Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
A tour of the markets covering the most important charts & themes, including... 00:00 Intro 00:15 Tis But a Flesh Wound (Stocks) 07:41 No Pain, No Gain (Bonds) 12:37 Q4 Recession? (Economy) 18:57 The Real Policy Mistake (Housing/Fed) 31:50 Better Than Expected (Earnings Update) 35:13 Streamflation (Streaming Services) 39:32 A Secular Trend (E-Commerce)
A tour of the markets covering the most important charts & themes, including... 00:00 Intro 00:12 The Purchasing Power Decline (Housing) 03:51 A Dearth of Supply (Housing) 8:55 Disney's Drawdown 11:42 Prepared to Hike Again (Fed) 14:46 A New Computing Era ($NVDA) 18:58 Lower Used Car Prices (Tesla) 22:09 Long Cycles (US Domination) 24:47 The Other Side of Mania (AMC/Meme Stocks) 28:20 The Rental Gap (Suburban versus Urban Rent Growth) 30:58 8 Billion Reasons Thomas Malthus Was Wrong
A tour of the markets covering the most important charts & themes, including... 00:00 Intro 00:29 A Second Wave of Inflation? (CPI Report) 08:44 The Long Pause? (Fed Policy Expectations) 15:04 All Is Calm (Market Volatility, Credit Spreads) 18:31 The Biggest IPO of the Year (Arm Holdings) 22:39 Big Demands (UAW Strike) 30:15 Retail Sales Slump 33:32 Tightening Lending Standards 34:49 Deficit Spending 38:33 Rising Real Wages
Just read in Reuters that oil is heading up to $100/barrel. The combined cut back from major oil producers including OPEC and Russia are affecting the supply side. Higher energy cost will boost inflation again.
Just read in Reuters that oil is heading up to $100/barrel. The combined cut back from major oil producers including OPEC and Russia are affecting the supply side. Higher energy cost will boost inflation again.
Both NYMEX & Brent crude are up about a percent today. The first is priced near $92 and the latter around $95. Of course, oil prices have always been very volatile. Hard to time. What irks me is Americans’ fondness for driving very large high riding gas powered vehicles for everyday use - often with a sole occupant. These vehicles go about 18-20 miles (give or take) on a gallon of fuel under everyday driving conditions. These drivers are paying double to get from “Point A” to “Point B” they would with a midsized or large sedan capable of transporting 4 or 5 occupants in comfort. OK - it’s a free country. Do as you will. But why than scream about the high price of fuel?
Bloomberg typically puts up prices for both NYMEX and Brent crude oil. Below is a excerpt from one source pointing out some of the differences.
”Brent is a waterborne crude. It is a basket comprised of five different North Sea crudes (Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk, and Troll, commonly referred to as BFOET). As a waterborne crude, it can be put on a vessel and shipped anywhere. Because of this, Brent reflects global oil market fundamentals and the global economy. This is reinforced by the fact that approximately 80% of the world’s traded crude is priced relative to Brent, including Dubai, Urals, and West African crudes. Brent can be shipped and stored globally, either on land or in floating storage. As it has much more flexibility than WTI in terms of logistics …
“NYMEX WTI In contrast to Brent, WTI Cushing is a landlocked regional crude, which reflects market fundamentals in the midcontinent region of the US. It has storage and logistics constraints at a very specific location: Cushing, Oklahoma. There is limited pipeline capacity to get crude in and out of Cushing, and limited crude storage capacity there.”
As an investment, I maintain a 10% weighting in a CEF that plays around in the energy, industrial metals & precious metals sectors. (To me, it’s all about broad diversification.) A good mutual fund would be more cost effective, and potentially more profitable, but wouldn’t allow for the frequent rebalancing I like to do (intended to reduce risk). For broader allocation purposes this exposure is included under my “equity holdings”, so that my contribution to BBF’s thread did not distinguish this energy / metals exposure from the broader equity eposure
We are fortunate to own fuel efficient cars, not Tesla for sure. Cannot imagine having a Hummer.
We exited the entire commodity futures position early this year. Guess it was premature now that oil is up again. Where is the recession that everyone is talking about?
