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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.

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hank

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hank
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  • I'm hesitating to write to you because of what happened with stillers, but I will give it a try. I have looked and researched for years funds that can do successful hedging, and shorting. I found none. I could find a few funds that work well for several years but failed miserably the next several years. So, I had to invent my own successful timing which took me years to develop and implement.
    Tip1: never use short, if you are wrong, you lose twice. I sell to MM when markets are very risky. It doesn't have to be perfect, you just have to avoid the big meltdowns. Since 2018, I sold 6 times everything. 3 were wrong and I came back within days, 3 were right and I avoided 20+% meltdowns in Q4/2018, 03/2020 and Q1-Q3/2022.

    If you like to see more, respond, otherwise I will be OK if you won't.
    July 2023
  • MikeM
    Thanks for the note hank. With you bringing that up, I do remember now that stiller comes across very aggressive, a real A-hole. It took me back for a minute, but the response to his attack from one of our most knowledgeable, msf, made me feel vindicated with my thoughts. I don't have the patients, knowledge or the ability to back up what my gut feels with facts the same way mfs or sma3 or yogie do very well.
    May 2023
  • Hank, welcome back!
    December 2022
  • Hank, welcome back! Hope all is well. We miss you in our discussion.
    December 2022
  • johnN
    Hi sir hope Ev good
    April 2022
  • johnN
    Sir...think many folks love the taste of donuts w fresh coffee in morning...can't break old habits
    July 2021
  • johnN
    Hi sir maybe built least 5 -7 % portfolio in commodities etf and butcoins

    Regards
    April 2021
    • johnN
      johnN
      Bitcoins sorry typo...
  • johnN
    Hi sir hope all are well...was so frustrated w election results...been hibernating...may return to great MFO after 1.22

    Kind regards stay safe
    November 2020
  • johnN
    Hi Sir Hank

    We usually read current market commentary from various sources/investing outlets like vsnguard schwab Fidelity marketwatch seekingalpha etc.. from these news we would considet adjust our portfolio into different stocks or funds accordingly. We are indeed buy and hold investors. Have not sell much in 2008 or 2020 crash. We usually try buy more if market decline further. Our plans are to keep diversify our holdings, wait until few years retirement then change our position to high bonds/cash/fixed-income positions.

    To risk stratification mean to change our positions to different or add more to various vehicles (like energy bonds hard metals etc). Recently we did sell more bonds and added more stock oast 9 12 months.
    As you can see we did reasonably well 10 years return 7.8% annually.

    For buying individual bonds we look at Cusip, read company valuations from schwab, see any red flags or bad ratings, any default possibilities, set up alert news about the bond, and then
    September 2020
  • johnN
    Hi sir thx for being member mfo and continued contributions. Happy new yr to you and family

    We subscribe to several free reports like kiplinger's etftrend zack...lots junk mails and linkage, hard to find qualities reads

    What is your biggest holding funds Stocks or etf

    thx
    December 2019
  • johnN
    hi sir sorry typo..lol. he will retire in late 2038s or 2040s around there
    thankyou for the suggestions
    November 2019
  • Goodmorning hank,

    I thought I drop you a line letting you know the reasons I face another portfolio rebalance after just completing one back in March. I had a huge cash draw from having to pay greater than anticipated federal and state income taxes for 2018. I had sizeable capital gains for 2018 plus I do not have any taxes withheld on mine and my wife's pension and ss checks. In addition, I gave my church a recent sizeable contribution towards a capital fund drive. When it was all said and done I am now face another needed portfolio rebalance. This is one of the reasons I went to the 20/40/40 portfolio back in the 4th quarter feeling I was going to need a good bit of cash. During my last rebalance I left myself equity heavy and with the upward movemet in equities plus the large cash draw coming from the portfolio has now left it needing another rebalance.

    On the board, I did a hypo on a 100k portfolio to show how the strong equity performance can effect one's allocation.
    April 2019
    • hank
      Hi Ol’Skeet. Thanks for the note. Afraid I don’t check this area often enough. Enjoy your weekly analysis. Regards
  • MikeM
    Glad you enjoyed it Hank, though it must have been pretty cold out there. I prefer the Canadian side of the falls. On the Canadian side you get a constant spray in your face. You are really up close and personal with the falls. I find it mesmerizing staring into the water as it's going over. You have to hang onto the rail because it just draws you in. Did you get a chance to dine or have 'high tea' at the Prince of Wales Hotel?
    November 2018
  • davidrmoran
    seriously, why ever would you cite the bogus manipulations of the OJ trial?
    January 2018
    • hank
      HA - Just stumbled on this in August. Don’t very well recall making the OJ reference. But probably something re “If it doesn’t fit ...”.

      Well, I’d rather think of the episode as a media circus rather than a trial. And, yes, if I suggested there was any credence to the defense’s glove argument, than I was wrong. It was bogus.

      Totally unrelated, but remember how Greta Van Susteren made a name for herself with CNN’s “legal analysis” every evening as that circus continued? I thought her more liberal than. Then she shows up at Fox as a conservative hack for several years. Than she sues one of Fox’s producers for sexual abuse and moves on to CNBC as a liberal again!

      Go figure!
  • davidrmoran
    shoulda known (from your carefulness) that you too were a former English teacher
    January 2018
  • Old_Joe
    Hank- "mate 9 from Huawei" may actually be a pretty good description of one of Trump's future wives.

    (Didn't want to start another war by posting that one!) :)
    August 2017
  • davidrmoran
    :)
    November 2016
  • We have several tablets we rely on - IPads and Kindles. Meet most of our needs. But yeah - would love a new Mac.
    February 2016
  • johnN
    sounds like you may need a new notebook/computer lol... 5 yrs is little old
    February 2016