Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

    Support MFO

  • Donate through PayPal

FD1000

About

Users name
FD1000
Joined
Visits
3,884
Last Active
Roles
Member

Comments

  • Every week I can find articles about doom and gloom, eventually, the market will go down at one point. Hussman (link) made a career of scaring investors for many years. he looked great in 2008 but in the last 10 years his funds' performance is ter…
  • @catch, you think the article is good. I think it's average. I have read so many generic articles with generic ideas. I like to discuss specifics and help people with uniques problems because most have unique situations. I made comments about eac…
  • None of the rules will make you wealthy. The best way for an average person it to start saving earlier and keep saving monthly thru 401K(or similar) for years. The more you save the better you will be. Basically, if you start early to meet your e…
  • As a generic rule, I would invest in MBS before I would invest in HY. MBS/Securitized is where great managers have great risk/reward + you get higher distributions which is what many retirees want/need. The following funds have a high % in Securiti…
  • Why would I buy SHV when MM pays the same? Because the Fed is expanding its balance sheet stocks and bonds are doing great.. In the last 3 months (link) SHV made 0.4% but PIMIX made 2.7% and NHMAX(HY Muni) made 3% and SPY made over 10%
  • I put more emphasis on the last 3 years. When I compare RPHIX,ZEOIX,SEMMX,DHEIX(link) RPHIX has inferior numbers to the other 3. DHEIX is the only one with 80+% in investment-grade rating. I can't buy DHEIX at Schwab but I can buy DHEAX with no f…
  • See numbers from PortVis(link) of PIMIX,JGIAX,JMUTX,PUCZX 1) PIMIX + JMUTX have similar volatility=SD but JMUTX performance is better and why JMUTX Sharpe+Sortino is better. 2) JGIAX + JMUTX have similar performance but JMUTX volatility is better an…
  • I have accounts at Fidelity and Schwab and transferred in-kind mutual funds several times in the past between the two. It's usually available in 3 business days. I left Vanguard more than 20 years ago because I entered a trade to sell an index fund …
  • Can someone explain why High Yield / Floating are kinda being lumped together above. I'm reading high yield not good place to be but what about floating rate? Asking because have some of my MIL's money in PRFRX and I viewed it as conservative inves…
  • Comparing VFINX to DODFX was an error, it should be VFINX vs DODGX. The link and numbers are based on DODGX. SP500 beat DODGX. I also agree that low fees are important and if I have to select funds for the next 20 years I would only select index f…
  • SD=volatility is just the first thing I look for. I pay a lot of attention to Sharpe, Sortino, Max Draw and more. Let's look again at D&B compared to "my" funds. I already proved that A 5 years analysis(link) shows that DODFX has over 40% more…
  • DODFX vs HFQTX depends on whether you're investing in a tax-sheltered account (where you're losing the benefit of the foreign tax credit) or in a taxable account. In a taxable account, one pays a cost for the Janus fund's frenetic trading (142% tur…
  • D&C is a good shop but I never used their funds because I found better choices. They also take an extra risk and when markets don't do well they lose more. DODLX vs PFORX (chart) DODBX vs PRWCX (chart) DODGX vs VFINX (chart) DODFX vs HFQTX (cha…
  • @dtconroe Regarding Tax Cost Ratio (TCR), I don't recall what tax rate / bracket M* uses to calculate the value. The definition M* provides is silent on the topic. For munis, with a TCR of 0% the issue is moot. Perhaps I don't understand TCR full…
    in * Comment by FD1000 January 2020
  • @dtconroe Regarding Tax Cost Ratio (TCR), I don't recall what tax rate / bracket M* uses to calculate the value. The definition M* provides is silent on the topic. For munis, with a TCR of 0% the issue is moot. Perhaps I don't understand TCR full…
    in * Comment by FD1000 January 2020
  • The following is a comment I made many times before in several forums. PE, PE10, inverted yield curve other experts such as Bogle, Arnott (PAUIX) and GMO can be off by months and years. Regression to the mean can be off by years.
  • NHMAX+ORNAX had a great run in 2019. LT bonds isn't a category I usually use because of higher volatility. My goal is to stay within lower volatility funds but still make a good return. HY Munis also have tax-advantaged over LT bond. Lastly, if yo…
