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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

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Another good week for the country.

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Comments

  • FD1000 said:

    I’m really happy with my new forum — there are more active posters,
    a lot more about investments, and far less political noise.
    I’m mainly here because every now and then, I come across something genuinely helpful.
    There is really only one poster I care about, and he hardly posts.
    Unfortunately, the rest of the old site has become dominated by nonstop political negativity,
    which clouds sound judgment.

    Don't let the door hit you on the way out!
    But, didn't you hear that he comes here to "help". And avoids politics, on his "other site".

    I was recently watching a show about cults. Their amazing ability to form their own alternative reality, and live in it, is fully demonstrated by these people. From Hitler to Jim Jones to Kim Un Jung to trump, nothing good has ever come of any of it. But, the supporters truly believe their leaders can make the Sun rise each day.

  • FD1000 said:

    JD_co said:

    The only reason BS1000 posts here is that he has been kicked out of all other message board sites. Keep that in mind.

    He has no where else to troll.

    I’m really happy with my new forum — there are more active posters, a lot more about investments, and far less political noise.
    I’m mainly here because every now and then, I come across something genuinely helpful.
    There is really only one poster I care about, and he hardly posts.
    Unfortunately, the rest of the old site has become dominated by nonstop political negativity, which clouds sound judgment.
    I just check your forum. You are a one man show. keep dreaming.

  • edited October 5
    He may be referring to BB forum, where they are always suspending him and telling him to stop with the drivel. If it is a new forum he is using, it will only be a short interval until they get tired of his schtick.

    And many red states have refused to implement Medicaid expansion, including TN. That would have caused certain people's premiums to go up when ACA was implemented. Of course, he fails to mention that, when discussing the plight of certain demographic segments, when their beloved states refused that Federal funding. That falls on those states for not looking out for their citizenry.

    For instance, I know someone who lost their job during Covid and was in a blue state. They were able to get coverage at $0 when severance/insurance ran out. The next year they were residing in a red state, for educational purposes, and their premiums went way up. Certain red states limit ACA coverage subsidies under a certain income level. Thus, students and others, who only have part time income do not qualify.

    Telling only part of a story, is a standard attempt to mislead. Or simply a failure to comprehend. Why the motto says, "A little knowledge is a dangerous thing". And it can be infectious. There is no vaccine for stupid.
  • Boom. You said it.
  • edited October 5
    Another thing that many do not comprehend is that when they have health coverage through what appears to be only their state's coffers, they are actually accepting re-branded Federal Medicaid dollars. Or what they often refer to as Federal "welfare".

    Badgercare (WI), MediCal (CA), CHIPs(TN), HealthChoice (IL) are all examples of such rebranding. However, the ten red states that have refused Medicaid expansion dollars have chosen to leave many of their constituents with lesser coverage and higher premiums.

    Then their citizens blame the ACA, when it is the state they reside in and the people that they voted for, who have made the choice to refuse federal dollars. Forty other states are not having this problem, they have far better/cheaper coverage/availability.

    It is notable that more red states opt-in to Medicaid expansion (for low-income citizens) every year. Because their residents vote to do so. Their choice, not a fault of the ACA.
  • HI has some kind of reserve fund. Not sure if it resides within official gummint offices and auspices. They are planning ahead for '26 when a lot of annual federal money just won't show up because the country is in the hands of doink-heads in Wash DC. Food banks, health clinics, school lunches are among the destinations for that other "reserve" money....

    On a sideways note: I still do think that it's parents' responsibility to feed their own kids. Bring a lunch, or buy a hot lunch at school. That's the way we did it. Parents can't afford it? Why The F*** did you have a child? Maybe you ought to go without something else in order for your kid to be able to eat. Duh.
  • You are not wrong @Crash. It is a sad state of affairs. People have a habit of abusing well-intentioned generosity.
  • "On a sideways note: I still do think that it's parents' responsibility to feed their own kids. Bring a lunch, or buy a hot lunch at school. That's the way we did it. Parents can't afford it? Why The F*** did you have a child? Maybe you ought to go without something else in order for your kid to be able to eat. Duh"

    Caught me a little bit surprised there @Crash.

    You seem to be suggesting that all the parents that run short of money are using it for other purposes (things they don't need perhaps) or didn't think this having kids gig through from the get-go. Might I remind you that there are plenty of well meaning parents out there that are only ONE disaster or calamity or job loss away from bankruptcy, homelessness, hunger or life-saving medical care. Be it wildfires, volcanic eruptions, floods, hurricanes, typhoons, draught etc., etc., it's a reality and always there.
    The current administration has just fired or otherwise laid off how many hundreds of thousands of workers in the first 8 months of the year? I'm betting that most of them are not inclined to be bank robbers or similar so should we just stick it to them as being lousy parents?

