Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Fred: Of course, nothing is set in stone. I will always be dancing near the exit if the circumstances warrant it.
As usual, it's a very thoughtful way to invest, and the main key is stated well above.
Thank you, Mr. Hindsight.
Where is the hindsight?
The above phrase is from another poster on another site that has been wrong for about 15 years now. When he posted about his timing, it was a disaster.
I sold on 2/29/2020 and posted about it on seve…
OJ, not to worry, there have been many naysayers in the last 15 years.
In this (link) you can find several trades I made in crucial markets.
In fact, I posted my sale on 2/29/2020 on this site.
https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion…
but i'll only expound on that after they go up.
ok, enough useless fd1k channeling, here is something insightful undisputed by history :
"...financial history is that market pricing almost never takes into account the possibility of huge, disrupti…
I expect this Supreme Court to drive a truck through the "imponderables."
I won't be surprised, either. The Orange Behemoth has packed that court. Nothing but a few particular deaths along with some actual leadership is going to fix this. (Is he de…
$4.59/gallon here. Don't try to tell me about low gas prices over Labor Day week-end, or any other time period. Buncha garbage.
It's your choice to live in a Dem state. This link (https://gasprices.aaa.com/state-gas-price-averages/) show only 2 stat…
$4.59/gallon here. Don't try to tell me about low gas prices over Labor Day week-end, or any other time period. Buncha garbage.
It's your choice to live in a Dem state. This link (https://gasprices.aaa.com/state-gas-price-averages/) show only 2 stat…
I expect this Supreme Court to drive a truck through the "imponderables."
I won't be surprised, either. The Orange Behemoth has packed that court. Nothing but a few particular deaths along with some actual leadership is going to fix this. (Is he de…
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/30/trump-trade-tariffs-appeals.html
* The ruling on Friday from the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit throws a wrench in President Donald Trump’s trade agenda, and leaves his “reciprocal tariffs” in limbo.
…
I see several solutions: Europe should lower tariffs and subsidies, reduce regulations, scale back social programs, limit immigration, and start competing globally.
When you compare Europe to the U.S., the populations are similar, and Europe arguab…
Well, one fund doesn't make sense, but 2-5 funds do.
It's been part of my system since 2000, when I started with 5 funds.
I invested based on markets.
1995-2000 = 90+% in VTI, the rest in growth
2000-2010 = SGIIX/SGENX, FAIRX, OAKBX for 8 years; th…
The well being of the country has NOTHING TO DO with the S&P 500 and the well being of the S&P 500 has nothing to do with the well being of the country. THESE ARE NOT GOOD WEEKS FOR THE COUNTRY. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION TO THIS MATTER.…
After months of Dems screaming the worst is coming...the SP500 is at a new high and Q2 GDP came out at 3.3%.
I don't care about stocks. Since 2018, I've been at 95% bond funds, and in the last 5 years, I was at 99+% bond funds.
On the other hand, P…
That's what I have done YTD, and it's only based on the markets, never based on silly politics and TDS on so many threads.
I was out for several weeks during the meltdown and was back in mid-April and still invested at 99+%.
I'm always dancing near …
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/08/27/cracker-barrel-cbrl-stock-logo-trump.html
Shares of Cracker Barrel Old Country Store rose more than 8% on Wednesday after the restaurant said it would discard its new logo amid widespread backlash.
The switch occurred…
davidrmoran,
It would be nice if you responded to my claims.
1) Gerrymandering - The term, originally written as “Gerry-mander,” first was used on March 26, 1812, in the Boston Gazette — a reaction to the redrawing of Massachusetts state senate ele…
Grantham has been wrong for over 15 years.
Hussman and Arnott have been wrong for as long.
These people forgot that markets collapse many times based on special conditions/situations.
2008-MBS
2018-Fed raised rates 3-4 times within a year.
2020-Covi…
"If Trump is doing so well, why was there a sudden need for redistricting in Texas?"
Dems have done it for years. Finally the GOP started to learn too.
Just one example: The Republican share of the vote in CT was 41.9% in the 2024 presidential elect…
Does CPI Reflect True Inflation? Some on Wall Street Have Doubts
• CPI says “no big inflation” — sorry to the hundreds of experts who swore it was coming any minute now.
• S&P 500 at yet another all-time high — apparently Wall St. doesn't have d…
Another day, more wins:
• CPI says “no big inflation” — sorry to the hundreds of experts who swore it was coming any minute now.
• S&P 500 at yet another all-time high — apparently the market didn’t read their forecasts either.
• DC crime? Natio…
Some people see only the half-empty glass when they don’t like the party in power.
I was highlighting a success — I never mentioned Israel or Russia.
It doesn’t matter whether the current administration contributed 40% or 80% to the ceasefire betwe…
A few days ago
"For more than 35 years, Armenia and Azerbaijan have fought a bitter conflict that resulted in tremendous suffering for both nations… Many tried to find a resolution… and they were unsuccessful. With this Accord, we’ve finally succee…
Sometimes we must judge a man by the politicians that he admires. And sometimes we must judge a man by the fact that he doesn't give a damn if his country is being destroyed as long as he makes money on it. Sometimes we call such a man a cretin.
How…
I hardly have MM. It's all in SNAXX at 4.29%.
I’m sure you have better choices than lame MM. You probably don’t like to brag, but bet you have 10-15% in
$TRUMP cryptocurrency, which for MM folks here, is up over 600% year to date. By far the best…
Why not mention the biggest cause...
The highest inflation in the last 4 decades by the previous administration.
Smart people buy Toyota vehicles and hold them for 15+ years.
crash
The Repugnant Party, as has repeatedly been noted, stopped being a political Party years ago. It is no longer operating in good faith with regard to the workings of government and the separation of powers.
Is DEI actual implementation based on…
Now, they were big revisions, absolutely, no question about that.
And not too many of those big revisions occur, though many did under my tenure
because I was the commissioner during COVID, totally different reasons why the revisions were big.”
Exac…
If I were running a company and my CFO came in saying we need to revise May’s numbers down by 90%, I’d fire them on the spot.
A miss that big isn’t just a mistake — it’s a failure of process, oversight, and credibility.
One of Buffett rules is for a very small % of investors: "Diversification is protection against ignorance. It makes little sense if you know what you are doing."
For the majority: Buffett and Bogle have told you for decades to invest in the SP500.
Why did Erika McEntarfer get fired?
Because we haven't seen a reduction of about 90% for previous months in more than 5 decades.
==============================
Plans for a new $200 Million White House ”ballroom” have been unveiled.
The lie (http…
I have been posting about investing in US LC tilting growth since 2010 in several sites.
Earlier in 2025 I posted that VGK (Europe), value and CEFs(PDI) are where you want to be.
Then I sold everything. In mid April I posted.. time to go back in...…
I’m not going to listen, but I’ll say this:
Swedroe makes some good generic points — the same ones (B&B) Bogle and Buffett made decades ago… and then he doesn’t. I also read his articles for years.
At the end of the day, Swedroe is a financial …
Liz Ann Sonders
* 02/2019: Market may be ignoring risks of an earnings slowdown (https://www.kbzk.com/cnn-business-consumer/2019/02/13/market-may-be-ignoring-risks-of-an-earnings-slowdown/)
Reality: the SP500 made 31.2%
=============
06/2020: In …
