AAII Sentiment Survey, 4/26/23
For the week ending on 4/26/23, bearish became the top sentiment (38.5%; above average) & bullish remained the bottom sentiment (24.1%; low); neutral became the middle sentiment (37.4%; above average); Bull-Bear Spread was -14.4% (low). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy (now, the regional bank FRC?); the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (61+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were down, bonds up, oil down sharply, gold down, dollar down. An unusually high 1m-3m T-Bill spread remained on debt-ceiling concerns. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
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Comments
Few bright spots are developed market stocks (US dollar is falling) and high quality bonds (yielding 4-5%). Also it would be wise to position your portfolio when the situation changes and they tend to be quick. I still think holding cash is okay when money market is paying 4.5%.