    I know all too well how some folks just can't manage their money but I don't think they entered parenthood intending to let their kids go hungry or maybe even without in general. Sometimes in day-to-day life shit happens.
  • Agreed. Minus disasters, firings, lay-offs. On a day to day basis, it should not be presumed that someone ELSE is responsible for feeding my kids. Ork?
  • The Embarrassing Pete Hegseth
    The Pentagon needs sober, judicious leadership, not a drama queen who makes things jarring and fevered.

    https://www.wsj.com/opinion/the-embarrassing-pete-hegseth-e8e1e910?st=3jqZDV&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink
  • https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/06/paul-tudor-jones-says-ingredients-are-in-place-for-massive-rally-before-a-blow-off-top-to-bull-market.html

    -Paul Tudor Jones said today’s market is reminiscent of the setup leading up to the burst of the dot-com bubble in late 1999.

    -The difference between now and 1999 is the U.S. fiscal and monetary policy, Jones noted.

    -He believes the bull market still has room to run before it reaches its final phase.

    “You have to get on and off the train pretty quick. If you just think about bull markets, the greatest price appreciations always [occurs] the 12 months preceding the top,” Jones said. “It kind of doubles whatever the annual averages, and before then, if you don’t play it, you’re missing out on the juice; if you do play it, you have to have really happy feet, because there will be a really, really bad end to it.”

    To be sure, Jones isn’t predicting an immediate downturn. He believes the bull market still has room to run before it reaches its final phase.

    “It will take a speculative frenzy for us to elevate those prices. It will take more retail buying. It’ll take more recruitment from a variety of others from long short hedge funds, from real money, etc.,” he said.

    He said he would own a combination of gold, cryptocurrencies and Nasdaq tech stocks between now and the end of the year to take advantage of the rally fueled by the fear of missing out.
  • https://time.com/7323442/south-carolina-judge-diane-goodstein-house-fire-trump-political-violence/

    The work of MAGA! Another great week, indeed!

    Political violence against judge who received death threats for weeks related to her work.

    "at least three members of her family, including her husband, former Democratic state senator Arnold Goodstein, and their son, have been hospitalized with serious injuries."

    "If the fire at the judge’s house turns out to be targeted, it may mark the latest incident of a startling rise in political violence in the U.S. And while the Trump Administration has blamed the left’s rhetoric for inspiring violence such as the assassination of conservative activist Charlie Kirk, an attack on a judge would come as the Administration has increasingly vilified the judiciary, blasting judges that rule against it as “U.S.A-hating” insurrectionists.
  • edited October 7
    Job numbers are not looking good.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/07/the-shutdown-meant-no-jobs-report-carlyles-analysis-shows-it-would-have-been-pretty-bad.html

    -Employment growth was essentially flat in September, according to data from investment giant Carlyle that seeks to fill in data gaps created by the government shutdown.

    "The firm said its proprietary data showed job growth of just 17,000 for the month, which would be even less than the 22,000 gain in August reflected in Bureau of Labor Statistics data."

    "Goldman also reported that the labor market is loosening, meaning there are more workers than jobs, to levels not seen in 10 years."
  • SMiller, some pure Reichspeak:

    \\ We stand for what is good, what is virtuous, what is noble. And for those trying to incite violence against us, those trying to foment hatred against us: What do you have? You have nothing. You are nothing. You are wickedness, you are jealousy! You are envy! You are hatred! You are nothing! You can build nothing. You can produce nothing. You can create nothing. We are the ones who build. We are the ones who create. We are the ones who lift up humanity.

    This is all prep for inciting left violence in order to justify responding oppression, extending to mil in the streets for next fall's elections. I hope this is clear to all.
  • I am certain that you are correct. I hope it dos not work, and instead backfires into their smug faces.
  • edited October 7
    I hope this is clear to all.

    Crystal.
    Fascist State now. Politicized DOJ, politicized Courts. Weaponized everything. S. Miller even looks the part re: Joey Goebbels and Himmler.

    Remember the fictional Goldstein character in "1984?" Everyone was REQUIRED to stand and vilify and verbally attack and insult him. He was the Straw Man invented by the Ministry of "Truth" upon whom everything could be blamed. Safely out of reach, giving cover for Brother. While Brother uses the pretext to screw with people's lives and control them. I have zero doubt that Judge Goldstein's arson incident was Right-wing inspired and premeditated.

