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davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
>> Probably intended for a less educated and sophisticated audience than here.
no, just the uselessness
>> Consider crowd behavior when making investments.
what does that even mean ? your explanation is no help in practice.
it's…
but so entirely, entirely fatuous ... avoid errors, understand cycles, admit mistakes
even the explanation of 'go with the crowd until you can recognize when not to' --- that one made me (literally) laugh out loud, as the abbreviation goes
Hi @davidrmoran et al
Being curious........
A chart of VONG v QQQ v FTEC v FSMEX starting at Oct. 2013 to date. The chart begin is limited to the inception date of FTEC.
Catch
Sure. Why not put it all in Apple and Pfizer, then? Or go w Cathie W.
…
>> if I am doing the math right,
Always worth saying, at least for me.
I did the math wrong, quite aside from assuming buy-hold, meaning no touching through this last year.
If you bought VONE and STIP in a 2:1 ratio last NY Day and left…
... in other words, if I am doing the math right, ytd the Fidelity Balanced team (some of whom probably live only a few miles of where I am typing this) did almost 50% better (!) than a 30-70 combination of FTBFX and Fido's SP500 cheapo. That is som…
fwiw,
subbing FXAIX for VONE worsens the outcome by the thinnest of hairs; subbing FTBFX for STIP worsens things significantly
looks like real value is added by many of the MA funds, remarkably so by the most popular
?
yes, that is what I was referring to. Is ORP related to
https://www.newretirement.com/retirement/5-steps-for-defining-your-retirement-drawdown-strategy/
?
ah, I see that PoF thread has ref to Kitces and thence to ORP; is that what you are re…
Not sure that's a good comparison, but there is a ton to read here about possible issuers' defaults:
https://doc.morningstar.com/docdetail.aspx?clientid=schwab&key=84b36f1bf3830e07&cusip=258620822
vs
https://www.finra.org/investors/alerts…
>> I have not and never will touch one
>> I've owned DSEEX since inception
You still have not gone into your reconciliation of these two opposing statements of faith, have you? Since the mfund sorta is / sorta is not half (+/-) compose…
icym
https://www.reddit.com/r/wallstreetbets/comments/rciqbx/this_is_what_its_really_like_to_be_a_trader_on/
just chased a tip thanks to someone here, went through this exactly (almost)
play loud :)
The Phantom Tendy
msf is the one who has explained this weirdness the best:
https://fundresearch.fidelity.com/mutual-funds/composition/258620822
As one who has had quite a bit of money in both CAPE and DSEEX I was curious (a little) about the OP and then the follow…
>> I have not and never will touch one
Is owning DSEEX not worrisome? (Aside from 'price drop was shocking .... Seems like this has to be some type of distribution but I can't find anything saying so. Any ideas?')
>> ETNs carry the risk of being dissolved by the issuer with little notice and the risk of the issuer (Barclays in this case) failing.
What would that mean here? What could one lose? What are you saying?
Yup, fascinating, and typical American industrial history.
I think I have met, at my in-laws' house (and their funerals probably), more than one Wallace Barnes, each of course successively descended from the original ancestor.
https://en.wikiped…
Not CT, PA, but every state with a Bristol thinks the hit was about them.
My wife is from Bristol and my late father-in-law (and maybe his own father or fil) worked decades for Associated Spring and Barnes Group (partly descended from New Departur…
Alternatively, maybe, a somewhat brighter future possibly, in the tradition of DClinton, HMann, and Ike:
https://www.nytimes.com/2021/11/22/opinion/biden-infrastructure-spending.html
Exhaustive and yes, pretty interesting at first pass.
One might be inclined to pay little attention to someone in their early 30s with academic experience elsewhere, but she has an awful lot of hardscrabble to her life too:
https://obpedia.com/ly…
more nuance to the dynamics and variables
https://messaging-custom-newsletters.nytimes.com/template/oakv2?campaign_id=116&emc=edit_pk_20211119&instance_id=45812&nl=paul-krugman&productCode=PK&regi_id=2226808…
while partisan negativism and disconnect rule --- 'you all are doing lousy, but I'm okay'
https://messaging-custom-newsletters.nytimes.com/template/oakv2?campaign_id=116&emc=edit_pk_20211116&instance_id=45534&nl=paul-krugma…
Shiller p/e about to touch 40, regular SP500 p/e 30
Allan Roth today tweets about the new M* 3.3% SWR guidance (30y lifespan; probably already posted here)
https://www.morningstar.com/articles/1066569/whats-a-safe-retirement-spending-rate-for-the…
It calls for login much more frequently than other websites, clicking Keep me signed in or not. Nothing to do w clearing cookies. Weird and a little annoying, but if you have saved your login and password, not a biggy.
