Howdy campers,
Bought some XOM yesterday. feh. Even if SLB is cutting, think of it. The explorers and drillers are going to get killed but while XOM and the big boys may get beat up, they're not a bankruptcy risk. Plus it's paying 3%.
I also just bought some GE (3.8% yield). They provide a huge amount of tv content and that's the sweet spot. Hell, like the drillers, you can probably short the deliverers like cable. Plus they're huge into wind. [and rono doesn't have to worry about them].
At the ripe old age of 66, I really like owning stocks that I use AND that pay me a dividend. I want to own all of my utes, etc., places where I shop.
and so it goes,
peace,
rono
Comments
Watching VDE for the big energy kids. Came and stayed off of a bottom for the past two days with small bumps up; and is up about 2.4% at 1:25 EST, Friday.
Is this a bottom? Don't know, but sure as hell off of a nasty low.
"VDE" 10/39 day chart
Take care of yourselves,
Catch
Started watching XOM when Warren bought at around $95.
Then came June.
Exited APA at buy point. Ditto with GE, an energy proxy.
With the collapse under way, got into OXY.
Added as went down.
Went up nicely for short while, then it too fell back and I exited at buy point.
So, only frustration so far with energy.
Hoping recent bounce is indeed a bottoming-out.
It's been ugly and right or wrong, I've been worried about contagion. So, I'm thinking I'll follow Mr. Gundlach's advice on this one and wait to see some stability and upward momentum before I try again.
Break, break.
On my way home from down south, I drove through a huge Chevron oil field. It was eerie, I'd guess 90% of pumps where still. Zip. No movement. As if, they've stopped pumping 'cause of over-supply.
Also recently added small bits to existing positions in Permian Basin, PBT, Baytex BTE, Prudoe Bay BPT, Ferrellgas FGP, Niska NKA, Vanguard Nat Res VNR, and Global Partners GLP.
Am watching PWE and PGH.
In a few weeks if I am still solvent I'll throw remaining $$ into Vanguard Div Growth Fund VDIGX and call it a day.
cheers, everyone,
hawk
Selectively, bears and perhaps value hunters seem to have gotten their wish.
Energy, certainly.
But some other big names well off their 52-week highs in last few weeks.
Bank of America
Alcoa
AIG
Sears Holdings
Leucadia
General Electric
Precision Castparts
Citigtroup
Archer Daniels
Twitter
Google
Amazon
IBM
US Steel
Schnitzer Steel (OK, not a big name but it was for me and I got hosed...back under $17 yesterday from high last year of over $30.)
Pier One
Yelp
Netflicks
Pandora
Catepiller
McDonalds
JP Morgan
Verizon
Goldman Sachs
ATT
I mean a lot of big names off 10-15-20% and more.
So, its Apple, Merck, Home Depot, Pfizer, Du Pont, Nike, Travelers, Unitedhealth Group, Proctor & Gamble and the like that have been carrying the overall market, seems like.
Ted recently posted similar observation, but with respect to sectors:
% From 52-Week Highs
If Apple comes down a bit more towards the $100 level, it's well worth looking at.
I'm rather concerned about Verizon/ATT from the standpoint of the industry's ridiculous price wars. However, eventually you get into other things ("the connected car", etc.)
Leucadia just bailed out FXCM yesterday after the Swiss Franc move obliterated them.
Regards,
Ted
Tampabay said:
XOM will be a very profitable business longer than anyone reading this will be alive...enjoy
F P A Crescent Fund Q4
2014
Gross exposure to equities remains at approximately 55% and net exposure is circa 51%
. Fixed Income remains
extremely low at around 0.7 %
Added to private investments, specifically real estate partnerships
Cash is approximately 46.3 %.
Outlook:
Challenging to find bargains
.
We maintain our investment discipline and continue to
seek windows in which we can effectively deploy capital. We are mostly focused on the
opportunities in energy sector right now.
http://www.fpafunds.com/docs/fpa-crescent-fund/q4-2014-crescent-update.pdf?sfvrsn=2sn=2
KKR Said to Target Oil, Asia With $3 Billion Distressed Fund
By Sabrina Willmer and Devin Banerjee Jan 20, 2015 10:38 AM CT
KKR & Co. (KKR) is seeking as much as $3 billion to provide financing to troubled companies including those hurt by plunging oil prices, according to two people familiar with the matter.
The private equity firm, run by billionaires Henry Kravis and George Roberts, is targeting $2.5 billion to $3 billion for its second special situations fund after deploying the previous pool more quickly than it expected, said the people, who asked not to be named because the information isn’t public. KKR started marketing the fund to clients about six months after closing the first vehicle last January, the people said.
KKR is seeing opportunities to invest in oil and gas producers that came under pressure after the price of oil plunged about 57 since peaking in June. The firm also expects some Asian companies to become starved for capital as banks address their nonperforming loan portfolios, the people said.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2015-01-20/kkr-said-to-target-oil-asia-with-3-billion-distressed-fund-1-.html
Sourced from;
http://seekingalpha.com/news/2230456-report-kkr-putting-together-3b-fund-targeting-oil-and-asia