Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
@msf, The days of cman. MaxBialystock...I will try to misremember less. Thanks for this post (repost).
I do see merit in living within your means (keeping living expenses low) and Investing agressively or as @Ted would say..."Letting the Big Dog Ba…
From the article:
a rising equity glide path in retirement could start with an equity allocation that is even lower than typically recommended (in safe withdrawal rate research literature) at the start of retirement, but then slowly increase the sto…
You did mention impatience.
A difficult habit to break or merely bend. We are all guilty of it. Whether its investing or driving a car. I personally annoy those behind me as I coast to a red light while other relish in accelerating and breaking ha…
Thanks to @Maurice, @AndyJ, and @LLJB for your links.
This leading indicator does seems to be a bit elusive on a "up to moment basis" due to revisions. As noted by a few quotes from one link:
"...failure to predict recessions is virtually unblem…
Just pure speculation, but could Treasury be selling assets prior to good news?
Today, July 7th, the market jump positively on news of higher than expected jobs report (something that Treasury should have been fully aware of). Yesterday's sell off…
@hank...@Crash
Here's a former poster named "Max" in November 2013 testing the waters.
I have a feeling things worked out just fine for "Ol' Max" and his affinity for PRWCX and other TR Price funds.
Using Portfolio Visualizer the chart in David's article doesn't look all that much different when using the S&P 500 (I used VOO) in comparison to the FAANG stocks. Here what PV produced. I used equal weight for the FAANG stocks. (FAANG portfolio…
I found this possible explanation:
A few banks, including Wells Fargo, will let you borrow more than your car is worth, putting you in a negative equity position from day one.
Bob Hurzeler, head of Wells Fargo's direct-to-consumer auto finance divi…
@STB65,
Are you suggesting VMVFX?
WMVFX doesn't exist yet unless you are rolling it out here first on MFO.
By the way I do like the risk reward profile of VMVFX. A fairly new fund from Wanguard...Good choice.
If Dividends are the mother's milk for small investors, AUM and management fees are a similar elixir for fund managers.
An outflow of assets hurts a fund manager worse than an equity bear market when it comes to a fund manager's profits. Remember,…
VWINX highlighted here:
Long-Term Growing Income From An Open-End Mutual Fund: Is This Possible?
Criteria:
The Retirement Income withdrawal will be 4% of the beginning investment value with each successive year's withdrawal increasing by 3% to allo…
@davidmoran,
I am not smart enough to understand why the two chart styles, but thought posting this would evoke an answer. Sorry I just can only offer dumb questions and even dumber looks.
Your explanation might be correct.
@MCPO,
I was commen…
I wonder if an analogy or as @VintageFreak like to say, an ANALogy can be made with regard to countries holding foreign debt (as a result of trade) to electrical circuits.
In an electrical circuit excess voltage is often temporarily stored in a ca…
From the article:
To sell we'd need a Fed that's more hawkish than expected mixed with economic data that's weaker than expected. That combination could give us a domestic stock sell off this summer.
Economic data is coming through weaker than expec…
@VinetageFreak,
Supply and demand should work for bonds just like it is for stocks. So simply saying the inverse relationship exists is IMO not good enough. There needs to be substantial availability of higher yielding bonds of same maturity out the…
Lets look at the one comment she made on fixed income investments:
A Goldman analysis of 10-year government bonds around the world shows there’s not one bond where the firm thinks yields are as high as they should be, Cohen said. “This is problemati…
The real problem seems to be for those who choose teaching as a profession, but never reach retirement age to be considered part of their state retirement.
For a state that opts out of Social Security, at the very least, one would expect that they o…
@VintageFreak, I like your weather analogy. Your suggestion welcome (please review mine below).
MaxDD Portfolio Options:
-Trust the investment weatherman to predict when to stay off the road and get back on. Good luck with that.
-Store enough cas…
@Anna,
Page 3 of this document (linked below) does a pretty good job of explaining this "offset".
ct.gov/trb/lib/trb/formsandpubs/RetiredFall2002.pdf
A history lesson on Teachers and Social Security:
educationnext.org/arent-teachers-covered-socia…
@Charles,
Equities and bond often go through periods of bifurcation.
As imperfect as EDV or TLT may be as investments in rising rate environments, they more importantly serve as a sort of "portfolio insurance" policy during "MAXDD FTS" (Maximum D…
HY Bonds are not confirming the recent uptick in the S&P 500. In fact they are indicating a pull back in equities.
The SP500 has rebounded from the May 17 one-day panic to push to a higher high. But high-yield bond ETFs like HIO are not confir…
As a parent, I helped my kids through HS/College...one hot dog at a time...we ran a small business together (from ages 16-22).
We made enough to fund used cars, Roth IRAs, saving accounts (they called them spending accounts), college tuition, and …
YES!!! I signed over my social security...
By the way, welcome to MFO...you're a colorful addition to the website.
Are you referring to what most public servants... firefighter, cops, teachers... relinquish? Then, I too, have "signed over my soci…
Single payer system. Health vouchers that let patients choose their healthcare provider. If we believe in educational vouchers we should also believe in healthcare vouchers. Poor performing health providers will be replaced with high performing heal…
I am caring for my mom who is now 94 and has financially been experiencing "too much life at the end of the portfolio"...a more serious situation than "too much month at the end of the paycheck".
She raised 8 kids (full time job with no benefits).…
Three weeks into May...how about we let this play out a little bit?
My portfolio which is unscientifically 60/40 is doing as well, maybe even a little better, this month compared to my prior 2017 month to month performance.
I might add...conside…
That would be a 4.8% drop. So hedge your portfolio with EDV (long US Treasuries or your favorite non-correlated asset) at 4.8% of your portfolio if you believe this outcome is likely.
On a separate note:
Defensive funds showed themselves yesterday.
Bruce Fund (BRUFX) showed a small gain of .16%,
a high yield fund (AGDYX) was off .3%,
VWINX dropped .2%.
Bond fund PTIAX had a up day gaining .35%.
Investors "flee"? NO, it was program trading...
Just another form of "milking the cows"...Jerseys, Hampton, Fairfield, Nantucket, North Shore, Newport,Boca,....only one doubles as a bovine breed, the rest just Wall Streets breeds.
Also, that loss…
Good to know... I will inform my kids that I will need to move in with them as they will be much better prepared than I when I retire, but first I need to kick them out of my house.
Buying US Treasuries helps settle trade in a way that effectively lowers local inflation for these exporting countries.
I will find the article that explains this more clearly.
Here's a quick find:
The Chinese perspective:
henryckliu.com/page215…
I believe @Junkster was recently appointed to managing this endowment, though curiously most of its recent scholarship have been funneled to the on campus outdoor club.
Thanks @Ted,
Would like to hear from others with regard to device maintenance and security.
I try to back up personal files once a month on external HD.
I run system tools such as Disk Defrag and Disk Cleanup every few months.
Security Essenti…
ISMIX was searchable on M* (I'm assuming ISMRX is just another share class)...good choice
Two choices I like:
VINEX...Vanguard, Solid
PRIDX (breakdown from @crash)...TRPrice, Solid
Japan 21.8%
United Kingdom 12.8%
China 8.4%
Germany 4.4%
India 4.2%…
