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Not YB but... I think there is much more to come as I said before due to immigrant deportation job losses, fed job losses, all the research and grant funding cuts will lead to research, college staff job losses. All the support for those jobs (mom and pop shops where they get used to their coffee/lunch will need to cut staff). Hardly any of that has hit the economy yet.... all that is even before the tariffs hit. "Bailouts" will soon be in our vocabulary. For what? To show everybody who's boss? We're the richest country on the planet by far and yet we need more? Countries relied on us, these policies will just lead to them reducing that reliance. EU is starting to do that now with defense initiatives. People said the EU couldn't break their reliance on Russian energy and yet here we are. We're next. All IMHO.
50-dMA and 200-dMA are like large ships that turnaround slowly. So, even if the market action is sideways for the next few weeks, these death-crosses would happen and then cause more selling. R2000/IWM may be leading the way.
The momentum has turned negative and it may take some time to play out.
I have sufficient effective-equity exposure, so I am not buying anything now, but only keeping a buy list.
Good seasonality ends on April 30. The bad seasonality period is May 1 - October 30. If what we have seen so far was during good seasonality, I wonder what bad seasonality will bring?
If you were sure that Tariffs have a high correlation to the stock market, why didn't you sell weeks ago? Guess who is at 99+% in MM and hardly lost anything.
If you were sure that Tariffs have a high correlation to the stock market, why didn't you sell weeks ago? Guess who is at 99+% in MM and hardly lost anything.
What a surprise, yet another after the fact post of your performance! When will you EVER understand that NOBODY believes you?
After your dumber than f*ck statement recently that tariffs have no direct correlation to the markets or the economy, it's startling that 1. you would post here ever again and 2. you would foolishly re-visit a topic that you clearly do not understand.
But that's what MAGAts do I guess.
And...Just recently you posted that you are 99% invested. (Actually, you post that ALL the time!)
So now we know, finally.
Your routine statement that you are always 99% invested MEANS you have your port in something other than cold hard cash, in this case, 99% money market. What a joke!
You certainly have earned your new label here, BS1000! Keep up the good work!
BTW, if your question was to me, I was SURE of the effect and SOLD 1/2 our stock allocation on Monday, and detailed all that in what's called REAL TIME on another thread. Sadly I was holding out hope that your cult leader would do something other than pull tariff %'s out of a bowl or I would have SOLD it all!
I trust you don't know as FOX likely sidestepped the FACT that both columns of tariff data on your cult leader's plaque are SIGNIFICANTLY WRONG! So, no shame to any reasonably intelligent investor who thought/hoped the Buffoon and Plaque Show wouldn't be the disaster it was.
Little man syndrome on full display. Again and again.
Trust you'll attempt to change the subject away from the topic because that's what MAGAts do.
Enter the FACTs. Exit the MAGAts. It gets old bub.
seems a lot of people have now miraculously timed the trump bump...that was just recently to be a continuous 4 yr golden age of economics, markets, and consumer prices.
Comments
Would be be so kind as to give us your thoughts on the likelihood that we continue the current downward spiral and execute one or more of the crosses?
Any thoughts of yours in that regard would be greatly appreciated. TIA.
FWIW, I am in the McFadden and Whitehead Ain't No Stoppin' Us Now camp.
https://www.cnbc.com/2025/04/03/small-cap-benchmark-russell-2000-becomes-first-major-us-stock-measure-to-enter-bear-market.html
The momentum has turned negative and it may take some time to play out.
I have sufficient effective-equity exposure, so I am not buying anything now, but only keeping a buy list.
Good seasonality ends on April 30. The bad seasonality period is May 1 - October 30. If what we have seen so far was during good seasonality, I wonder what bad seasonality will bring?
Guess who is at 99+% in MM and hardly lost anything.
After your dumber than f*ck statement recently that tariffs have no direct correlation to the markets or the economy, it's startling that
1. you would post here ever again and
2. you would foolishly re-visit a topic that you clearly do not understand.
But that's what MAGAts do I guess.
And...Just recently you posted that you are 99% invested. (Actually, you post that ALL the time!)
So now we know, finally.
Your routine statement that you are always 99% invested MEANS you have your port in something other than cold hard cash, in this case, 99% money market. What a joke!
You certainly have earned your new label here, BS1000! Keep up the good work!
BTW, if your question was to me, I was SURE of the effect and SOLD 1/2 our stock allocation on Monday, and detailed all that in what's called REAL TIME on another thread. Sadly I was holding out hope that your cult leader would do something other than pull tariff %'s out of a bowl or I would have SOLD it all!
I trust you don't know as FOX likely sidestepped the FACT that both columns of tariff data on your cult leader's plaque are SIGNIFICANTLY WRONG! So, no shame to any reasonably intelligent investor who thought/hoped the Buffoon and Plaque Show wouldn't be the disaster it was.
Little man syndrome on full display. Again and again.
Trust you'll attempt to change the subject away from the topic because that's what MAGAts do.
Enter the FACTs. Exit the MAGAts. It gets old bub.
seems a lot of people have now miraculously timed the trump bump...that was just recently to be a continuous 4 yr golden age of economics, markets, and consumer prices.