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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Long M* Interview with PRWCX's David Giroux
    Paul Massaro Article on Fixed Income:
    uncovering-opportunities-noninvestment-grade-credit
    On Duration Risk:
    ... if you're going to take duration risk, take duration risk in your equity sleeve, not in your fixed-income sleeve. Duration risk in equities is really cheap, given how attractive utilities are priced today relative to investment-grade or Treasuries
    On Holdings:
    But you can't outperform by 400 basis points a year or 300 basis points per year if you have 100 stocks. It's very, very hard to do that. You really need to be a little more concentrated.
    TRP's Floating Rate Fund = PRFRX
    Market inefficiencies...
    GARP-y Stocks = Growth At Reasonable Price
    -13% of the S&P 500 (according to Giroux)
    https://investopedia.com/terms/g/garp.asp
    I think what drives in many respects the multiple companies is a little bit supply and demand. So, the reason why this 13% of the S&P 500 that I call GARP, trades where it does, and it should trade higher, is that a value manager will often look and say, Well, these companies, they trade for 10% or 20% premium to the market, that’s too expensive, so I can't invest in those stocks. Growth manager says, you know what, these companies, they're only growing organically like 4% or 5% organically. I want to own companies that are growing 10% organically.
    So, in many cases, there's no natural buyer for these companies. So, that depresses their valuation to a level where, again, if you think about the market, the market, typically, in non-recession years, grows earnings at 6% to 7% kind of clip, gives you a 2% dividend yield. So, for a small premium to that, which you'd able to generate, is find the companies that are growing earnings at 10% plus, maybe a little bit more dividend yield, and have much less downside risk, because there's an inefficiency. The two big market participants kind of shunned these companies a little bit. So, what happens is, over time, they just compound wealth, and in many cases, the market becomes a little bit smarter over time and says, Oh, it used to trade for 18 times earnings, but it's actually a really good company, and you should trade for 20 or 21 times or 22 times. So, you get the compounding of the earnings and the dividend and usually, like the multiple expands.
  • FPA Capital FPPTX reorg into FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value (QRSIX) complete
    First Pacific Advisors, LP (“FPA”), investment adviser to the FPA Queens Road Small Cap Value Fund (QRSIX/QRSAX/QRSVX) (“the Fund”), is pleased to announce that FPA Capital has completed its reorganization into the Fund, with more than 85% of the FPA Capital shares cast in support of the reorganization.

    For further details, please click here.
    https://fpa.com/news-special-commentaries/fund-announcements/2021/02/01/fpa-announces-completion-of-fpa-capital-reorganization-into-fpa-queens-road-small-cap-value
    Shadow posted not long ago that this had been deferred because the funds were trying to scrounge up votes. It finally went through.
    Prof. Snowball's page on Queens Road Small Cap Value: https://www.mutualfundobserver.com/2020/08/queens-road-small-cap-value-qrsvx/
    Prospectus w/Jan 29th supplement: https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1170611/000110465921009595/a21-4366_1497.htm
  • Long M* Interview with PRWCX's David Giroux
    Tell me where you see that, David?
    Asset Allocation
    –100%–50050100
    Asset Class Net Short Long Cat. Index
    U.S. Equity 64.65 0.27 64.92 47.07 34.65
    Non-U.S. Equity 2.37 0.00 2.37 12.22 25.85
    Fixed Income 19.30 0.00 19.30 36.49 38.26
    Other -0.88 0.88 0.00 1.99 1.04
    Cash 12.36 0.00 12.36 5.92 0.00
    Not Classified 2.20 0.00 2.20 0.85 0.20
    Fund as of Dec 31, 2020 | Category: Allocation--50% to 70% Equity as of Dec 31, 2020 | Index: Morningstar Mod Tgt Risk TR USD as of Jan 31, 2021 | Source: Holdings-based calculations.
    ....Well, that came out looking like a complete snafu. Screenshots need to be made simpler for those like me.
    *********************************
    blob:moz-extension://bc5f8622-b739-744f-92c7-a121e7d65862/15f8c62b-6b42-8c47-9a10-c08c4e6cc059
  • Long M* Interview with PRWCX's David Giroux

