), i.e. in the quintile of shortest durations.
    These figures raise the broader question: do you want to own any core plus fund? The comment, "I want them to be boring" suggests the answer is no. Not because DODIX is making changes that you currently disagree with, but because this is what actively managed funds generally, and core plus bonds specifically, tend to do.
    My approach with actively managed bond funds is that I don't want them to be boring. That's what index funds are for. If I'm paying for active management, I want to see the managers take advantage of a variety of opportunities - in sectors, in quality, in yield curves, in economic cycles, etc. Different strokes for different folks.
    Regarding the last (semi) annual report, the fund did open a new position in Exxon Mobile (sic). However, that was presented as one of sixteen new positions that represented a variety of sectors. The securities were selected individually and not based on sector. Likewise, the 2019 annual statement "highlighted ... the additions of AbbVie, Occidental Petroleum, UniCredit, and Vodafone Group over the course of the year."
    That said, a closer look at the June 2020 and Dec 2019 statements does show a significant increase in energy debt, e.g. Petroleo Brasileiro SA and Petroleos Mexicanos among others.
  • FPA Capital/Queens Road Small Cap Value Funds registration filing (combination)
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1170611/000110465920114615/a20-32694_1n14.htm
    Excerpt from filing:
    It is proposed that this filing will become effective on November 13, 2020, pursuant to Rule 488 under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended.
  • Rethinking Retirement
    Great comments.
    Retirement continues to be good after 15 years. Actively putting attention into maintaining good health makes sense to me as does accepting the aging process as it inevitably occurs. Being close to relatives makes sense in our situation (in some situations it doesn't!). Financially, maintaining a balance between current enjoyment and set asides for the future continues to make sense to me. My simple minded approach for about a decade has been to release income (including some long term gains) from investment accounts to our household account each year. Remaining portfolio balances continue to be set aside for growth, for potential use in extreme emergencies, and for assisting relatives if needed. Any remaining balances will eventually be distributed to heirs and to non-profits.
    As my 70th birthday approached last year, I decided to somewhat increase the income being generated by the portfolio for release by beginning to move 25% of the OEF/ETF portfolio balance to a newly created high yield portfolio (an @Junkster thought process led to this decision). That process was recently completed. The new portfolio has been populated with higher yielding stocks (3%+ yields at time of purchase), cefs, bdcs, reits, and commercial mreits. Time will tell if this exercise has been helpful or not!
    Income released to the household is used for a variety of general purposes. What remains is mostly used for travel. Unfortunately, an early March return from Hawaii heralded the end to this year's travel. Summer travel plans got cancelled or mothballed. Also, the month in Hawaii scheduled for this coming winter will probably get cancelled soon.
    Trips since the pandemic hit have centered around getaways most weeks to our nearby beach cabin (having that has proved to be a real blessing this year). My hope is that a relatively effective vaccine will be fairly widely distributed by next summer. Once that happens, I am hopeful travel risk will be reduced enough that somewhat more normal travel can resume. I am not getting any younger!
    After thought: Alway remember life is short! Don't take any day for granted! My wife recently mentioned she could count 19 friends, co-volunteers of hers at the American Legion, and relatives who have passed away during the past year. (We just visited a friend at the coast yesterday who lost his wife to liver cancer during the past month. She was about our age and appeared to be in good health when we last visited them during the winter. The problem was only recently discovered.)
  • SEC Probes Small Bond Trades That Lead to Big Returns ‘Odd lot’ buying in mortgage portfolios -WSJ
    Not sure if the following is referenced behind the WSJ paywall, but several years ago, PIMCO was 'caught' by the SEC doing the same thing with its bond fund ETF::
    PIMCO Settles Charges of Misleading Investors About ETF Performance
    https://www.sec.gov/news/pressrelease/2016-252.html
    Reuters version
    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-pimco-sec/pimco-to-pay-20-million-over-misleading-investors-about-etf-performance-idUSKBN13Q5WZ
    And Semper Capital was tripped up by the same thing earlier this year.
    Barrons:SEC Accuses Mortgage Fund of Overstating Its Returns
    https://www.barrons.com/articles/sec-accuses-mortgage-fund-of-overstating-its-returns-51588272533
  • Fund Spy: Top HSA Providers of 2020
    Fidelity continues to stand out as the best HSA for investing
    More Here
  • Fixed income investing
    two hats, one personal and the other for a non-profit organization..Fiduciary concerns with the non-profit.....
    In an ideal world, you'd be able to get at least decent returns on CDs and bond funds. I too have researched VLAAX and think that's a great choice. Both stocks and bonds in that one. I understand the hesitancy about putting non-profit money into the Market. And there are no gov't guarantees. I'm thinking that you might need to be concerned more about either growth or yield. Or maybe you'd be happy with middling performance in both respects? DODIX comes to mind. Rock solid, over decades. Having a good year in 2020, if that's any kind of indicator. Its portfolio (per Morningstar) is about 90% investment-grade paper. Another hybrid which has not yet been mentioned is BRUFX. Only 15% turnover there. (PRWCX is closed.)
  • Rothko Emerging Markets Equity Fund to liquidate
    I wonder why Mondrian (financial parent of Rothko) started a second EM fund when it had been running MPEMX for several years. MPEMX is hardly a great fund, but it still managed to outperform the soon to be liquidated Rothko. Over RKEMX's lifetime (12/18/2018 to present, i.e. 10/15/2020), it returned a cumulative 2% (!), vs MPEMX's cumulative return of 19.46%. That in turn was a tad (2/3%) under the category average.
    I never really "got" Rothko. Mondrian is more to my liking. Though in art as in investing, what one prefers can be a matter of personal taste.

