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davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
Wronger than not, Singer has often been a pretty good contrary indicator.
This discussion, and wording like 'not ending well', are pretty amazing to me. What do end and well mean? With enough time, it has never not ended well.
Junkster, we think of trends very differently, evidently.
At the 1987 crash, Dow was up like 18% for the year --- started around 1900, by 16Oct 2250 approx; Aug high (=year high( was 2640, sure. So off its Aug highs, yes. But just look at a graph.…
No, I just play geezer hoops with rich friends in biopharm who knew it was presenting last weekend at some Jeffries onco conference. All public info (alas). (I live in extremely wealthy towns crawling with tech, bio, and money manager types.) So I b…
>> The markets were already in established downtrends before that time.
Not so much, at least 1987 not at all. Look at SP500 and FCNTX. For 7y ago, yes, this week right now was the very week of turn. Not much of a trend prior, spring 08.
I…
+1
Longer-form investigation is indeed what the Globe sometimes does extremely well as to news; God knows it's not editing or 'normal' newspaper news coverage.
Know Lazonick et alia at HBR pretty well, just did not want to post of additional mater…
Well, inflation cannot be viewed or properly understood in isolation apart from the rest of US economic activities and their consequences:
Some of the reasoning, from three years ago (PK):
\\\ … would a rise in inflation to 3 percent or even 4 per…
>> you're not (in theory) getting inclusion of any more midcap stocks than are already in the S&P 500.
Yeah, I was wondering about that and how it works, in terms of what accounts for the outperformance.
Should not have used the term 's…
Much better, evidently, go 50-50 RPG and RPB, with inclusion of midcap and some small to boot because of equal cap weighting:
http://etfdb.com/news/2015/02/24/why-pure-style-etfs-matter-examining-growth-rpg-and-value-rpv/
Wow. If you do 5k every other day, say, for many days (say you need to xfer 133k), what happens, do you think? Any sense from the c/s guy mandated to get in touch with you and read from a script?
Oh, great, a snotty comeback from you; productive. It is not I who is kneejerk and does not give serious thoughtfulness to gradations and modulations of approaches. As I implied, tell us your thoughtful and substantiated philosophies about fluoride,…
What a ridiculous comeback, freedom a bad word, to a sarcastic aside. Freedom! Yeah, that'll solve the problem.
No, not mandatory. That would get the attention of Fox howler monkeys. But incentives and strong encouragement and forced opting-out wi…
JC, come on, you need cases to try to get to court-level argument. You have to argue harm and principle and all sorts of related. But I suspect you really know that and just want to take shots instead.
It would be good for someone to file something…
Mandated reporters (brokerages and merchants alike) do not have a lot of discretion and can get in trouble if they do not follow thus and such. The Fido story sounds unusual and worth pursuing, if only for curiosity; I have found them usually to be …
>> If employees want a retirement vehicle, they could do it on their own versus waiting for the company. If the employee is not interested, then it doesn't matter?
Because why, freedom?
The whole point is that it matters regardless. People …
No, someone quickly reviews it most of the time, certainly at a place like MSN and Fox; the point is that that someone has to know some history and some facts and have some memory function. Judgment is good too.
Such fakakta misidentification:
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2015/05/30/1388977/-Did-You-Know-Dennis-Hastert-Was-a-Democrat
Man, is that messed up. AP, MSN, Fox. Wow. Talk about lameass QC.
>> >> the New Deal was a failure and the Great Society was a disaster.
>> My intent is to discuss issues.
>> live up to what I consider to be good standards.
Go for it. Good standards presumably means substantiation, all tha…
Maurice,
Yeah, I was thinking of other bogus fake-choice things here (zero regulation! overregulation!). But anyone who seriously believes and says, as you do
>> the New Deal was a failure and the Great Society was a disaster.
can be safe…
I and family have long held GABEX, GABSX, and WEMMX. Periodically I reconsider and research competition, chiefly for the reasons mentioned. Their performance, including bear behavior, is pretty good, especially the last two. I guess I will now do an…
Oddly uninformed discussion in just so many respects. More history courses and data !
Maurice, see
http://www.bostonglobe.com/news/nation/2015/05/26/new-balance-could-beat-back-nike-for-partial-win-pacific-trade-deal/OECYcqEiHV3rIZcZrCfqZK/story.h…
>> me to defer taking my SS to 70, she claims half of mine at her FRA when she turns 66, and then she can move to her own at 70 if greater than her spousal.
yes, he did not say apply+delay (SS terms for file and suspend), but I guess I am a l…
What Gandalf said, and what I and many others are doing. My 66yo wife's first SS check (half of mine, delayed) auto-deposited today, w/ Medicare taken out. I will take my SS at 70, two more years.
Not that I know of or was able to find. Until I finally had a year of zero earnings, my statement explicitly said 'assumes future earning at same rate' or some such wording. So I extrapolated from the figures they give at upper right (past, present,…
5%, wow, and cool.
The mortgage thing all depends on absolute and relative cost of debt service vs investment returns. It seems wiser to me to keep on with my 120k mortgage at 3.5% than to pay it off, and thus far so it has proved. Ric Edelman and …
Re foreign equity funds:
http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2015/01/16/investing-international-funds/21825245/
Both supports (sort of) and modulates what Sven posted. As OAKIX and SGOIX are closed, recommendations are interesting.
Wagg has moved…
Fair question: I guess in hindsight the answer is stupidity / impatience on my part. I got very spoiled by the growth of the summer 2012 chunk put in, and then ditto summer 2013 put in; sold out;
then put in new bigger chunk last Xgiving or so, an…
If the BC and other data are to be believed, that is going to be immense down the road, to the point perhaps where banks stop thinking it is a good idea for them to lend and be involved.
Hear. This is good:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2015/05/22/im-a-veteran-and-i-hate-happy-memorial-day-heres-why/
When I was a kid 60y ago it was always pretty somber and not cookout-oriented. My mother would recall as a girl s…
