Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

    Support MFO

  • Donate through PayPal

rforno

About

Users name
rforno
Joined
Visits
29,566
Last Active
Roles
Member

Comments

  • IIRC either a JPM or MS person is presently calling for a bottom around SPX 3450. That's pretty gloomy.... ... of course, such views can change on a whim. JPM said China tech was 'uninvestable' 2 months ago and now says they're very attractive. S…
  • They'll be rebranded in patriotic colors as Burger Czar, selling the Big Boris and Fillet o' Beluga, among other things. Vladdy Meals(tm) for the kids, too!
  • @rforno, you mentioned adding a large slug of VZ to your existing holding. Any particular reason(s) other than it's steadily boring but also pays a good dividend? Nope, not really. Unless you want to include that there are only a few dominant commu…
  • I’m annoyed by news media usually citing the Dow regarding stock market movements, rather than much better indices like the S&P or total market. I also hate (during the good times) when the news will say the index "reached another all-time closi…
  • Unlike their other ETFs, these apparently will report holdings daily. The other ones they launched were semitransparent, as I recall.
  • "That's the lamest excuse for not doing one's homework before turning it in." @rforno- Having spent a significant portion of my school years evading homework, I'm curious as to what there is to turn in if one hasn't done it? Evidently I missed somet…
  • Happy to see the not-insignificant amount of crypto I lent out has been returned to my account and now sits in USD intact. Not that the Terra fiasco directly impacted me, but I'm out of the arena until things settle down. Counterparty risk and all t…
  • IMO, Elon Musk has found how little TWTR and TSLA stocks are valued as collateral by banks to round up financing (margin & other). He may now be trying to get the cash price of TWTR lowered by a few billions. I just checked the SEC/Edgar filings…
  • Shake down has started and I am not surprised. https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/13/elon-musk-says-twitter-deal-on-hold-pending-details-on-fake-accounts.html That's the lamest excuse for not doing one's homework before turning it in. I bet he's figurin…
  • I wish market commentators would stop using points and use percentages instead. Points aren't that meaningful anymore. Totally agree but saying "is off 3.5 percent" isn't the same impact as "down over 1100 points!" when spoken by pundits or headlin…
  • Yeah ... 2007-8 those were the days when such moves were check-your-underwear days. Now? What-ever.....how times have changed!!!
  • Threw in the towel, yes it was a white towel ! Sold TMSRX. I ran out of bourbon ! That's a cardinal sin of trading, investing, teaching, or ... well, anything! You should always have enough bourbon in your hump to last 3 days, just in case! :) I…
  • I’m seeing green (for a change). Yeah major reversals this morning .. both ways!
    in Futures Comment by rforno May 2022
  • Private guarantees for current stablecoins are only as good as their guarantors (until the next run). Wait for the US CBDC for real guarantees (there are some around already, digital-yuan, etc). Sure. But I still put greater faith in those coins (e…
  • Looking nicely green across the board ! Will they get greener , or stay green is the question. As of 0841, nope. Dow -190 Naz -148....
    in Futures Comment by rforno May 2022
  • Sue Keenan, a late night commentator on Bloomberg TV, compared the drop in crypto to the recent stock market selloff - implying they were somehow related and both expected to behave in similar fashion. That doesn’t make sense to me. Isn’t Bitcoin …
  • I don't know. But CME May 2022 Bitcoin contract high was $60,093 on 11/29/21 & low overnight was $29,700. That is 50%+ retracement & then a strong bounce. Worth keeping an eye on the bounce and any low-retest. https://www.cmegroup.com/ Go…
  • Yesterday Bitcoin dipped momentarily below $30,000 but have rebounded off that low this morning. COIN is following a similar pattern but may be 2x volatility. This is a good sign because the stocks, especially Nasdaq Comp, are correlated with crypto…
  • Fun times for all, but really fun times in certain parts of cryptoland...