  • AST Goldman Sachs Global Income Portfolio to be reorganized
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/814679/000168386320013977/f7248d1.htm
    497 1 f7248d1.htm 497
    ADVANCED SERIES TRUST
    AST Goldman Sachs Global Income Portfolio
    Supplement dated October 16, 2020
    to the Currently Effective Summary Prospectus, Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information
    This supplement should be read in conjunction with the currently effective Advanced Series Trust (the Trust) Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information (SAI), and the Summary Prospectus for the AST Goldman Sachs Global Income Portfolio (the Portfolio or the Target Portfolio). The Portfolio discussed in this supplement may not be available under your variable contract. For more information about the portfolios available under your variable contract, please refer to your contract prospectus. Defined terms used herein and not otherwise defined shall have the meanings given to them in the Trust Prospectus and SAI.
    At a meeting of the shareholders of the Target Portfolio held on October 15, 2020, shareholders approved the reorganization (the Reorganization) of the Target Portfolio into the AST Wellington Management Global Bond Portfolio (the Acquiring Portfolio), each a series of the Trust. The Acquiring Portfolio will change its name to the "AST Global Bond Portfolio" on or about November 16, 2020.
    Pursuant to the Reorganization, the assets and liabilities of the Target Portfolio will be exchanged for shares of the Acquiring Portfolio, and Target Portfolio shareholders will become shareholders of the Acquiring Portfolio. No sales charges will be imposed in connection with the Reorganization. The Acquiring Portfolio shares to be received by Target Portfolio shareholders in the Reorganization will be equal in value to the Target Portfolio shares held by such shareholders immediately prior to the Reorganization. It is expected that the Reorganization will be completed on or about November 16, 2020.
    THIS SUPPLEMENT SHOULD BE READ AND RETAINED FOR FUTURE REFERENCE.
    826SUP2
  • Rothko Emerging Markets Equity Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1651872/000139834420020218/fp0058698_497.htm
    (RKEMX)
    GALLERY TRUST
    (the “Trust”)
    Rothko Emerging Markets Equity Fund
    (the “Fund”)
    Supplement dated October 16, 2020 to the Fund’s Summary Prospectus, dated June 25, 2020, and
    Statutory Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information (“SAI”),
    each dated March 1, 2020, as supplemented June 25, 2020
    This supplement provides new and additional information beyond that contained in the Summary Prospectus, Statutory Prospectus and SAI, and should be read in conjunction with the Summary Prospectus, Statutory Prospectus and SAI.
    The Board of Trustees of the Trust, at the recommendation of Rothko Investment Strategies, a division of Mondrian Investment Partners Limited (the “Adviser”), the investment adviser of the Fund, has approved a plan of liquidation providing for the liquidation of the Fund’s assets and the distribution of the net proceeds pro rata to the Fund’s shareholders. In connection therewith, the Fund is closed to new investments effective as of the Fund’s close of business on October 16, 2020. The Fund is expected to cease operations and liquidate on or about October 29, 2020 (the “Liquidation Date”). The Liquidation Date may be changed without notice at the discretion of the Trust’s officers.
    Prior to the Liquidation Date, shareholders may redeem (sell) their shares in the manner described in the “Purchase and Sale of Fund Shares” section of the Summary Prospectus and Statutory Prospectus. For those Fund shareholders that do not redeem (sell) their shares prior to the Liquidation Date, the Fund will distribute to each such shareholder, on or promptly after the Liquidation Date, a liquidating cash distribution equal in value to the shareholder’s interest in the net assets of the Fund as of the Liquidation Date.
    In anticipation of the liquidation of the Fund, the Adviser may manage the Fund in a manner intended to facilitate the Fund’s orderly liquidation, such as by holding cash or making investments in other highly liquid assets. As a result, during this time, all or a portion of the Fund may not be invested in a manner consistent with its stated investment strategies, which may prevent the Fund from achieving its investment objective.
    The liquidation distribution amount will include any accrued income and capital gains, will be treated as a payment in exchange for shares and will generally be a taxable event for shareholders investing through taxable accounts. You should consult your personal tax advisor concerning your particular tax situation. Shareholders remaining in the Fund on the Liquidation Date will not be charged any transaction fees by the Fund. However, the net asset value of the Fund on the Liquidation Date will reflect costs of liquidating the Fund.
    PLEASE RETAIN THIS SUPPLEMENT FOR FUTURE REFERENCE.
    MON-SK-007-0100
  • pump and dump and pump, last Feb
    Disgusting swamp goo.