    Hi Mike - unfortunately I don't have the cycles right now to offer a detailed summary, but the transcript is fairly easy to skim. I do remember he favors utilities as a capital appreciation play right now, though. (I hold several, so this was somewhat confirmation bias to me)
    @rforno. Thanks much for sharing this. .i wish I could buy his fund. Any key takeaways you can summarize?
  • What Is A SPAC? - Everything SPAC And How It Works (Video)
    Someone in one of the discussion threads asked about this so I'm posting this SA article for informational purposes only.
    Special Purpose Acquisition Companies - What are they? How are they created? What does the capital structure look like? What are warrants? Watch this before you invest in SPACs.
    ARTICLE
  • Baron Funds Annual Report
    I have been a Baron's shareholder for years, although I never went to his shareholder events every year where some Mega star shows up. Having said that I got nervous when his kids started showing up as fund mangers, and left five or ten years ago.
    I did leave a chunk of my Daughter's IRA in BPRTX, although it is leveraged 30% and has had huge drawdowns (47% tin 2020 and 60% in 2009)
    Having said that we just sold half because TSLA is 47% of the fund. Baron may have sold some TSLA, but so far this year BPRTX's return is 50% of TSLA; you would expect more if it is leveraged
    I think his investment philosophy is sound, but letting a mutual fund to become nearly a one stock vehicle is too risky. We have all seen what happened with Sequoia and Fairholm when that happened.
    I would start small and wait for a significant pullback, and only use money you won't need in 10 years.
  • Long M* Interview with PRWCX's David Giroux
    I have invested with him since the inception. Giroux was very generous with his time that revealed his stock picking process. Having close to 20% cash in Feb 2020 allowed him to pick up good companies at low prices. Also took lots of guts too. As he said the fund is aimed to deliver good return (S&P500 like) with a lower risk over a market cycle.
  • Is anyone else concerned about what is happening?
    New York-based hedge fund Senvest Management started investing in GameStop before it caught fire with much of the r/WallStreetBets crowd, and by October 2020, it owned more than 5% of the company.....after GameStop stock peaked at more than $400, the hedge fund walked away with a $700 million profit...."Given what was going on, it was hard to imagine it getting crazier," Senvest CEO and fund manager Robert Mashaal told The Journal.
    Link: A hedge fund made $700 million
  • Brandywine Global Investment Management, LLC to acquire Diamond Hill’s focused High Yield & Corp Cr
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/909108/000090910821000014/dhil-202123xexx991.htm
    Excerpt:
    COLUMBUS, OHIO - February 3, 2021 - Diamond Hill Investment Group, Inc. (Nasdaq: DHIL), today announced that Diamond Hill Capital Management, its independent active asset manager subsidiary, has entered into a definitive agreement to enable Brandywine Global Investment Management, LLC (“Brandywine Global”), a specialist investment manager and subsidiary of Franklin Resources, Inc. (NYSE: BEN), to acquire the business of Diamond Hill’s high yield-focused High Yield and Corporate Credit Funds. The transaction is expected to close in the second quarter of 2021, subject to customary closing conditions, including fund board and fund shareholder approval. Portfolio managers John McClain, CFA, and Bill Zox, CFA, and research associate Jack Parker, CFA, will join Brandywine Global as part of the transaction...
  • The Big Myth about Money and Inflation
    gosh, maybe this is wrong too!
    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/12/03/opinion/biden-republicans-debt.html
    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/01/14/opinion/biden-economy.html
    maybe we should not spend and should cut services instead, seriously so
    why does someone as gifted as you claim to be present as unserious so often?
  • The Big Myth about Money and Inflation
    Studzinski in this month's commentary sounds unusually out of touch about these matters, imo
    He does not read Krugman and all his economic peers about an economy simply growing out of its gov debt, without need ever to 'pay it back'.
    And the caps here appear to mean 'you must take this on faith and my sayso':
    Given that the amounts of goods and services in the economy did not change much in 2020, and if you had cash sitting in a CD or money market fund, that cash also did not change much, YOU HAVE ROUGHLY 20% LESS PURCHASING POWER TODAY THAN YOU DID A YEAR AGO.
    I really wonder what is up with so smart an investment adviser.
  • Highland Socially Responsible Fund to be reorganized

    "Highland Capital Management LP, once a giant in high-yield debt markets, filed for bankruptcy protection Wednesday as investors and former employees seek more than $200 million from the firm for alleged improprieties."
    ...
    If anybody has more up to date information on the fund advisor's bankruptcy status, I would appreciate hearing from you.
    The fund advisor is Highland Capital Management Fund Advisors LP. As the WSJ later wrote:
    Highland [Capital Management LP] is one of several investment platforms under the same ownership, including Highland Capital Management Fund Advisors LP and NexPoint Advisors LP, which didn’t file for bankruptcy.
    https://www.wsj.com/articles/highland-capital-management-lp-co-founder-out-under-deal-with-creditors-11577738959
  • Reddit traders are helping to inflate a bond bubble: Ark's Cathie Wood
    Her argument is that by pushing up the stock prices of dicey companies it makes it cheaper for them to access capital, and that affects the bond market's pricing. It seems rather tangential and too much of a reach, given just a handful of companies involved and the immensity of the bond market.
  • Reddit traders are helping to inflate a bond bubble: Ark's Cathie Wood

