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Conclusion
The biggest value destroyers in the fund industry illustrate that there’s no guarantee of success, even during a generally favorable market environment. Many of them also provide a valuable case study in how not to invest. (As Charlie Munger was fond of saying: “Invert, always invert.”) Investors have been far better served by the plain-vanilla fund categories that dominated the winners list, such as large-cap blend, allocation—50% to 70% equity, and foreign large blend. They’ve also generally fared well by sticking with the industry’s biggest and most established fund families. Volatile and speculative categories—as well as unproven fund shops that attract a lot of short-term hype—on the other hand, are best avoided.
© 2015 Mutual Fund Observer. All rights reserved.
© 2015 Mutual Fund Observer. All rights reserved. Powered by Vanilla
Comments
The category list is also enlightening.
In ten years of a massive bull market with complacent investors and century low interest rates, of course, inverse funds and volatility futures are going to do badly. Most of her "stinkers" have done exactly what they are designed to do and rocketed up in the right situation. Look at TBT since 2020.
A contrarians would say now is the time to buy, as M* does itself when pointing out that "unloved" fund categories outperform the next year.
A much more useful article would have compared funds in categories and have pointed out the worst ones by catagory, and the reasons for their underperformance.
Hussman made the "family" list which is kinda odd as his other funds, I think, are nowhere near as negative as HSGFX
The link is not working. And you won't find a link on M* Amy's page.
There is a new link for the 15 most wealth creating funds I'll link below, but I suppose that one has a life too.
https://www.morningstar.com/funds/15-top-wealth-creators-fund-industry-2
On a web search, it appears that M* has pulled the article. It focused on $amounts, not percentages. So, it had US Agg Bond Fund (total bond market) on the same list as the wild ARKK. M* probably received complaints.
https://web.archive.org/web/20240131091956/https://www.morningstar.com/funds/15-funds-that-have-destroyed-most-wealth-over-past-decade
Alerian MLP ETF (AMLP)
ProShares UltraPro VIX Short-Term Futures (UVXY)
ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ ETF (SQQQ)
PIMCO Commodity Real Return Strategy A (PCRAX)
ProShares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS)
iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ)
ProShares Short S&P500 (SH)
ProShares UltraPro Short S&P500 (SPXU)
KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF (KWEB)
PIMCO StocksPLUS Short Fund A (PSSAX)
VelocityShares Daily 2x VIX Short Term ETN (TVIXF)
Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X ETF (TZA)
Velocity Shares 3x LongNAtural Gas ETN (UGAZF)
ProShares UltrsShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT)
Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 3X ETF (SPXS)
FWIW the list includes the 15 funds that destroyed the most value for investors over the trailing 10 years through 2021
Note: I didn't "invest" in a single one of these! I'm so proud of myself.
https://www.morningstar.com/people/amy-c-arnott?page=2
But this 1/30/24 update, that was apparently withdrawn, had a rather strange mix, with several bond funds mixed with gung-ho tech & leveraged funds.
After the 2023 Santa rally, no one wants to be reminded that any "plain-vanilla," bond funds were staring at three losing years in a row.
Methinks the editorial side of garden-variety M* has problems similar to the IT side.
Won't change anything for me.
(Side note: I believe I shall stay away from Real Estate in the future. I can't seem to ever win that game. "Straight" stocks and bonds for me. And FUNDS, of course.)
https://www.morningstar.com/funds/15-funds-that-have-destroyed-most-wealth-over-past-decade