Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Investing principles? More like trading principles as Livermore was the most acclaimed speculator/trader of all time. Regardless a must read book that I have read over a dozen times and mentioned numerous times in my own book. Your 15 gems are sp…
Reply to @expatsp: Point well taken and it may have been even less adjusting for the monthly dividend. Still, the fund has never been tested in a junk bond bear market. Fortunately those are few and very far between and other than the 2008 variet…
Maybe a 4.35% yield but doubtful you will see that as a total return for the year. I sort of agree with David that this fund doesn't belong in the hiyield category and is best used as a cash management fund (I wish Charles would take heed) However…
ARIVX an absolute dog of a fund with terrible returns the past year compared to its peers. I know, I know, the academics say give a fund a few years before throwing it to the curb. That's hogwash! One year returns DO count and most especially in …
Some may believe there is a lot wrong with this country, albeit I sure wouldn't want to live anywhere else (ok, maybe Australia) But this being an investment forum there sure isn't anything wrong with this country's stock market with just about ev…
Hi Dex, will be interesting to see what the others here have to say. Junk bonds are seriously overbought albeit they can stay that way for a period of time. My concern is with just about all the major averages at all time highs if the inevitable …
Thanks Scott. I trade only stocks in tight rising channels (like yours and mine fave ABC) In energy/shale, Bakkan sector that would be EOG, KOG, TPLM, SN, LNG, CRZO, CLR, OAS, to name just a few. But besides being in a tight rising channel they m…
Reply to @Ted: Many thanks Ted, FRAK was what I was looking for as I thought there was a more pure play ETF. After checking it out I think I will just stay with individual equities in that arena. I am not much of an ETF guy anyway and FRAK is …
Reply to @Old_Joe: Old Joe, I may be a registered Republican (since the late 60s) but more of your "left coast persuasion" than you might imagine. For instance, I am a liberal on most social issues and an *extreme* ultra left wing radical on the …
I have NEVER said anything political in all my years on various forums. But this latest fiasco was too much. Just to vent my frustrations, I sent an e-mail to my two Senators - Mitch McConnell and Rand Paul - as well as the Speaker of the House an…
I don't want to jinx it but looking good so far as we are in positive territory. Nice call Ted. The conventional wisdom (and I hate conventional wisdom) is to add to positions when they are down over the debt/shutdown fears. I was hoping for a mu…
Not as bad as I thought, at least so far. Futures have been down around 100 since their opening. I believe the link below updates every few minutes or so and is delayed 10 minutes. If you get the Fox Business News station the futures are in real …
Reply to @Ted: I like your optimism and hope you are spot-on. Market has priced in a resolution the past two trading days so if none, it could be real ugly Monday. Albeit a great time to add to positions. Futures strong? We will know when they…
It was fun while it lasted but I think the bloom is off the high flyers in biotech ala ACAD, NPSP and others. But could be dead wrong. I am trying to transition into oil. Hold HAL, EOG, and looking to buy APC. Also hold ABC a real steady eddie …
Somebody is going to get a lot cheaper prices after today. Not sure if that is a good thing or not. Small and mid cap biotech stocks have been in freefall today with the largest declines in recent memory. Some might argue that is a portent of wha…
I had mentioned the other week I have a small position in ETGLX because it's second largest holding is my largest equity holding. I have added a few more small cap biotechs recently as it's beginning to look like a rerun of the late 90s in tech sto…
Reply to @VintageFreak: Fill me in if I am missing something here, but HSGFX as of this evening is negative YTD, one month, one year, three year, five year, and ten year. Did Miller ever come close to that type of dismal performance? ( OK, he did…
Reply to @hank: Good one Hank. I might have to steal that one from you sometime in the future. Not sure about the timing aspect being hazardous as much as simply being a perma-bear is what is toxic.
This is the year I left a LOT of money on the table. I had been in ACAD at one time as well as RAD. NPSP is about the only stock I haven't mismanaged (at least yet) albeit in hindsight I should have been even more aggressive. Then again, " shou…
Cut back 80% of my position in NFRIX. Don't like the behavior of floating rate/bank loan funds albeit it may just be temporary. This is the first year since 04-07 that I've made more in individual equities than bond funds and thanks primarily to N…
Nice day in junkland and some open end are near or making YTD highs on a total return basis. My favorite equity fund (ETGLX) because it's a large holder of my favorite equity (NPSP) had a nice day today too, at least relative to the overall market…
Reply to @Mona: Mona, since the junk bond bottom of December 16, 2008, the majority of 1.00% to 1.50% declines from highs have led to further declines before bottoming. However, I would not suggest anyone trade these like me because after whatev…
Mona, for OSTIX ( a glorified junk bond fund) I would use 1.25% from the recovery highs off the recent lows. Yesterday there was a distribution in OSTIX and factoring that into the price it closed at a new high off those lows. So my stop would sim…
Another back to the past 2008 horror story. We have been hearing this doom and gloom song and dance story pretty much all year about the dangers of floating rate/bank loan funds. I've posted more than once my enthusiasm for NFRIX but admitted this…
Before 1982 the cycle was generally four years for bull and bear with the bear comprising around one year of that cycle. As for your comments you are way out of whack with your years. 1994 was not a bear market for equities. 90-93? There was a m…
I am probably the most active trader/investor on this board. Yet according to your quiz I should be a passive investor since I answered no and no. On this board and the trading boards the missing link that is rarely/never discussed is money manage…
catch, you left out the most integral part and that is portfolio size. I have a friend, single, around your age, debt free, no family, lives frugally, has SS and a $1,900,000 portfolio. He says he needs $40,000 a year over his SS to live a comfort…
Reply to @hank: >>>Sometimes I think we spend too much time on how to accumulate $$ and not enough on how to enjoy it. Both are important. Life's short. Regards
Reply to @Charles: Charles, time is irrelevant to me, but losing money isn't. I began trading funds in the late 80s and I can say with 100% certainty I have never sat through a loss like AQRNX has sustained the past several months. Small losses …
Reply to @Investor: I didn't even click on the link. Just another gimmick like risk parity funds and other alternatives. I am glad someone ( I shoudn't be surprised it was you) had the knowledge to report on survivorship bias. That bias is even…