  • NHMAX+ORNAX had a great run in 2019. LT bonds isn't a category I usually use because of higher volatility. My goal is to stay within lower volatility funds but still make a good return. HY Munis also have tax-advantaged over LT bond. Lastly, if yo…
  • The above 4 periods do not give a typical investor an insight on what to do. I see only 2 distinctive periods where you want to trade (or make adjustments) if you care and know how to do that. As a trader, I follow trends closely but I also notic…
  • HY Munis continue to defy gravity and NHMAX+ORNAX already are up 1+% in just 10 days :-)
  • FWIW, Schwab lists PONAX with a net exp ratio of 1.45% It also shows it has a 12b-1 expense of .25%. So I have know idea what you would end up paying. But, I haven't owned it for a few years so don't care. PONAX exp ratio is 1.45%. This includes 12…
  • The expense ratio for PONAX is 1.45%. Sebi, in its board meeting on September 18, 2018, anounced changes in the total expense ratio (TER) of mutual funds. It made the changes to bring in transparency in appropriation of expenses, and reducing mis-s…
  • If that's your only 2 options I would buy PONAX because it's more of a ballast fund than BHYAX. I would start making adjustments to your asset allocation gradually 5-7 years before retirement.
  • As so many have rightly said - everyone's circumstances are different. Is it really true that everyone's circumstances are different? can it be that 2 investors with similar situations invest completely differently and both be correct? Examples: …
    in * Comment by FD1000 January 2020
  • The usual suspect. These articles are published for investors to read with minimal ideas. Let's take an example of just one sentence "We've had a nice reversal in Q4 where it's risk back on again," said Peter Palfrey, vice president and co-manager …
  • Mark "Not a fan of Mutual funds, no out performance" FD I'm a huge fan of Mutual funds. Buying stocks can be rewarding or spinning your wheels. Over the years my stock funds had better risk/reward than the market and my bond funds beat the index…
  • The title says 7 best. What makes them the "best"? The article does not define that. +1 I would look at flexible bond funds where managers can add performance + possibly better risk attributes.
  • Future were -1.5% already and now only about -0.3%
  • Over the years I have been using a high % in one of the following funds NHMAX ORNAX OPTAX PHMIX by using momentum. My HY Munis fund opened the year with a bang (already 0.7+% in just a week). All my taxable is invested in that fund. Time for me to …
  • Can I Retire Securely by Saving Only in an IRA? Absolutely, if you are married and each one of you saved $500 per month and the return is 8% annually in 30 years you will have 1.4+ million. Then, you just eat rice, beans and ramen noodles for the re…
  • several comments: 1) I believe and can prove it that in most cases you want to own stock funds + bond funds because bond funds is where you find managers who can add performance + better risk attributes. 2) Stocks are simpler, you must own US LC an…
  • If you want to learn more about IOFIX and generally about this category, you can read this excellent presentation.
  • Please use this (link) which is basically a search of IOFIX ar MFO and read lots of previous info.
  • In 12/31/2010 GMO 7 year forecasted US large cap would make 0.4% + 2.5% inflation = 2.9%. The SPY made over 14% annually (link). Bogle was wrong about the SPY too and Arnott was very wrong and why PAUIX lagged badly. Many experts were wrong in the…
  • Over the years I have been using a high % in one of the following funds NHMAX ORNAX OPTAX PHMIX by using momentum.
  • I have been using a % in HY Munis for years in one of the following funds NHMAX, OPTAX, ORNAX, PHMIX based on momentum.
  • stillers "Pretty sure that following a poster from one internet board to another, primarily to harass or criticize, on CHRISTMAS DAY no less, elevates ones already despicable status of "troll" all the way to "TROLL."" I'm active on MFO since 2017 a…
    in * Comment by FD1000 December 2019
  • dtconroe: I have held BTMIX for all of 2019, and it had a good year, but it averages below 3% total return over its history. I have generally wanted funds in my taxable account, with an average total return history of over 3%. Both BTMIX and DBLSX c…
    in * Comment by FD1000 December 2019