Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
The OP is the usual argument I have heard for decades. There's no way to time markets; always stay invested, and eventually it will come back. All true, and what most investors should do.
The author can't guarantee how long it would take to come bac…
I think minor inconsistencies in FD1000's posts were probably just innocent errors.
After all, why would a rational person seek to impress a bunch of strangers on the internet?
Attempts to do so would be utterly absurd!
Why would you think this time…
@FD1000,
How can forum participants take you seriously when you repeatedly reference Fox News drivel?
Do you realize the reverse is true too when you guys posts lib sources which are the majority of old type media.
That's similar to saying most un…
There is a good reason why I'm in MM.
When risk is very high, emotions are out of control. No way to predict the future. I sell first quickly and ask questions later.
MOVE (bond volatility) greater than 110 is a good indication.
BTW, the pros are no…
"Of course there's no guarantee that things would line up the same way now."
This is what economist nobel prize Krugman said (https://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/krugman-trump-global-recession-2016-231055)
370 economists said the following in 1…
I'm just looking at facts, not politics, where most politicians on both sides have not done much
https://usafacts.org/answers/how-many-migrant-encounters-are-there-along-the-us-mexico-border/country/united-states/
94% decrease.
stillers
@linter, thanks for your research and post, providing conclusive evidence of what most of us already knew, Teched1000 is a fraud.
His reply, with two links to nowhere (sic) and his rambling psycho-babble post about general investment BS an…
A rare look at my account because of what was written about me.
I don't deny or confirm anything more. Too much hassle and time-consuming.
2 attachments (using a snipping tool) from my biggest account directly from Schwab. The other accounts are si…
Since you mentioned my name.
You can't hurt my feelings because your comments are so much weaker than my war experience.
Yes Joe, it's another thread you started not related to investing.
It's not about policing the site, it's about following simple…
Why did you start another tariff thread on an investment forum?
This belongs in the Off Topic one. It's obviously a political one.
Can you show me the high correlation between this article and our portfolios?
Can you see it today?
Or do still yo…
If you were sure that Tariffs have a high correlation to the stock market, why didn't you sell weeks ago?
Guess who is at 99+% in MM and hardly lost anything.
Hijacker?
The person who wrote this article is among many of the 24/7 media who publish useless info and hoping that someone will click on it so they get paid.
First, he wrote that it doesn't make sense, then he wrote that it actually worked. All I …
Now, my SIL is afraid of his fellow Dems.
I told him, get used to it. All the Republicans I know were afraid to put stickers on their cars and/or signs in their yards. I know of several acts of vandalism in my very quiet neighborhood. None of the De…
"I never used momentum indexes; I only used typical funds but looked at the best risk/reward ones and kept changing according to uptrends, and several parameters."
@FD1000,
This may be surprising but the article isn't about you or your "system."
I…
Just like Jill Biden had to hold Biden when he could not find his home or the White House or navigate the hardest job in the world and hide it for years.
I never used momentum indexes; I only used typical funds but looked at the best risk/reward ones and kept changing according to uptrends, and several parameters.
How to do that? It's the $64K. I developed my system for years, just as I developed my …
Why did you start another tariff thread on an investment forum?
This belongs in the Off Topic one. It's obviously a political one.
Can you show me the high correlation between this article and our portfolios?
FD1000 believes that as long as his portfolio is healthy nothing else matters.
Seriously?
I didn't like the previous admin at all, but I didn't cry and complain every day. It's your turn now. What would you do if the current admin will do OK and the…
2 easy questions that haven't been answered by Dems because they would never admit anything.
1) Is the number of illegal immigrants much lower?
2) Is the number of criminal illegal immigrants that have been arrested much higher?
Remember, this thre…
""Momentum makes less sense to a thoughtful, long-term investor."
MMM...this investor has been using momo successfully since 2000 because it works if you know how to do that, and it's not that easy.
The other choice is to have some diversification…
@FD1000- Hey there - you think that any of this might impact your financial situation?
Edited for civility. OJ, good sir, please don't let your annoyance take over.
First, this thread is political and should be in OFF forum.
Second, I didn't sell,…
It's another story among many that tries to scare voters.
Everything will be up a lot.
SS will be cut.
Gov will eliminate your pay, SS, and other benefits.
But the numbers show that food, housing, and vehicles went up through the roof during the pr…
"The US stock market is by far the best one long term."
I believe US stocks will perform well in the long-term
and most stock investors should have a healthy allocation to the US.
This does not necessarily mean the equity portion of their portfolio…
@FD1000 who asked "What is your record of forecasting, timing, and trading?"
Good question. What is yours other than your say so?
First, I don't write articles, get paid, or try to convince you of anything, while this article, among many in the pas…
I have read similar articles over 10 years. One day it would be true, maybe even this year.
The US stock market is by far the best one long term.
So, it boils down to timing and trading.
So, when someone writes an article like that, my question is…
The market went up today, so that's clearly our grand leader's doing.
If the market ever goes down or anything bad in the world happens, it's Joe Biden's fault.
MAGA logic.
Please post your political rants in the OFF threads.
I don't invest based…
Yes, it's a tough line to walk, and sometimes I don't do it right either.
It's pretty easy to do. I have done it during the previous Gov, why can't you do it too?
I'm so glad that this thread like many before had a "huge" influence on my portfolio.
The abvious: he economy doesn't equal the markets and why you shouldn't invest based on it.
It's amazing how many people are so sure that stock decline is related to a prez they don't like.
But when the price goes up they forget it conviently.
I'm a slow bond funds trader looking for a consistent lower SD funds with good performance, regardless of what the fund own.
PImix stopped doing that in 01/2018.
Cloz has been amazing for at least 1.5 years. The magic disappeared too.
Chances I woul…
I have a special place in my heart for PIMIX.
It was the first bond fund I owned and the longest from around 2010 to 01/2018 at 50+% for years.
It was the fund I used to change my stock/bond % until I retired
But since 01/2018, the magic has been go…
Unfortunately, investing based on valuation have been wrong for over 10 years now.
GMO seven year forecast from 12.31.2010 was a huge miss and so was Prof Shiller from 2012 based on PE10.
See the above forecasts and many others.
https://fd1000.free…
Israel vs Ukraine = very little in common, unless you don't know history, religion, and a lot more.
The established Lib media have been distorting the truth for decades, which is why their ratings and the number of people who watch them are in decl…
Generally a good topic but has low correlation to what markets do in the next 1-4-16 weeks. A trader like me is interested only in what to do now and disregards politics and economic indicators.
There are concerns all the time. My idea is to be inve…