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:37 Webinar Next Week (9/26 @ 1pm EST) 01:06 Are Higher Rates Here to Stay (FOMC Meeting) 08:52 Good Times, Bad Times (Bonds) 17:02 Rising Rates: Good or Bad for Corporations? 22:24 Another Debt Milestone (National Debt) 26:29 A Minor Pullback (Equity Markets) 28:49 Would Stock Picking Be Easy if You Knew the Future? 31:34 Instacart IPO 36:40 "Soft Landing" 41:38 Slowdown in Homebuilding 44:02 Commercial Real Estate Reset 46:41 Real Estate Boom & Bust in China 48:24 India's Incredible Progress
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:16 Frozen Housing Market 06:41 7 Years Gone (Bonds) 09:14 Fed on Hold (Fed Policy) 12:27 Unaffordable Healthcare 16:18 King Dollar (Currencies) 19:24 Know What You Own (TIPS) 22:12 Indices Masking Weakness (Equity Markets) 23:43 The Freedom Premium 28:15 The 6% CD is Here
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:12 That Escalated Quickly (Bond Yields) 04:36 More Mortgage Pain (Housing) 06:36 Higher Rates, Less Building (Apartments) 08:32 The Coming Default Cycle (Office Property Market) 11:28 Longest Bond Bear Market Ever 15:36 More Jobs (Payroll Report) 19:57 Lower Prices Bring Out the Bears (Stocks) 25:13 When Valuations Matter (Story of 3M) 28:36 Going Nowhere Fast (General Motors) 30:48 Expensive EVs (Rivian) 33:57 Borrowing $2 Trillion in 4 Months (National Debt) 37:58 More Affordable Air Conditioning
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:18 How Long Will Inflation Remain Elevated? (Latest) 05:36 Bond Market Doing the Fed's Job (Fed Policy) 11:43 Boomer Spending Boom 13:53 Banks Still Under Pressure 17:19 The Bill Is Coming Due (National Debt) 21:58 Cry for Argentina 26:12 The Path to Prosperity
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:12 The 8% Mortgage Rate is Here 03:39 Priced Out of the American Dream (Housing Market) 06:43 Lost Decade in Long Bonds (Bond Market) 11:09 The Bear Steepening 14:29 Yield Curve: Still Inverted 16:59 The Difficult Business of Predicting Recessions (Economy) 19:21 Netflix Turnaround 21:10 Margin Compression (Tesla) 24:18 What's Priced In? (Moderna) 26:59 Is This What a New Bull Market Looks Like? (Equities) 30:20 What Are They Trying to Hide?
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:24 Bouncing Back With a Vengeance (Equities) 03:17 Investing in a Drawdown 06:08 Improving Bottom Line (Earnings) 09:54 Loosening Labor Market (Jobs Report) 15:49 Pause, Pause, Pause, Cut (Fed, FOMC) 21:54 Nothing From the 40 in 60/40 26:23 Mortgage Industry Decline (Housing Market) 29:35 More Affordable Rents (Rental Market)
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:16 The Tremendous Two (Apple & Microsoft) 03:35 The Fantastic Four (Apple, Microsoft, Google & Amazon) 06:41 The Enormous Eight (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Netflix, Tesla, Meta, & Nvidia) 12:16 2023: The Inverse of 2022 14:56 Rising Debt/Delinquencies (Credit Cards, Auto Loans) 19:07 Next Inflation Report: Likely to Decline 21:51 Higher Real Central Bank Rates (Today vs. 2 years ago) 25:37 Spending on Experiences (Concerts, Travel) 27:38 Is Housing Supply Starting to Normalize? 30:41 From $47 billion to $0 (WeWork) 32:40 Outpacing Inflation With I Bonds (updated rates)
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:15 The Road to Lower Inflation (CPI Report) 05:43 More Evidence of Cooling Inflation (PPI, Import Prices) 07:00 Will CPI Decline Again in November? 09:50 Market to Fed: No More Hikes! 13:09 Earnings at New Highs & Stocks Not Far Behind 14:58 The Tech Boom & Bust Cycle 18:14 Manufacturing/Industrial Slowdown 20:33 The Retail Sales Slowdown 25:01 Secular Shift to E-Commerce 26:37 When Debt Matters 30:15 Higher Rates, Lower Homebuilder Confidence 32:30 Thankful for Lower Food Prices
