Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
As it turns out, not all T/A are created equal!
One particular T/A from BellCurveTrading has, even in these seemingly blindfolded times, successfully projected and predicted the recent, respective index tops AND the respective index % drawdowns t…
https://www.yahoo.com/news/white-house-insists-still-seal-184028885.html
White House insists it can still seal 75 trade deals in 90 days – but says it’s currently only in talks with 34 countries
And if you believe the 34 number, I got some choice …
Aside: Add a HUGE asterisk to all that given that the vast majority of the market action in the past three months has been self-induced, with wild market swings being caused daily by smoke, mirrors and WAG data.
And that is indeed the catch, isn…
So, there seems to be little interest in T/A here, but for anyone who is interested...
Here's a great historical look by MW at S&P drops in various prior periods, including those that did and did not end in recessions.
https://www.marketwatch.…
Futures pop!
Well, well. What a surprise! (sic) So he’s gonna keep the “major loser” after all.
Apparently somebody informed TOT that he can’t legally fire the Fed Chair, and if he did, he’d need to fire the rest of the regional Feds, and he’d h…
Hi @Old_Joe and @stillers
I always do my best to NOT place any link that is not 'official' or 'real', unless the site is intended for some other purpose (comedy, etc).
AND, yes; the WH covid19 page is very strange.........but to be expected, eh…
As posted on the BSW thread yesterday, we started our DCA process into one of the the hardest hit sectors, tech, as comments about Powell and FEAR gripped the markets.
Today, markets are immediately back to the HOPE phase.
https://www.cnbc.com/20…
Back to the OP discussion...
We have scoped several Foreign and Global LC funds recently and will be starting a new position in one of them today as a companion fund to currently owned BISAX (FS/MV).
The scoping list, in no particular order inclu…
I clicked on the OP link and my first thought when it loaded was I inadvertently loaded a porn sight. It just felt so slimy and greasy, so I closed it immediately.
I trust his disinfectant and powerful light cures were detailed there?
https://www…
@stillers -- OAKMX is FCLV? I thought it was all domestic.
Thanks man, great catch. Yeah, only 3% Foreign.
I've been scoping Foreign funds, especially FLCV for about a week (see above list) and had a brain fart there on my 2nd OAKMX post. My bad.…
Words of wisdom about this from the venerable Ron Insana:
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/21/ron-insana-confidence-in-the-us-will-be-shaken-if-trump-seeks-to-remove-powell-as-fed-chair.html
Again, OAKMX is a 5*, LCV fund that tracks well vs the S&P, beating it by 2% over the past 3 years, by 5+% over 5 years, trailing it by a measly 0.5% over 10 years, and beating it by 2% over its LFE.
I don't diss funds that do that, especial…
Re-deployed some March 31 sales proceeds back into two of hardest hit funds since then, FSELX and FDSVX. Start of DCA process to get all of remaining proceeds re-deployed before respective OEF SELL levels regained. Target range for first DCA BUYs wa…
Words of wisdom about this from the venerable Ron Insana:
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/21/ron-insana-confidence-in-the-us-will-be-shaken-if-trump-seeks-to-remove-powell-as-fed-chair.html
We have owned OAKMX off-and-on over the years and own it currently. Still a 5* fund that tracks well vs S&P despite being LCV. Was having a very good year until the debacle. Always thought it was/is their best offering.
Very wise to nipple that way!
We're getting close to the Liberation Day lows. S&P is within spitting distance of the Big C. NASDAQ now DOWN 28% from its peak. Getting into the tempting zone (to DCA or dump) but we've seen this too many time…
Nothing against Zweig or the messenger, but...
With S&P futures DOWN 1.25%, from the link I had previously posted, the Buffoon's Blink Bounce is starting to look more and more like a classic Dead Cat Bounce and Bear Market rally:
Excerpt:
Dead…
Deleted original response. @stillers Let’s just say I agree with you on the potential negative ramifications on the actions of the President. And if he does get rid of Powell…………
...
Wow, sorry man, that surely was not my intent. Last thing I w…
@msf, FWIW...
Our fave dedicated Foreign fund was GSIHX but we jettisoned it at our 2024 YE Review and replaced it with Brandes' BISAX. Wanted to shift our exposure there to Value from Growth. So far so good.
Looking to add another dedicated F…
Here's the best bond article I read this weekend.
https://www.marketwatch.com/articles/high-yield-junk-bonds-9ed6141e?mod=search_headline
Excerpt:
The higher spreads split investors “into two camps—head for the hills or this is an incredible buyi…
Hmm, I think we disagree quite a bit on all that.
I think the extreme pessimism is highly warranted and appropriate now and for the next 3 years, 9 months, if he manages to hold the office to term.
We're only three months in and he's already ma…
For the investor, more specifically, AVOID high risk assets.
Yeah, there were a lot of detractors on this forum when rates were topping out and as I was posting regularly about the merits of building a 5-yr, CP CD ladder paying over 5%.
I'm sure t…
"...What guidance should an investor remember in an unprecedented murky time?"
This? At the top of the Risk Management Tools/Techniques ladder is Avoidance.
It is very effective almost all times, and is arguably very appropriate "...in uncharted …
Saw a bunch of heavy-set, bearded guys driving pick ups, wearing similar red hats, storming grocery stores here this week. Shelves are emptying FAST!.
Managed to buy two cases of it today, albeit after-market. Pricey, but just don't wanna be le…
Two comments.
Volatility creates opportunities.
Injecting daily politics as a basis for investment analysis isn't a good choice.
Heightened volatility due to massive uncertainty increases the likelihood of a serious "accident."
It's unwise to igno…
...
I'm flooded.
...
Maybe change your underwear?
Or rent a sump pump?
Posters would need more info about all that to have any chance of helping you outta that mess.
The Mike Santoli video I referenced was about two periods in recent S&P history when the S&P experienced a Death Cross and then at a later date experienced a Golden Cross.
It had ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to do with the predictability of markets…
S&P appears poised to regain the Fibo 50% retracement line, and may even make it's first run at the 61.8% line.
Meanwhile, here's some historical data that helps me better understand why Katie S's recurring guidance over the past month or so …
Some great, recent stuff from Katie Stockton.
Left this old lady with the feeling that I may be too old to even hope to see a leveling off, much less a recovery, during my dwindling lifetime.
Hey, @Anna! Always great to see your posts.
The Mike…
What TA signals led to the 50% Sell on March 31?
Great question.
No specific T/A signals lead to our March 31 SELLs of 50% of stocks on March 31. T/A is after all, large parts science and art. It is generally always a combination of chart moveme…
And also, as I posted on yogi's Death Cross thread:
Shortly after Fri's close CNBC's Mike Santoli did a great S&P chart piece on what he called "Dark Crosses" (Death Crosses to many) including a look back at two prior, similar crosses. He showe…
"I'm told that when it's certifiable, it's pretty damned hard to cross back over to the sanity side."
Ha! Ha!
You're probably right!
Saying the quiet part out loud!
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-fund-ma…
