Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Support MFO
Donate through PayPal
davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
No one is yet fleeing eastern Mass suburbs, to the contrary, and they are horribly expensive, very close to the NJ level. Maybe it'll swing, though I doubt it.
>> talk radio entertainment host who has parlayed ...
That's a bit much.
In listening to RE for over a decade, I think it is, I've never heard him say anything that needed to be salted, or not more than much financial opining. Less, rather,…
@LB
>> What sort of nonsense are you spewing?
haha, the sort that Maurice and his ilk almost invariably spew: fact-free.
I mean, look at the SotU. omg, what a complete crock of toxic lies.
In your fantasies. No PC to it; there are definitions and criteria.
I would be dying to give the "president" credit for anything actual that was not blinkered and destructive.
oh, please
http://www.macrotrends.net/2481/stock-market-performance-by-president
and wait, wasn't FDR the worst sort of libtard socialist??
I look forward to their followup.
Well, you have to do what is comfortable for you, ... but why with this timeframe are you waiting for a crash???
(Overvaluation, they say, has never been the cause of a bear market.)
So yeah, I would just do it, and invest in equities, broadly an…
I think I recall watching them every Sunday afternoon, at least fall '64. This would've been Akron TV. Avoiding schoolwork, like all the other football boys.
uh, k, so how much do you need now --- cashflow? how old? you can probably be more aggressive, tho it should be what suits. but what are the details here?
Sorry, perhaps I missed, but have you worked out already how much you need and when and for how long? Are you thinking output stream only and never touching the holdings?
@MM, what correlation basis period do you use, and why? Note that (for example) when you enter PDI and DSENX, daily returns (60 days) correlate 0.35 while annual correlate 0.94.
It all depends on how far the need is. I would jump in both feet (not dca) if my need was distant enough. Also never forget that recovery times are not very long periods, so figure how long you can suffer and wait.
Yes, am also looking hard at DGRW, wondering about it vs CAPE for placement of some burning cash. Although Malkiel now has me thinking about IEMG and ESGE....
Do you recommend using shorter bases or longer? Results all over the place with some odd fairly steady pairings, depending on correlation basis period.
@hank
>> classified as a stock fund and the latter a balanced fund. I’m not sure those labels mean a whole lot. It’s more about your risk appetite.
?? It's about whether the fund holds bonds+cash, innit?
DODGX holds ~1%, OAKBX over a thir…