  • Then there's this... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/09/what-is-terrausd-ust-and-how-does-it-affect-bitcoin.html https://www.fastcompany.com/90750443/as-crypto-crashes-terra-usd-wobbles-shaking-the-foundations-of-algorithmic-stablecoins?partner=rss …
  • Little change in markets initially. One bank I own fell some. Hard to say why. Rising rates help banks. But slowing economies are a negative for them. Gold and other metals have been weak all day - a bit of a trend lately. Carnival atmosphere on …
  • PRWCX has 6% in AMZN, per M* 3/31/22 portfolio holdings
  • Maybe I'm confused. I thought he was putting up his own personal shares and options of TSLA as collateral. I didn't know he was using TSLA company owned shares or funds. Why wouldn't his shares and options already be accounted for in the stock price…
  • IF I were a TSLA stockholder, customer or supplier, I would be seriously worried that the company is in the control of an ideologue, not a real manager. Agreed. He's using TSLA as his personal piggy bank and as a result how many people/funds/pensi…
  • Or pick up a miner -- most of them stockpile crypto anyway. I hold BITF. Microstrategy just seems skeezy borderline irresponsible. CEO turning the company into a huge crypto investor with practically every last cent on thier books, which I don't t…
  • The internet's biggest troll suddenly owning the internet's biggest troll platform with a view that pretty much any speech is acceptable free speech and 'moderation' of any sort is bad ... what could *possibly* go wrong? It's no wonder the far rig…
  • Like turbulence on a plane trip -- or life itself, the only way out is thru. Or, as Dr Sidney Freeman would say on M*A*S*H, "ladies and gentlemen, take it from me. Pull down your pants, and slide on the ice...."
  • Like YBB I also held GIM and TGBAX off/on for years during Hassenstab's 'golden time.' In addition to the Ukranian bonds that IIRC blew up in his face a few years ago (at the time he had a reputation for diving into risky areas and winning) I lost…
  • At 7-9% I'd be tempted to devote a sizable allocation as a fire-and-forget position to them, sure. It'd be similar to what I've done with my crypto lending experiment currently earning 7%, albeit with more risk. If we ever hit 1980s rates (which I…
  • They really need to up the maximum $$$ an individual can buy. $10K is a lot to some, chump change to others. If I could load up a hefty slug at these rates, I'd be quite happy. Not sure it's worth the hassle of maintaining another account for 'j…
  • I wonder how long before we see active ETFs holding positions in newly-created OEFs that can serve as a 'black box' to get around some of the reporting and investing restrictions ETFs face if they try to hold those underlying assets (foreign/bonds) …
  • Itching to buy something ... Blood starting to trickle in the streets ... Thinking ... There are too many catalysts in the near-term to go whole-hog on the long side, but DCA'ing into positions during volatility drops over the near-term should …
  • If it counts, I bought some more cash the other day by selling 2 foreign stocks in one of my portfolios for tax purposes.
  • My 403b is entirely in RWMGX (AF WashMu R-6, related to WSHFX) and I've been quite pleased with its performance this year. Kudos to Capital for a job well-done thus far.
  • In other words.... (couldn't resist)
  • There's also the CEF UTF....
  • How about JENSX ? I've always liked JENSX allocations but on principle I won't buy funds with 12(b)-1 fees unless there's a really compelling reason.
  • I hold a large slug of PRBLX/PRILX in my taxable accounr. My 403(b) is 100% in American Funds Washington Mutual R-6 and is one of the funds on the page YBB cited. Can't see the M* 'rating' but it's been a solid performer for me over the past dec…
  • I don't see retail-grade Seeking Alpha folks being a huge factor in stock moves. A little, sure. Short and distort probably happens more effectively on social media and other finpr0n platforms that are trolled by hedgies, institutional speculator…
  • @rforno, I did the same back in January as I believed that the fund had lost it's way. Too bad because it was a decent fund. I was thinking about it back then, too. But oh, well -- that's what TLH is for. :/