Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
What is weak about the numbers?
All you have done is to talk about the unknown future while the latest numbers show good results.
PCE+PPI are Gov data. I didn't make them up. You just don't like these numbers.
"found an unusual amount of agreement"
How many times were popular agreements wrong? so many times.
Trading headlines is a bad idea. Try to figure out what to do yourself. If you can't, stop reading the "experts" and hardly trade.
"Total Stock Ma…
I started this thread to show good numbers now; that's about it. I wanted to see if anyone could acknowledge it. Nope, and as expected.
I dismiss economists, and that's not a secret. They really shot in the dark, many times were wrong about the futu…
The current numbers don't accurately represent the effect of tariffs.
Get back to me after the September, October, or November numbers are released.
Thank you for your attention to this matter!
The number right now is great.
After Sep we can discuss…
It may be premature to crow about inflation.
Let's see what unfolds in the months ahead.
I don't know the future, but I know a good number when I see one.
It's OK to admit it without...well, eggs are expensive.
It got harder for me to get the fees waived.
Months ago I started using the automatic investment.
Suppose I like Pimix which I don't.
I buy $20. Because it's a very small purchase, there is no fee.
On the same day at night (must be prior to 12 midni…
"No way that Trump brought down inflation in only 5 months with "America First" policies. "
Yes way. If the numbers went the opposite way, you would scream it's all Trump's fault. That was easy :-).
When I looked at VWINX=Vanguard Wellesley at Schwab, the Schwab site says up to $74.95
I entered a buy for $10K for VWINX. The transaction says zero. Same for DODGX.
I haven't used VG or D&C for decades. I can't remember one fund I was intereste…
When I looked at VWINX=Vanguard Wellesley at Schwab, the Schwab site says up to $74.95
I entered a buy for $10K for VWINX. The transaction says zero. Same for DODGX.
I haven't used VG or D&C for decades. I can't remember one fund I was intereste…
Predicting the short term direction of the markets is of course a fool’s errand. Nonetheless it seemed very unlikely that this particular Monday would be so positive. The markets disconnect from events continues to shock me. I guess FD can take a…
Since the 80s, about 40 years, wars didn't influence the markets short-mid term, why would it happen now?
The period of 2000-10 SPY lost close to 10% in 10 years, nothing to do with war.
Several institutions suggest the next 10 year about 5-6% for s…
"Trump created the problem"
"A real master negotiator"
Mmm...the report below is a reminder.
https://www.fdd.org/analysis/2025/06/19/iranian-and-iranian-backed-attacks-against-americans-1979-present/
I've found almost everything on M* to be of little value.
The only thing that I like is their charts, especially for bonds, because they include the daily distributions.
Bernstein recommends a rule of thumb, based on annuity payouts and spending patterns late in life, that you should have 20-25 times your residual living expenses (after pensions and Social Security) invested solely in safe assets. No stocks at all. …
Since the 80s, about 40 years, wars didn't influence the markets short-mid term, why would it happen now?
The period of 2000-10 SPY lost close to 10% in 10 years, nothing to do with war.
Several institutions suggest the next 10 year about 5-6% for s…
Since the 80s, about 40 years, wars didn't influence the markets short-mid term, why would it happen now?
The period of 2000-10 SPY lost close to 10% in 10 years, nothing to do with war.
Several institutions suggest the next 10 year about 5-6% for s…
More good news despite many economists.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/under-trump-blue-collar-wages-soar-at-fastest-rate-since-1969
"Wages for blue-collar workers are up more in the first five months of President Donald Trump’s second term than u…
@FD1000: Concerning your comments (just above), I am in close agreement.
Thank you.
We should concentrate on investments and money on this site.
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Watches: In the last 10 years, I kept buying cheap Chinese watches that look …
- The only two sources of financial stress are risk and debt.
FD: It depends. Risk is in your head; change your thinking or maybe change your style.
The right debt is healthy and welcome. Example: buying a house with a loan.
- A home is not an inve…
I have been invested in bond OEFs since 2017 at about 95%.
Most of the performance I made in unique bond funds was much higher than your typical us gov , muni, and corp.
I also learned that investing based on predictions isn't a good idea.
I only …
@Crash
Anyhow, Israel is there, and like everyone else, deserves to live in peace and security. It seems to me they refuse to play nice with their neighbors. I do know how to include links. Here's one for you
Very naive and not based on facts.
I won…
This explains the rise of oil prices, US used to import majority of oil from Canada. This helps to stabilize gas prices. Now that relationships no longer exists.
US is evacuating embassy family members from Iraq and several Middle East countries…
@Crash
So, prudently looking ahead and paying attention should just not be a thing?
Attention to what?
I always pay attention only to the markets and nothing to politics. I must see it in the price and charts, and when I do, I take action. I'm going…
I just want to thank the OP for helping to bring about a very lively and informative discussion, even if the outcome was not what he intended. It may just be a matter of time before the rose-colored glasses are out of season, or go way up in price. …
@Crash
Yes, the numbers are good, for the moment
I'm framing the above.
Why always look for the negative in every piece of news?
I want journalists to report the simple facts instead of making remarks about what could go wrong, unless they make rem…
When the general numbers don't work, try to find anything else.
We have seen many posts about eggs over $5, they went down to under $3, and where do you find it? in the mice letters on page 50.
wait, let's mention tariffs in every thread, no matter …
NPR the unbiased source? How about the WSJ (link).
"Inflation was tame in May, defying fears that the impact of President Trump’s tariffs would start to show a rise in prices.
Consumer prices rose 0.1% in May over the previous month, less than eco…
Obs,
If this is very worrisome, why didn't you start a similar thread 1-2-3 years ago?
We all know that the next posts are going to be very political.
Why not use the off-topic forum?
@hank said: "Inflation going down? Tell that to bond traders or the gold market."
... and Walmart.
We all know real inflation; the whole country witnessed it a couple of years ago. It was the highest inflation in 4 decades.
Life lived in a vacuum.
A vacuum is when hundreds of posts and media publications called for higher inflation in the last 4-5 months, and...the results are the opposite.
We are getting into politics. I will stay out now.
I didn't miss a thing. I don't pay attention to worries and predictions, only to actual data.
You can doubt everything. It's your choice.
Economists are far from being accurate for decades.
Lots of predictions, worries, noise and more.
The actual data is pretty good, with PCE = 2.1 (lowest in 4 year) + CPI=2.3(lowest in 3 year) + Nonfarm employment chugging along with lower Gov employees in the last several months.
The SP500 is up ove…
because cathie wood has made 1000X more money filching her investors rather than putting her own capital into her own investment vehicles. sound familiar? rich people always have their fans.
+1
There's a sucker born every minute.
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Again, Joe, there is nothing political in my post, just 2 numbers.
Why are you bringing your politics to every post I made?
Perhaps because politics has affected the quality of the numbers you are taking as gospel.
https://mutualfundobserver.com/di…
