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davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
I am holding (only) because I trust the family and the method, but cannot affirm that that is necessarily good advice. In retirement I value downside protection and assume Yackts still have that. As for alternatives, I have moved a lot into DSENX.
Some interesting recent history facts:
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2015/08/public-and-private-sector-payroll-jobs.html
(PK) ... Reagan’s objective achievements weren’t all that great. In terms of the economy, his record is trumped by Clinton…
Interesting how the two funds he touts (Core and Total) and discusses the strategies of lag PONDX. I know they are not quite directly comparable, but still.
Anna will probably know the answer to that.
Certainly glad JG is involved in the bond part…
I'm a perma-bull. I think many investors are. If by it you mean you believe the market will recover after dips and continue heading upward. It's the nicest thing at 68 about having lived as an investing adult in these decades following the 1960s.
@little5bee:
>> don't think he has the temperament
Haha, among so many other other things. Tithing?
Ted, don't forget to skip some pages!
If leaders did not matter, then market behaviors would be similar under either party, and of course …
Yeah, this is how I read him, and rightly or wrongly is seriously at odds with very thoughtful and deeply researched work earlier in the year from Morgan, Goldman, and Fidelity. Maybe he will prove right. In retirement, I am not acting accordingly.
>> Has anyone read Patrick Henry's "Speech to the Virginia Convention" or Thomas Paine's "Crisis"?
Sure.
Anyone read Garfield's inaug address (thanks, Jill Lepore)? Those were the days.
... we do not now differ in our judgment concerning t…
Imagine 'investing' that amount in someone like Cruz. Wow. So wack. (As wack as the complete misunderstanding of the Second Amendment.)
The swallows in our back fields are happy campers, but I wish we had more bats this summer. Lots of everything e…
L5b, I hope you waltz to 'Crossroads', yes :) .
Yeah, socialist sure has replaced Hitler as an all-purpose rightwingnut epithet to hurl at anything progressive. Wonder what term they used during westward expansion (chiefly a federal gov enterprise)…
>> those who from this point on shall only be named as 'downward trending from the left or 'dtfl' have this country on a dangerous slide.
lolz, dangerous slide. You could do some speechwriting in NH tonight and tomorrow for the GOP clown tra…
>> ... do not put at risk more than you can afford to lose without impacting your standard of living.
This sort of thing puzzles me greatly. How to invest then? If 'lose' means go to zero, then most of us would be doing equities around the e…
The urgency and high drama have been there from the getgo, 49y ago;
check 3:24ff:
or 26:50ff of the whole album (highly recommended):
The playing prior is also high-emotion, of course.
The chief thing EC developed after this, or refined …
Cogent defense? Are you ever going to explain this?:
>> ... good education is for those who can afford private primary, secondary and college education. The others get pseudo education, ... Don't question the quality of primary and secondary …
So ... you gonna back up what you say, or just walk and dismiss when someone calls bullshit?
>> good education is for those who can afford private primary, secondary and college education. The others get pseudo education, ... Don't question …
Dex,
>> ... blame the victims/kids. They are the failures because they didn't "hit it hard".
>> That just shows how distorted education has come in this country. Education was to be the great equalizer. But, good education is for those…
>> Why have primary and secondary education failed the students
Who poses that question?
The kids today who hit it hard in HS and college in this country are immensely well-educated, in my experience, and not small in number at all.
Dex, I myself remain a strong believe in hardcore liberal arts along with hardcore STEM insofar as tolerable. The literature in the area, practical, idealistic, polemical, traditional, newfangled, whatever is vast. You will have to do your own googl…
No one, certainly not I, is saying tuition growth has not been worse than wack. Yes, disconnected from value of higher ed. The next area to analyze is what higher ed should consist in. Some compelling (data-based) args for liberal arts, but it will …
>> colleges ... are there for their enrichment
There are lots of things wrong if you follow the money path, yup, and too many admins and many overpaid top people, yup, but this assertion is nonsense for the dozen private universities I have f…
An investment forum will be reengaged with this yesterday news insofar as it seriously affects the euro. Make up your mind whether or not you want pertinence. It is as though discussion have to meet your personal criteria, or something. Can it be?
Did you answer this? I missed it.
>> I am in no mood for ... even a 1.5% or 2% decline.
So how do you equity-invest at all if you do not ever want to see a 1.5% decline ?
Violent agreement, directives or no.
Re moneys I was speaking socially morally; should've been clearer.
Not a 'distant consideration' at all, unless one thinks of spending not-own-moneys like, you know, littering.
>> At my age and financial situation I am in no mood for any drawdown in my total nest egg - even a 1.5% or 2% decline.
How do you invest meaningfully at all?
Or did you, given your next sentence.
yeah, with true endstage anything you really want to have the reasonable assurances of an experienced and savvy clinician (or three) that this is going mostly probably to make a meaningful difference. Else what's the point, seriously. And there is a…
To repeat postings (Krug) rather than just tell someone to go read up:
\\\ ... the Greek government should be ready, if necessary, to leave the euro.
To understand why I say this, you need to realize that most — not all, but most — of what you’ve h…
clacy, you are going to need to read up more about this; lots of posts and links already, but while some of what you say is not wrong, it's not the story, really, and not what caused the mess.