    While some deep value and/or companies with too much debt may be impacted by some form of Reddit inspired trading; unless the bond market place becomes overwhelmed by bond slayers, I'm not concerned about potential impact; with the exception of pockets of disruption in some single issues that are junk or borderline corporate junk. I'm not saying these companies do not exist, they surely do. A Reddit traders big test would be to go after Ford or a similar company with a lot of debt, to discover their power OR not.
    Estimated global bond value as of August, 2020 is $128.3 Trillion.
    My 2 cents worth.
    Catch
  • HMEZX - Highland Capital Management Still in Bankruptcy Protection?
    I have been looking at Highland Capital Management with respect to their NexPoint Merger Arbitrage fund (HMEZX). In the process, I came across an article in the Wall Street Journal from October 16, 2019 that indicated that the firm filed for bankruptcy.
    HMEZX has a very good record, but I was curious why the fund had only attracted $68 million in assets since it opened in September 2016. The answer may be found in this article:
    "Highland Capital Management LP, once a giant in high-yield debt markets, filed for bankruptcy protection Wednesday as investors and former employees seek more than $200 million from the firm for alleged improprieties.
    The Dallas-based firm founded by Jim Dondero helped pioneer trading of corporate loans rated below investment-grade and managed about $39 billion in 2007, but it took heavy losses during the financial crisis and has been embroiled in lawsuits ever since. The company had been trying in recent weeks to settle some of the litigation it faces, warning its adversaries that it would seek bankruptcy protection if they didn’t compromise, people familiar with the matter said.
    Highland entered chapter 11 in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Wilmington, Del., listing as its largest debt a disputed $189 million claim from investors in Highland Crusader Fund, a hedge fund that has been in liquidation since the financial crisis. The second-largest creditor is Patrick Daugherty, a former Highland portfolio-manager who has been in personal and legal conflict with Mr. Dondero since 2012 and has an $11.7 million claim against Highland, according to its bankruptcy filing.
    A group of investors in Crusader sued Highland in 2016 in Delaware Chancery Court, demanding Highland be fired as manager for delaying the fund’s liquidation and claiming that Highland wrongfully paid itself $30 million. The group subsequently won an arbitration award that Highland has yet to pay, court documents show.
    In a statement, Highland said the bankruptcy filing was made “in consideration of its liquidity profile” and stems from a potential judgment in favor of a committee of Crusader Fund investors."

    I don't know the current status of of the bankruptcy filing, but, needless to say, I am no longer interested in HMEZX as a potential investment opportunity.
    If anybody has more up to date information on the fund advisor's bankruptcy status, I would appreciate hearing from you.
    But, buyer beware.
    Fred
  • Highland Socially Responsible Fund to be reorganized
    I have been looking at Highland Capital Management with respect to their NexPoint Merger Arbitrage fund (HMEZX). In the process, I came across an article in the Wall Street Journal from October 16, 2019 that indicated that the firm filed for bankruptcy.
    HMEZX has a very good record, but I was curious why the fund had only attracted $68 million in assets since it opened in September 2016. The answer may be found in this article:
    "Highland Capital Management LP, once a giant in high-yield debt markets, filed for bankruptcy protection Wednesday as investors and former employees seek more than $200 million from the firm for alleged improprieties.
    The Dallas-based firm founded by Jim Dondero helped pioneer trading of corporate loans rated below investment-grade and managed about $39 billion in 2007, but it took heavy losses during the financial crisis and has been embroiled in lawsuits ever since. The company had been trying in recent weeks to settle some of the litigation it faces, warning its adversaries that it would seek bankruptcy protection if they didn’t compromise, people familiar with the matter said.
    Highland entered chapter 11 in U.S. Bankruptcy Court in Wilmington, Del., listing as its largest debt a disputed $189 million claim from investors in Highland Crusader Fund, a hedge fund that has been in liquidation since the financial crisis. The second-largest creditor is Patrick Daugherty, a former Highland portfolio-manager who has been in personal and legal conflict with Mr. Dondero since 2012 and has an $11.7 million claim against Highland, according to its bankruptcy filing.
    A group of investors in Crusader sued Highland in 2016 in Delaware Chancery Court, demanding Highland be fired as manager for delaying the fund’s liquidation and claiming that Highland wrongfully paid itself $30 million. The group subsequently won an arbitration award that Highland has yet to pay, court documents show.
    In a statement, Highland said the bankruptcy filing was made “in consideration of its liquidity profile” and stems from a potential judgment in favor of a committee of Crusader Fund investors."

    I don't know the current status of of the bankruptcy filing, but, needless to say, I am no longer interested in HMEZX as a potential investment opportunity.
    If anybody has more up to date information on the fund advisor's bankruptcy status, I would appreciate hearing from you.
    But, buyer beware.
    Fred