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what-happens-to-small-caps-after-a-huge-monthly-gain/The Russell 2000 Index of small cap stocks is currently on pace for its best month ever. As of Tuesday afternoon, it’s now up more than 20% for the month of November. I looked at every double-digit return month for the Russell 2000 going back to 1979 and then calculated the total returns for the ensuing 1, 3 and 5 year periods to see how they performed after those wonderful months:
why-housing-could-be-one-of-the-best-performing-asset-classes-of-the-2020sThere is a real possibility real estate could be one of the dominant assets of the 2020s. Here are some reasons why:
Millennials. Young people are settling down later in life because they are going to school for longer, had to deal with a housing bust, and graduated in and around the Great Financial Crisis. But millennials were going to begin doing adult things eventually.
That means buying houses, even if it comes later in life than it did for their parents. Millennials are now the biggest demographic in the country and will dominate the most common ages in the country for years to come:
small-caps-break-out-of-two-year-consolidationAccording to Jon Krinsky at Baycrest, 83% of the Russell 3k names got back above their 200-day moving averages last week, a record going back seven years to 2013. It wasn’t bearish then and it’s not likely to be bearish now.
move-over-millennialsIt’s time to shift our attention to the next generation, Gen Z. These are the 2.5 billion people born between 1996 and 2016.
Gen Z is the single largest age cohort, representing 32% of the global population (2.5 Billion), Nine in 10 of these young people live in emerging markets……half a billion of them are in India, more than the combined population of Gen Zers in China and the United States.
Thematic Investing - OK Zoomer: Gen Z PrimerDemographics have big implications for everyone. It shapes societies. It transforms political systems. It makes economies run.
Check out the whole report if you want to learn more about where we’re going.
https://axios.com/janet-yellen-treasury-secretary-9296b6ad-fead-4362-bb23-f0343965a9b8.htmlWhy it matters: The Treasury secretary wields enormous power in policy on regulations, taxes and the broad economy. Their actions can either reassure and spook financial markets. (Remember Mnuchin's infamous call with the big banks?)
"Investors shouldn’t worry that [Yellen] will make off-the-cuff remarks that will spur volatility. She’s the ultimate steady hand," Ian Katz, a financial policy analyst at Capital Alpha Partners, said in a note.
"While she isn’t the kind of hands-off free-marketeer that investors would prefer if they had the choice, she isn’t going to make markets nervous."
I added your comment into this thread:A recent AAII article showed that beginning with equal investments in the S&P 500 sectors and rebalancing yearly from the best performing sectors to the lesser performing ones increased one's returns substantially over time. However that must be taken with the willingness to go through all the watching and rebalancing efforts required. Your choice.
Interesting food for thought:...2020 looks like it could go down in history as the worst intra-year drawdown that finished the year with a positive return. And the fact that those gains are now in double-digit territory is not something many (any?) people saw coming. The S&P is now up well over 60% since bottoming in late-March.
the-biggest-stock-market-reversal-in-historySitting on your hands and not panicking, even when stocks are down big, remains one of the best investment strategies on the planet.
This discussion did get me thinking about which type of debt is a bigger problem for the economy. Here are the outstanding debt levels for both student loans and credit card debt:
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