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:18 The Volatility Crash ($VIX) 05:30 An Unexpected Combination of Events (Higher Rates/Stocks/Multiples) 07:55 Exponential Growth ($NVDA) 11:29 Holiday Spending Spree? (Consumer) 16:28 Room to Spare (Housing) 19:00 Trying Something New (Argentina Election - Milei) 21:57 Housing Market Standstill Continues (Existing Home Sales) 24:39 "A Very Short Recession" (Conference Board) 27:34 The New King of Shipping (Amazon) 28:47 Lower-Priced New Homes
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:11 A November to Remember (Markets) 05:05 180 Shift in Sentiment (Sentiment) 08:30 Dow at New Highs (Dow 30) 10:04 The Recession That Never Came (Economy) 11:51 The Deep Freeze in Housing (Housing Market) 16:23 More Affordable Rents (Rental Market) 20:00 A March Rate Cut? (Fed) 24:48 They Got the Message (Money Supply) 26:32 A Record Day in Travel (Good News)
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:12 199k More Jobs (Jobs Report) 03:31 A Looser Labor Market (Job Openings) 05:52 Housing Market in 2024 (Redfin Forecast) 08:11 Major Equity Market Trends (Large vs. Small, US vs. International, etc.) 14:51 Moving in Tandem (Stocks & Bonds) 18:42 A Product of Our Experiences (Asset Allocation by Generation) 24:05 Fed on Hold (Fed Policy) 27:23 More Affordable Cars (Prices Moving Lower)
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:23 Is the Inflation Fight Over? (CPI Report) 04:26 More Evidence of Cooling Inflation (PPI, Import Prices, Inflation Expectations) 06:20 The Fed Pivot (FOMC Meeting) 13:46 Dow 37k (New ATH) 17:44 2 Years of Returns in 2 Months (Bond Market) 22:52 Corporate Bonds: Lower Yields, Tighter Spreads (High Yield/IG Bonds) 25:34 Higher Rates, Higher Stocks? (Fed & Stocks) 29:13 Is Mean Reversion Dead? (Large v. Small, US v. International, Growth vs. Value) 33:08 From Fearful to Greedy (Sentiment) 36:20 Wages Outpacing Inflation (Good News)
Put these charts on your wall. Topics: 0:00 Intro 00:23 Overbought! Oversold! 01:08 Credit Card Rates & Mortgage Rates 01:55 Fed Policy & Stock Market Returns 03:30 Mortgage Rates & Home Prices 04:20 The Stock Market Is Not the Economy 05:20 Bear Market Bottoms 06:39 Volatility is Mean-Reverting at Extremes 07:36 Markets Don't Follow a Normal Distribution 09:35 Bank Failures and Financial Crises 10:33 Increasing Concentration 11:59 What Happened Last Year = What Will Happen Next Year? 12:47 Cars Are Not Appreciating Assets 13:43 Past Performance = Future Results? 14:54 Just Buy What You Know? 15:54 Shorting Stocks Based on Valuation 17:07 Irrational Investors 18:38 Streaks 19:41 Profits Matter ... Eventually 20:41 The Workers Came Back 21:42 Bonds Have Risk 23:23 Buying a Stock Based on a Meme 24:34 Supply/Demand Imbalances 25:20 Makes Changes to Your Portfolio Based on Headlines 26:26 Rising National Debt 28:06 Big Returns, Big Drawdowns 28:59 Central Planning vs. Capitalism 29:53 Wall Street Predictions 31:10 Why You Need to Invest 32:21 There Is No Impossible in Markets
These were the charts and themes that told the story of 2023... 00:00 Intro 00:15 The Wall of Worry 02:55 The Pain Trade 04:35 A Run on the Bank 09:36 A Different Kind of Fed 14:06 AI Exuberance 18:03 The Magnificent Seven 20:19 The Sky's the Limit 23:38 The Recession that Never Came 26:38 The Earnings Comeback 28:18 A Frozen Housing Market 32:20 Back on the Path to Prosperity 36:32 A Rally for the Ages 42:18 The Polar Opposite of 2022 45:06 Triumph of the Optimists 49:41 What Comes Next?