    I agree. I wasn't in that meeting but I sold most of my portfolio(all bond funds) at the end of 02/2020 documented (
    here).
    But, the following (link) is also a disgusting swamp goo and we can call it Joe Quid pro quo.

    You obviously do not know and have not cared to find out that this is bullshit and has been known to be so for some time. Do I need to post cites? I mean, seriously, dude.

    Except now we have the PC hard drive with the emails or rather the repair guy does.
    I suppose "The Swamp" is in the eye of the beholder.
    GOP Senator Sasse certainly has his opinion of "The Swamp".
  • Capital Gains may get Capitalized on Soon
    “The fact is that we ought to start rewarding work, not just wealth,” Biden said in a February debate. He added that it’s “wrong” that billionaires pay lower rates on capital gains than employees do on their salaries.
    Bloomberg Article:
    https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-10-16/election-news-biden-win-could-change-the-way-rich-pay-taxes-on-investment-gains?srnd=premium
  • SEC Probes Small Bond Trades That Lead to Big Returns ‘Odd lot’ buying in mortgage portfolios -WSJ
    This is a WSJ October 12, 2020 article by Justin Baer which identifies AlphaCentric Income but also mentions some other possible funds: Semper MBS Total Return, Deer Park Total Return Credit Fund and Performance True Strategic Bond Fund.
    The article states how in each instance, the fund bought those mortgage securities in small “odd lots,” or increments of less than $1 million, according to a securities filing.
    The article mentions how odd lots often trade at a discount to larger, “round-lot” positions. Sometimes these discounts are not being applied buy rely on a third parties that use pricing on round lots on the same trading security.
    There is a pay wall -interesting article.
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/sec-probes-small-bond-trades-that-lead-to-big-returns-11602495001
    Can be viewed in inprivate window in Mozilla.
  • pump and dump and pump, last Feb
    Disgusting swamp goo.

    I agree. I wasn't in that meeting but I sold most of my portfolio(all bond funds) at the end of 02/2020 documented (
    here).
    But, the following (link) is also a disgusting swamp goo and we can call it Joe Quid pro quo.

    You obviously do not know and have not cared to find out that this is bullshit and has been known to be so for some time. Do I need to post cites? I mean, seriously, dude.
    Except now we have the PC hard drive with the emails or rather the repair guy does.
    I suppose "The Swamp" is in the eye of the beholder.
  • pump and dump and pump, last Feb
    Disgusting swamp goo.

    I agree. I wasn't in that meeting but I sold most of my portfolio(all bond funds) at the end of 02/2020 documented (
    here).
    But, the following (link) is also a disgusting swamp goo and we can call it Joe Quid pro quo.

    You obviously do not know and have not cared to find out that this is bullshit and has been known to be so for some time. Do I need to post cites? I mean, seriously, dude.