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sma3

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sma3
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  • It all depends on your time horizon and how much you need the money. Big Tech was flat for a decade after the Dot.com boom but that ignore the 45% or more drop initially. Small caps EM etc did much better Earnings estimates for SP500 are dropping…
  • thanks David very interesting
  • @crash i worked at the VA for 8 years. The most frustrating experience in my life, based on quality of care. But I got paid. In private practice I would gladly have taken care of veterans ( and Title 19) if they had a system set up to pay me. The …
  • Just ran comparison between ARBDX ARGTX and ARKTX Very little overlap in stocks. ARGTX and ARKTX share about 9%. ARBDX almost nothing
  • The fact that MA GOP accepted a 63% drop in their vote without wondering why and changing course speaks legions about the take over of the GOP Of course my woke cousins on the West Coast think MA is now heaven because we have a lesbian governor. At…
  • @crash We lived in CT, run as a one party state for decades. Budget deficits, huge government worker ( all unionized) pension and retiree health care deficits ( over $65,000 per person with a declining population). The only thing that saved them …
  • I do not think Big Energy Big tobacco or big pharma ( or little for that matter) can be trusted to do anything other than maximize returns for 1) first their CEOS and top management ( if they put their shareholders first, most CEO's pay packages wo…
  • Odd that Schwab apparently allows purchase of ARDBX advisor shares without an advisor and low minimum
  • @David_Snowball Thanks for the history. I have always been a little concerned about "key person" syndrome where all of the outstanding attributes of a company or investment are attributed to one person. One wonders why these two guys developed d…
  • If I thought is would do any good, I would post a line by line refutation of @Baseball_Fan long list of "fake news" above. Clearly, as he has already decided that the falling major crime statistics in a lot of cities are due to intentional underrep…
  • I do take some comfort in the fact that Trump does not seem to be able to avoid telegraphing what he will do as President. The more people hear about what could happen the better, but the worse for our standing in the world and the more leery our …
  • Thanks Will look at Ycharts
  • @stillers Almost nothing other than the Mag 7 has been up more than 5 to 10% this year. 6% in six months would, in any other year, be considered an excellent performance. It is only in comparison to NVDA or QQQ that OAKMX looks bad. Comparing v…
  • @devo I know of sites that quickly compare portfolios of two ETFs. Do you know of a similar site for mutual funds?
  • @davfor SCOTUS specifically listed the pardon as one of the Presidential powers that would be considered "official". It would appear to me that the President could pardon anyone who he ordered to perform an illegal act, and do it prospectively befo…
  • @devo Any thoughts on ARTGX's international stock performance? A quick look shows ARTGX Domestic portfolio has some of the usual suspects META 4% GOOGL 4% BRK.B 4% but isn't loaded and no NVDA or MSFT, so I am unsure of how much support this wo…
  • @devesh Interesting analysis but unfortunately Artisan International Value is closed except to existing accounts or advisors as is Artisan International Explorer (only advisor and institutional shares available, latter $1,000,000 minimum at Schwab)…
  • I still cannot comprehend how supposedly rational men did such an about face. This is from Heather Cox Richardson "Letters from an American" ( highly recomended) Presidential immunity is a brand new doctrine. In February 2021, explaining away h…
  • @MikeM A bit over five years ago. He was a one man investment firm. I am sure he charged the usual 1.25% of assets or so and may have still used mutual funds with sig fees
  • I have dabbled In American Funds off and on but was never overly impressed I knew one of their "top investment partners " or whatever they called their independent broker salesmen. He was a nice enough guy but I didn't see why my investment dolla…
  • a2z !!!
  • David Since you will be meeting with M* folks in person, please tell them how valuable this individual investor finds the OLD portfolio manger. I have been using it for years and find it much better than the new version in "Investor". The latter …
  • Enjoy yourself David. You deserve it. Talk to as many Mutual fund mangers as you can. They cant be happy with M* increasing focus on Advisors. I think it is only a matter of time before they pull the plug on what few tools they still support for …
  • Are they considering large positions and what % of total assets? I would be cautious, as an individual investor, putting a lot of money in individual stocks. Why not pick a good dividend fund, a REIT fund and maybe a bond fund like OSTIX. I woul…
  • It is odd that a company like Boeing could fall apart while others like Toyota can continue to build very reliable products, but I think it is due to a common factor GREED The same ongoing disasters are very common in health care where the bean co…
  • I continue to like BIAWX They are consistent and while I do not believe capitalism is evil, they avoid the worst managements
  • @crash I cannot say there is a lot of rhyme my reason. I have always gravitated to value metrics, but have been burned many times for refusing "pay up" for stocks with high PEs. Using some of the classic "Value funds" over the years has precip…
  • Overall portfolio is up 5% YTD about 40% in equities "dividend' stocks are up 11% LT Growth US 9% "speculative" ( ie tech) 13% Energy 6% International 14% Emerging Markets flat The most surprising are individual stocks an advisor picks i…
  • BTW I just had some Scotch from India Kamet Was pretty good and only $47 a bottle vs Talisker at $65
  • @Tarwheel Hard to generalize about state pensions. My sister in Texas is in similar shape as you. But if you had worked in CT you would get traditional 60 to 70% of “high three average” ( go overtime go) with inflation adjustments AND lifetime he…
  • I use chat for simple stuff and easy questions. If there is something critical email my rep
  • The only specifics I have read about NVDA financing is that are reportedly "selling" their processors to large Cloud Companies for Cloud time in the future I assume they are booking the sales as revenue, even though no money changes hands
  • Per Jesse Felder Over the past 32 trading days, NVDA has gained more than $1 trillion in market cap. To put that into some sort of perspective, the 6-week gain is greater than the total market cap of BRKA, which Warren Buffett has spent 6 decades …
  • If I remember I could sell it free but not buy it free, until I asked
  • We have been on guided tips and almost suffered casualties. One was pure stupidity by an experienced woman.The other an almost drowning in a big whirlpool. On the trips we have taken with guides, they all have had Sat Phones and guns for emergencie…
    in Reality check Comment by sma3 June 2024
  • @sven I got the fee waived when I told my rep that I wanted to move VTMFX over from Vanguard but would not because of the fee. He waived it I have not asked about others but I should. All he can do is say no
  • @msf @sven Worth talking to Lynnbolin2021 who uses both Vanguard and Fido advisors I think. The Vanguard guy did not seem inexperienced on the phone, but clearly said they would not take any of our legacy positions into account when managing…
  • We go ( or used to go but are planning a new trip at 72 YO) Wilderness Canoeing in the Boundary Waters Canoe area/ Quetico Provincial Park in Canada. Totally off the grid, obviously, it is the largest roadless wilderness area outside of Alaska and…
    in Reality check Comment by sma3 June 2024
  • @sven Fido was wife's 401k custodian so most of her retirement money is there. Our joint taxable account we started in 1988 at Schwab when we had an advisor for mutual funds. He used Littman-Gregory " No Load Fund Analyst" ( anybody else remembe…