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:24 Is the War Against Inflation Over? 03:30 Signs of Cooling Inflation All Around 05:16 Early Read on January CPI 09:59 Is the Fed About to Make a Policy Mistake? 17:26 Housing Market Deep Freeze Continues 23:43 Retail Sales Resurgence 26:08 Capitalism vs. Communism 38:02 The Bitcoin ETF and How Market History Rhymes 41:16 Increasing Prosperity: Wages Outpacing Inflation
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:17 What Tends to Follow All-Time Highs? 05:15 Will Small Caps Have Their Day in the Sun? 10:28 New Member of the Trillion Dollar Club 17:17 Tesla and Mr. Market 24:40 Netflix Comeback 27:32 King Morgan 29:08 Homebuilder Adaptation 32:14 Expansion Continues 37:23 China's Plunge Protection? 41:21 Money Supply Reversal 43:11 Cooling Inflation
The most important charts and themes in markets, including... 00:00 Intro 00:20 A Blowout Jobs Report 02:45 Say Goodbye to the March Rate Cut (FOMC Meeting) 06:54 A Year of Central Bank Easing 08:38 Money Making Machines (Earnings) 14:37 The Iron Rule of Financial Markets (Ark vs. Berkshire) 17:10 No Recession in Luxury Goods (Ferrari) 21:59 Rising Residential vs. Crumbling Commercial 27:34 The India/China Divergence 31:22 Weight Loss Drug Boom (Eli Lilly) 33:19 More Affordable Rents
@Observant1 Thank you for routinely posting these. I find them to always be very informative and sometimes I can carve out actionable items for our port. Here's hoping you continue with this service to the forum and that others take advantage of it.
Thanks, @stillers! I'm glad that you find The Week in Charts to be informative. I usually learn something from each episode.
Yeah, I wish I would have noticed your thread sooner, only been reading it for the past several months. Not to be overly patronizing of you or Charts, but IMO it should be required reading for any serious investor here. Each time I've learned something, but more importantly, I've learned actionable stuff some of those times! And that is the essence of a great post!
00:00 Intro 01:31 Topics 02:42 The Longest Inversion in History 07:01 More All-Time Highs (S&P 5,000) 15:44 Nvidia Now Bigger Than Entire Energy Sector 29:56 No Rush to Cut (Fed Policy) 44:14 Profitability Matters Again 47:31 McDonald's Customers Not Lovin' Price Increases 55:05 The Secular Bear Market in Office Buildings 1:05:54 Demographics and Destiny (China) 1:15:57 The Kids Are Alright
Comments
A tour of the markets covering the most important charts & themes, including...
00:00 Intro
00:15 Tis But a Flesh Wound (Stocks)
07:41 No Pain, No Gain (Bonds)
12:37 Q4 Recession? (Economy)
18:57 The Real Policy Mistake (Housing/Fed)
31:50 Better Than Expected (Earnings Update)
35:13 Streamflation (Streaming Services)
39:32 A Secular Trend (E-Commerce)
Video
Blog
A tour of the markets covering the most important charts & themes, including...
00:00 Intro
00:12 The Purchasing Power Decline (Housing)
03:51 A Dearth of Supply (Housing)
8:55 Disney's Drawdown
11:42 Prepared to Hike Again (Fed)
14:46 A New Computing Era ($NVDA)
18:58 Lower Used Car Prices (Tesla)
22:09 Long Cycles (US Domination)
24:47 The Other Side of Mania (AMC/Meme Stocks)
28:20 The Rental Gap (Suburban versus Urban Rent Growth)
30:58 8 Billion Reasons Thomas Malthus Was Wrong
Video
Blog
A tour of the markets covering the most important charts & themes.
Video
Blog
A tour of the markets covering the most important charts & themes, including...