    Did this shit EVER go on to such an extent, before? I recall the kidnapping of the Lindbergh baby, from history class. They convicted a guy, but was it the right verdict? The '60s and early '70s were full of turmoil. But targeted arson???
  • it's Goodstein and arson has been ruled out (so far)

    one thing about the late 1960s including 1970 was public murders

    not there ... yet
  • Ah, thanks for the correction. My dyslexia. A good player always blames the weather, or his equipment, eh?
  • edited October 10
    Not a good week now! Big losses in tech and energy and industrials.

    TSM -6.5%
    HAL -6%
    BKR -6%
    DVN -5%
    AMZN -4.5%
    EMR -4%
    CEG -4%

    Apparently, trump is throwing another tantrum that China is not willing to give away their natural resources, while we tariff them at higher rates than anybody else. It makes one think that team trump didn't consider this possibility. I guess firing all your top trade experts has ramifications.

    Meanwhile China is stepping up their own tech development efforts (who needs U.S. chips, they say) and will be competing with us on that front, instead of buying our products. And building stronger trade relationships with the trade partners we shun/insult.

    Some might say that those who point out potential problems want us to fail. I think that those who vote for flawed policies want us to fail!





  • edited October 10
    You are so negative!! You are obviously a radical left-wing antifa commie sort of person.

    Any smart person knows that we can make China pay off all of the costs of the Big Beautiful Bill simply by incresaing the tariffs. We know this is true because lots of good people on Fox say so. What's wrong with you??

    Signed: FullyDelusional 001.
  • Old_Joe said:


    Any smart person knows that we can make China pay off all of the costs of the Big Beautiful Bill simply by incresaing the tariffs.

    Yaahhh, just like Mexico was going to pay for the wall.

    But tariffs...those always work. And autocratic rulers care about the well being of their slaves citizens. SO MUCH WINNING!!!!

    P.S. Send more troops to US cities. A wannabe dic-tator must have his own militia. Keeps all his personal insecurities at bay.
  • Old_Joe said:

    You are so negative!! You are obviously a radical left-wing antifa commie sort of person.

    Any smart person knows that we can make China pay off all of the costs of the Big Beautiful Bill simply by incresaing the tariffs. We know this is true because lots of good people on Fox say so. What's wrong with you??

    Signed: FullyDelusional 001.

    I am an entire terrorist organization, minus any members!

  • edited October 11
    A Week of Silence on the Israel-Gaza Peace Deal
    I waited several days to see if anyone would acknowledge or celebrate the peace agreement between Israel and Gaza — but, as expected, no one did.
    The Global Grip of Trump Derangement Syndrome (TDS)
    TDS isn't confined to the U.S.; it's a worldwide affliction. Take the Nobel Peace Prize committee: far from noble, it operated like a classic liberal DEI panel, snubbing Donald Trump despite his role in brokering peace in eight active conflicts—from the Abraham Accords to de-escalations in the Balkans and Korea. Priorities, apparently.

    Barack Obama was awarded the Nobel Peace Prize in 2009 by achieving...nothing much.

    Rashida Tlaib's Selective Silence
    Democratic Rep. Rashida Tlaib remains the sole Palestinian American in Congress, a fierce advocate for her heritage. She's been unrelentingly vocal on the Israel-Gaza crisis. Yet when Trump spearheaded historic deals that stabilized the region, where was she? Nowhere to be found. The hypocrisy echoes louder than her chants.
    Justice in New York: Letitia James Indicted
    In a stunning turn, New York Attorney General Letitia James—long a spearhead in the legal crusade against Trump—has been indicted by a grand jury on charges of mortgage fraud and false statements. No one is above the law, indeed. This isn't karma; it's accountability catching up.
    Weaponizing the Federal Government? If the Dems Can, Why Not Trump?
    Does Trump "weaponize" the federal government? I hope he does—in the fairest sense possible. It's straight out of the "eye for an eye" playbook he no doubt picked up from the Democrats' own tactics. Consider the relentless barrage he's faced:
    Endless Legal Onslaughts: A cascade of federal and state cases, weaponized by partisan prosecutors.
    Intelligence Agencies Unleashed: The FBI and CIA dragged into political mudslinging, from the Russia hoax to surveillance scandals.
    Mueller Witch Hunt: A $40 million investigation that unearthed zero collusion but plenty of bias.
    Congressional Inquisition: Two sham impeachments, fueled by hearsay and hatred.
    Mar-a-Lago Raid: Armed agents storming his home like it was a mob hideout—over classified docs that others (like Biden) skate on.
    Targeting His Inner Circle:
    Paul Manafort: Dragged through the wringer on decade-old business dealings.
    Michael Flynn: Entrapped by FBI agents who lied about their intent, then prosecuted for it.
    Roger Stone: Convicted on process crimes after a leaked Mueller call exposed the fix.

