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davidrmoran
I myself see a big pullback coming in the next six months but I don’t know that I have ever been correct over 45 years. I will put a lot of money in if a 10% pullback comes. I expect you r being prudent depending on how old you are. The thing is, if you’re young, you might as well stick it out and not try to time. He said.
@Baseball_Fan
Again, you are silly and unserious and should stop w your wingnut posting until you have something substantial, more than 'I know a guy.'
Good times widely unnoticed:
DDoney:
On average, President Biden has the highest real (inflation-adjusted) wage and lowest unemployment rate of any president from LBJ to present (1964-2023).
Workers never had it better.
and (the whole thread)
ht…
Thank you. MFreeland and others (Ted) wrote about Direxion over the years before the outfit went fully psycho. Also after. G over V looked interesting to me (did not go to zero), and I lost a little less than a quarter of a non-large investment. Liv…
Makes for good entertainment though ..just like reading Krugman. Makes you want to laugh out loud with their hubris and pseudo intellectual babble.
Har, he and colleagues have been on quite the roll for some time now about inflation, recession, …
@WABAC,
Why do you suppose I would post what I posted without checking?
You can read M* ... or you can, you know, just go do the count yourself:
https://amplifyetfs.com/divo-holdings/
24 as of today; I see I misread Dow Inc.
plus, as I said, …
Closest thing I own is DIVO. That's up about 1.0 YTD.
I bet you knew, which I did not, that DIVO holds 22 stocks!?
Plus Dow derivs and several other options.
My fear is that it is easier to fail than broader ETFs. (I already went through closi…
Personally, I’m very optimistic about balanced funds right now ... my primary balanced fund (FBALX) has decent three and five year returns.
I certainly wish I had put all of our nut into FBALX 11y ago --- forget going back to 1986 --- when I stopped…
wow and huh
Seems typical, yes, and yes about the platform. Prohibiting divo, ccor, cape, and now tcaf?? Seriously?
the ML guy who helped me was better than enthusiastic, and when I called a few days ago about something else the notes to the xfe…
I just moved considerable (for us) moneys from Fido to ML to get a $1k reward, and had several dealings w reps, and ML are really trying to up their game --- responsiveness, efficiency, savvy, frank advice --- it is clear. As for specific policies a…
>> Merrill has fixed that problem this morning.
That 'trading of this security ...' etc. prohibition nonsense has been ML boilerplate for some time (recently), and has appeared for DIVO, CAPE, and CCOR as well as TCAF. DSENX is okay, though. …
correction indicator :)
For many years my father had an investment timing / trend analysis service whose most beautiful feature was his individual (per client) hand-drawn and -colored moving averages serving as graphics for his nicely written new…
@larryB,
haha, what you said:
>> fascinated by how the algorithm seems to have lost its mojo after a long and sorta steady run
only the tired 'value' lesson of 'works until it doesn't'
Also like CCOR; that defunct growth-over-value thing…
Anyone know if the concentration of holdings in a relative few companies is historically significant? I know the index is cap weighted but is todays concentration out of the ordinary? Thanks for your replies.
Not responsive to your specific questio…
Gee David, you and all the other guys beating off on politics doesn't have much to do with investing.
It's not my forum. I'm not responsible for moderating the standards. But I can ask.
actually, it does have to do; but my question was only about b…
@David_Snowball. If you can't move the thread, maybe you can lock it.
All the trees and bushes have been peed on well more than once.
sure, but so what? I mean, why lock it? what is a good reason?
@dtconroe,
Dude, you have lost your mind if you think I dismiss BLM violence or whatever your fantasy is; am a spokesman for Dems, or whatever your fantasy is; or don't condemn bad actors on the supposed prog side, or whatever your fantasy is. Chr…
This piece full of subtleties may interest you
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/31/opinion/politics-partisanship-delusion.html
and might seem to augment some of your wishes. I think it also, or largely, does the opposite, but I offer it for the nua…
@dtconroe
>> use adolescent/trumpian namecalling in your posts
>> entrenched and partisan posts.
More than twice now you have trotted out your academic credentials re training in evidentiary processes and so on. You are going to have …
More expert people :) were pessimistic the last months than was warranted by any good evidence I was aware of or heard about, and even today on Bloomberg radio I heard a guest woman analyst or advisor almost guffaw after the reporter-analyst talked…
@dtconroe
>> Your description of "evidence" has a strong smell of cherry picking to support a very biased point of view.
huh ?
You posted that your mind-made-up wife does not want to be shown a survey and so I asked what kind(s) of eviden…
some interesting related reading today
monopolistic gouging
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/29/opinion/inflation-groceries-pricing-walmart.html
'I know, I know, I just didn't like Hillary'
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2023/05/30/opinion/b…
@dtconroe
>> Regarding the price of gas, cost of food, increased utility costs, home repair costs, etc etc., she blames Biden for that, and she is frustrated with the Democrats in general for not doing more to prevent that.
that's great
&g…
@dtconroe,
So the wife of someone who is thoughtful and has spent his long career in social service in a totally backward state is
>> worried about the safety of our grandchildren in school classes,
along with many other suppertime (larg…
Well, however much we generalize in whatever direction, an enormous, simply astounding number of people regularly elect officials and support policies where cruelty and niggardliness and outright inconsiderate sadism (to go redundant) are precisely …
@Baseball_Fan
>> C'mon I would think just about everyone would agree to ensure kids, disabled, down on their luck, elderly should get all the assistance they need
You really don’t keep up, do you? Maybe stop posting until you get informed …
new (persuasive) thoughts on inflation
https://messaging-custom-newsletters.nytimes.com/template/oakv2?campaign_id=116&emc=edit_pk_20230526&instance_id=93572&nl=paul-krugman&productCode=PK&regi_id=22268089&am…
@davidrmoran,
I offered this for discussion back in 2020 from the poor swiss website:
updated-trinity-study-for-2020-more-withdrawal-rates/p1
Nice to see further updates. Thanks.
thanks for reminder; I did do a site search, so as not to take nove…
@bee. Excellent post. Please consider adding the potential drag on your retirement portfolio due to excessive taxation as well...
go on, please
what is your tax rate? what do you get for it?