00:00 Intro
00:29 A Second Wave of Inflation? (CPI Report)
08:44 The Long Pause? (Fed Policy Expectations)
15:04 All Is Calm (Market Volatility, Credit Spreads)
18:31 The Biggest IPO of the Year (Arm Holdings)
22:39 Big Demands (UAW Strike)
30:15 Retail Sales Slump
33:32 Tightening Lending Standards
34:49 Deficit Spending
38:33 Rising Real Wages
Video
Blog
Bloomberg typically puts up prices for both NYMEX and Brent crude oil. Below is a excerpt from one source pointing out some of the differences.
”Brent is a waterborne crude. It is a basket comprised of five different North Sea crudes (Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk, and Troll, commonly referred to as BFOET). As a waterborne crude, it can be put on a vessel and shipped anywhere. Because of this, Brent reflects global oil market fundamentals and the global economy. This is reinforced by the fact that approximately 80% of the world’s traded crude is priced relative to Brent, including Dubai, Urals, and West African crudes.
Brent can be shipped and stored globally, either on land or in floating storage. As it has much more flexibility than WTI in terms of logistics …
“NYMEX WTI
In contrast to Brent, WTI Cushing is a landlocked regional crude, which reflects market fundamentals in the midcontinent region of the US. It has storage and logistics constraints at a very specific location: Cushing, Oklahoma. There is limited pipeline capacity to get crude in and out of Cushing, and limited crude storage capacity there.”
https://www.ice.com/insights/market-pulse/what-are-the-differences-between-ice-brent-and-nymex-wti-futures
As an investment, I maintain a 10% weighting in a CEF that plays around in the energy, industrial metals & precious metals sectors. (To me, it’s all about broad diversification.) A good mutual fund would be more cost effective, and potentially more profitable, but wouldn’t allow for the frequent rebalancing I like to do (intended to reduce risk). For broader allocation purposes this exposure is included under my “equity holdings”, so that my contribution to BBF’s thread did not distinguish this energy / metals exposure from the broader equity eposure
We exited the entire commodity futures position early this year. Guess it was premature now that oil is up again. Where is the recession that everyone is talking about?
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:37 Webinar Next Week (9/26 @ 1pm EST)
01:06 Are Higher Rates Here to Stay (FOMC Meeting)
08:52 Good Times, Bad Times (Bonds)
17:02 Rising Rates: Good or Bad for Corporations?
22:24 Another Debt Milestone (National Debt)
26:29 A Minor Pullback (Equity Markets)
28:49 Would Stock Picking Be Easy if You Knew the Future?
31:34 Instacart IPO
36:40 "Soft Landing"
41:38 Slowdown in Homebuilding
44:02 Commercial Real Estate Reset
46:41 Real Estate Boom & Bust in China
48:24 India's Incredible Progress
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:16 Frozen Housing Market
06:41 7 Years Gone (Bonds)
09:14 Fed on Hold (Fed Policy)
12:27 Unaffordable Healthcare
16:18 King Dollar (Currencies)
19:24 Know What You Own (TIPS)
22:12 Indices Masking Weakness (Equity Markets)
23:43 The Freedom Premium
28:15 The 6% CD is Here
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:12 That Escalated Quickly (Bond Yields)
04:36 More Mortgage Pain (Housing)
06:36 Higher Rates, Less Building (Apartments)
08:32 The Coming Default Cycle (Office Property Market)
11:28 Longest Bond Bear Market Ever
15:36 More Jobs (Payroll Report)
19:57 Lower Prices Bring Out the Bears (Stocks)
25:13 When Valuations Matter (Story of 3M)
28:36 Going Nowhere Fast (General Motors)
30:48 Expensive EVs (Rivian)
33:57 Borrowing $2 Trillion in 4 Months (National Debt)
37:58 More Affordable Air Conditioning
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:18 How Long Will Inflation Remain Elevated? (Latest)
05:36 Bond Market Doing the Fed's Job (Fed Policy)
11:43 Boomer Spending Boom
13:53 Banks Still Under Pressure
17:19 The Bill Is Coming Due (National Debt)
21:58 Cry for Argentina
26:12 The Path to Prosperity
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:12 The 8% Mortgage Rate is Here
03:39 Priced Out of the American Dream (Housing Market)
06:43 Lost Decade in Long Bonds (Bond Market)
11:09 The Bear Steepening
14:29 Yield Curve: Still Inverted
16:59 The Difficult Business of Predicting Recessions (Economy)
19:21 Netflix Turnaround
21:10 Margin Compression (Tesla)
24:18 What's Priced In? (Moderna)
26:59 Is This What a New Bull Market Looks Like? (Equities)
30:20 What Are They Trying to Hide?
