How Pandemics End

davfor

A state by state experiment involving moving beyond the pandemic shut down is underway. It involves both numbers and attitudes. We will see over the next several weeks and months how it plays out. Hospital patient volume limitations may place a cap on the willingness of states to open up. But, within that cap, it may turn out that the effective end of the pandemic for most people includes acceptance of monthly death and infection numbers that force the more vulnerable portions of the population to be quite cautious.

That type of ending could accelerate the rate at which the economy rebounds.

When will the Covid-19 pandemic end? And how?

According to historians, pandemics typically have two types of endings: the medical, which occurs when the incidence and death rates plummet, and the social, when the epidemic of fear about the disease wanes.

“When people ask, ‘When will this end?,’ they are asking about the social ending,” said Dr. Jeremy Greene, a historian of medicine at Johns Hopkins.

https://nytimes.com/2020/05/10/health/coronavirus-plague-pandemic-history.html

WABAC

Make sure your estate and TOD's are up to date.

johnN

Related covid19 news...new normalcy..enjoy


Coronavirus Forces Gulf States to Reckon With Their Scores of Migrant Workers
A new cluster of cases in Seoul tests South Korea’s easing. Belarus held a tank parade.

Published May 9, 2020
Updated May 10, 2020, 12:12 a.m. ET

This briefing has ended. Follow our latest coverage of the coronavirus pandemic.

Here’s what you need to know:
South Korea aimed for ‘a new daily life with Covid-19.’ Four days later, Seoul found a new cluster.
Oil’s collapse and the pandemic force Gulf states to reckon with their vast armies of migrant workers.
The latest in science: More children have died of an illness associated with the coronavirus; a drug cocktail shows promise for Covid-19.
In wealthy Geneva, a food line keeps growing.
China let Elon Musk reopen a Tesla factory, but California refused — and his anger is evident on Twitter.
The coronavirus isn’t going away soon. Two new studies provide a picture of how the future might look.
Overlooked no more: June Almeida, the scientist who identified the first coronavirus.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/05/09/world/live-coronavirus-news.html

davidrmoran

this is what I am studying in addition

https://www.erinbromage.com/post/the-risks-know-them-avoid-them

rono

Howdy folks,

Erin Bromage's article above is classic.

Rono

davfor

+1 regarding Bromage article....

linter

super interesting. thanks for posting it!

Sven

Excellent article. Thank you @davidmoran.

LewisBraham

@davidrmoran That was an excellent article. Thanks.

Old_Joe

Thanks much, David.