    And let's not forget the 2013 IRS confession: the agency admitted to singling out Tea Party and conservative groups for invasive audits and endless delays—pure voter suppression by bureaucracy.

    The pattern is clear: When Democrats wield power, it's "justice." When it's turned back? Suddenly, it's "authoritarianism." Fair's fair—Trump's turn to play by their rules.


  • JD_co said:

    Old_Joe said:


    Any smart person knows that we can make China pay off all of the costs of the Big Beautiful Bill simply by incresaing the tariffs.

    Yaahhh, just like Mexico was going to pay for the wall.

    But tariffs...those always work. And autocratic rulers care about the well being of their slaves citizens. SO MUCH WINNING!!!!

    P.S. Send more troops to US cities. A wannabe dic-tator must have his own militia. Keeps all his personal insecurities at bay.
    Remember that when markets go up, it is the work of trump. When they go down, it is "cyclical" and time for many. many deflections.

    Also, remember that the longer the diatribe, the more triggered is the snowflake!

  • edited October 11
    Pritzker and Walz together at a podium. And Pritzker is full-throated loud about standing up against the Orange Child-Clown. Looking more and more Presidential, eh? How about those dangerous lefties in frog and dino costumes creating criminal mayhem in Portland? "Dancing In The Streets."

    Gaza: Not a single Palestinian was consulted about the deal. It was pre-baked and offered to Hamas. There ought to be zero future over there for Hamas. Palestine belongs to Palestinians, not to the rogue, pariah, apartheid, genocidal State called Israel. Israel is doing someone a favor by pulling tanks and troops behind an arbitrary line within Gaza? The Zionist pig-farts won't ever let go of what belongs to someone else. And the U.S. regime is the dysfunctional enablers of it all. Both under Dems and Reps. And let's not forget that the West Bank is still under siege, roads being destroyed, houses demolished, arbitrary arrests. Rather like here in the good ol' USA!!!! ... I know of a priest in Ramallah who can't get permission from the Israeli Occupation Force, just to go to Jerusalem for meetings with fellow priests. Ya, HE'S a real threat. LOL. Eat my shorts, Bibi. No, on second thought: go eat the Orange Clown's shorts. OK, I'm glad the killing has stopped in Gaza. (But it's just moved to Lebanon, again.)
    LOUD start: Such criminal mayhem!



  • FD1000 said:

    I waited several days to see if anyone would acknowledge or celebrate the peace agreement between Israel and Gaza — but, as expected, no one did.

    There is a reason to celebrate. The Israeli's are one step closer to bringing Netanyahu to trial.

    By the way, nice plagiarism.

  • edited October 11
    Crash: How about those dangerous lefties in frog and dino costumes creating criminal mayhem in Portland? "Dancing In The Streets."

    From the NYT:
    Outside the ICE building, demonstrators against the Trump administration’s immigration policies have blown bubbles at ICE agents, formed a flash mob to dance the “Cha-Cha Slide,” held formal afternoon tea services and gone “ICE fishing” — tying doughnuts to poles and pretending to lure federal officers with the pastries. Cyclists are planning a special edition of Portland’s famed “naked bike ride” past the ICE facility on Sunday.
    "ICE fishing" had me ROTFLMAO. Hooray for Portland! Mocking fascists is actually a pretty decent strategy, especially when there isn't much directly politically to do about it.
  • edited October 12
    FD1k:

    - Biden had a ceasefire 10mos ago.

    If this one is any good and sticks, you will see celebrating and credit bigtime.

    Hard to tell what is wrong with you, I gotta say.

    - The James and Comey cases are the opposite of stunning and will result in nothing.

    - Fantasies of Dem weaponization are pure projection on your part. Surprising, a little.

    - You need to actually read the Mueller report. Collusion by many other names. Easy and clear and incontrovertible.

    - The impeachments and the MAL raid and the cases against those three guys you name, omg and bwahaha, all those were as solid as rock. Those three! Wow.

    You don't even make the effort at substantiation. Why is that? So weird. Fox on in the background all the time?

    Seriously, what is wrong with you. Aside from being just so friggin lazy.
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