Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
For the investor, more specifically, AVOID high risk assets.
Yeah, there were a lot of detractors on this forum when rates were topping out and as I was posting regularly about the merits of building a 5-yr, CP CD ladder paying over 5%.
I'm sure t…
"...What guidance should an investor remember in an unprecedented murky time?"
This? At the top of the Risk Management Tools/Techniques ladder is Avoidance.
It is very effective almost all times, and is arguably very appropriate "...in uncharted …
Saw a bunch of heavy-set, bearded guys driving pick ups, wearing similar red hats, storming grocery stores here this week. Shelves are emptying FAST!.
Managed to buy two cases of it today, albeit after-market. Pricey, but just don't wanna be le…
Two comments.
Volatility creates opportunities.
Injecting daily politics as a basis for investment analysis isn't a good choice.
Heightened volatility due to massive uncertainty increases the likelihood of a serious "accident."
It's unwise to igno…
...
I'm flooded.
...
Maybe change your underwear?
Or rent a sump pump?
Posters would need more info about all that to have any chance of helping you outta that mess.
The Mike Santoli video I referenced was about two periods in recent S&P history when the S&P experienced a Death Cross and then at a later date experienced a Golden Cross.
It had ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to do with the predictability of markets…
S&P appears poised to regain the Fibo 50% retracement line, and may even make it's first run at the 61.8% line.
Meanwhile, here's some historical data that helps me better understand why Katie S's recurring guidance over the past month or so …
Some great, recent stuff from Katie Stockton.
Left this old lady with the feeling that I may be too old to even hope to see a leveling off, much less a recovery, during my dwindling lifetime.
Hey, @Anna! Always great to see your posts.
The Mike…
What TA signals led to the 50% Sell on March 31?
Great question.
No specific T/A signals lead to our March 31 SELLs of 50% of stocks on March 31. T/A is after all, large parts science and art. It is generally always a combination of chart moveme…
And also, as I posted on yogi's Death Cross thread:
Shortly after Fri's close CNBC's Mike Santoli did a great S&P chart piece on what he called "Dark Crosses" (Death Crosses to many) including a look back at two prior, similar crosses. He showe…
"I'm told that when it's certifiable, it's pretty damned hard to cross back over to the sanity side."
Ha! Ha!
You're probably right!
Saying the quiet part out loud!
https://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/us-politics/donald-trump-fund-ma…
Shortly after Fri's close CNBC's Mike Santoli did a great S&P chart piece on what he called "Dark Crosses" (Death Crosses to many) including a look back at two prior, similar crosses. He showed the time it took to get back to Golden Crosses, an…
Hey @Junkster! Thanks for that.
It was after all, one of the bigger short squeezes of all-time!
From a definition perspective, it's pretty easy to argue at this point it was a DCB, as it was NOT based on fundamentals (rather the deep fear that a…
Four straight months of decline...I trust the fact that the buffoon was elected five months ago is purely coincidental?
"Fact number 1. Consumer spending is a big driver of the economy."
Yeah, ~68% kinda big!
"Fact number two..."
AI Overview (Rea…
Oh, I thought this thread was about the buffoon's tariffs "achievement."
A buddy of mine uses an alternate meaning for it, but he refers to us as a country of "liquid intelligence." Meaning, we do not routinely/consistently turn what we momentaril…
Just BOT a 5-yr, CP CD paying 4.05% on the Secondary Issue market for a nice enough Discount to throw of an effective APY of 4.2%.
New Issue CP CD APYs currently top out at 3.8%
Though FAR, very FAR, from an expert, we use major indexes T/A most times to determine our overall investment strategy, especially our level of stock allocation that is currently comprised of funds. (We do very little indv stock investing, usually …
"...I’m hopeful that sanity will prevail and we’ll move through this period of time on the global trade front relatively quickly.'”
I'm told that when it's certifiable, it's pretty damned hard to cross back over to the sanity side.
Thanks for the response. And very interesting.
The T/A provided in the link is primarily Fibo retracement stuff and gap filling, with a look back at similar scenarios and outcomes.
BTW, I wasn't clear. My question was more about index or fund/E…
So if MFO stock investors aren't interested in some pretty good T/A, what do you use to guide your stock investment decisions?
Fundamentals? Good luck discerning them during this buffoon-induced disaster
Emotions? That usually works out well, eh?
'I’m hopeful that sanity will prevail and we’ll move through this period of time on the global trade front relatively quickly.'”
Sanity -----> Insanity: Reasonably certain given enough time
Insanity ----> Sanity: Good luck with all th…
If only the buffoon knew what AEI's Derek Scissors so concisely explained the other day (that I've posted somewhere) and what any Econ 101 student knows about China tariffs and tariffs in general...
...he'd probably still proceed with the insanity.…
And so the selling began in earnest overnight and is continuing throughout the day.
Way too early for the T/A to claim victory, but he clearly has a leg up on it based on today's action. Further gains beyond yesterday's close appear improbable and…
Well, he only tallied one notable accomplishment in his 1st term, reducing taxes for the wealthy.
If he can get this shower head initiative booked in the 1st year of his 2nd term, maybe that frees up even more time for golf down the road?
Gonna have to throw a WEAK flag on his play!
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/09/trump-tariffs-live-updates.html
Excerpt:
‘BE COOL’: Three times Trump dug in on tariffs before he reversed course
The president for days has insisted that his tariffs w…
Charlie Gasparino says "What happened in the bond market overnight, the spike in yields on the 30-year and the 10-year bond, which showed that people were dumping our bonds," he noted. "And from what I understand, this is what forced the hand of thi…
The official adm position:
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/09/trump-tariffs-live-updates.html
Excerpt:
Bessent says that Trump was always planning to pull back his sweeping tariff plans for dozens of countries just days after announcing it.
“This w…
A dear, long-time friend asked me to put up his Xmas tree a few years ago. He's a Trumper and he had Fox Entertainment on full blast for the 1/2 hour it took me to hurriedly put up his fake tree.
I ran home and hosed myself off. Literally. I f…