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:15 The Year's Biggest Correction (Equities)
06:09 Earnings Comeback (Big Tech, S&P 500)
10:03 Buying vs. Renting (Housing Market)
17:20 US Consumer Boosting Growth (GDP)
22:54 A Depreciating Asset Once More (Tesla)
28:18 UAW to Ford: "Pony Up" (Tentative Agreement)
31:49 Unwinding the Fed's Excesses (Fed, Money Supply)
36:19 Falling Core Inflation (PCE, FOMC Meeting)
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:24 Bouncing Back With a Vengeance (Equities)
03:17 Investing in a Drawdown
06:08 Improving Bottom Line (Earnings)
09:54 Loosening Labor Market (Jobs Report)
15:49 Pause, Pause, Pause, Cut (Fed, FOMC)
21:54 Nothing From the 40 in 60/40
26:23 Mortgage Industry Decline (Housing Market)
29:35 More Affordable Rents (Rental Market)
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:16 The Tremendous Two (Apple & Microsoft)
03:35 The Fantastic Four (Apple, Microsoft, Google & Amazon)
06:41 The Enormous Eight (Apple, Microsoft, Google, Amazon, Netflix, Tesla, Meta, & Nvidia)
12:16 2023: The Inverse of 2022
14:56 Rising Debt/Delinquencies (Credit Cards, Auto Loans)
19:07 Next Inflation Report: Likely to Decline
21:51 Higher Real Central Bank Rates (Today vs. 2 years ago)
25:37 Spending on Experiences (Concerts, Travel)
27:38 Is Housing Supply Starting to Normalize?
30:41 From $47 billion to $0 (WeWork)
32:40 Outpacing Inflation With I Bonds (updated rates)
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:15 The Road to Lower Inflation (CPI Report)
05:43 More Evidence of Cooling Inflation (PPI, Import Prices)
07:00 Will CPI Decline Again in November?
09:50 Market to Fed: No More Hikes!
13:09 Earnings at New Highs & Stocks Not Far Behind
14:58 The Tech Boom & Bust Cycle
18:14 Manufacturing/Industrial Slowdown
20:33 The Retail Sales Slowdown
25:01 Secular Shift to E-Commerce
26:37 When Debt Matters
30:15 Higher Rates, Lower Homebuilder Confidence
32:30 Thankful for Lower Food Prices
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:18 The Volatility Crash ($VIX)
05:30 An Unexpected Combination of Events (Higher Rates/Stocks/Multiples)
07:55 Exponential Growth ($NVDA)
11:29 Holiday Spending Spree? (Consumer)
16:28 Room to Spare (Housing)
19:00 Trying Something New (Argentina Election - Milei)
21:57 Housing Market Standstill Continues (Existing Home Sales)
24:39 "A Very Short Recession" (Conference Board)
27:34 The New King of Shipping (Amazon)
28:47 Lower-Priced New Homes
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:11 A November to Remember (Markets)
05:05 180 Shift in Sentiment (Sentiment)
08:30 Dow at New Highs (Dow 30)
10:04 The Recession That Never Came (Economy)
11:51 The Deep Freeze in Housing (Housing Market)
16:23 More Affordable Rents (Rental Market)
20:00 A March Rate Cut? (Fed)
24:48 They Got the Message (Money Supply)
26:32 A Record Day in Travel (Good News)
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:12 199k More Jobs (Jobs Report)
03:31 A Looser Labor Market (Job Openings)
05:52 Housing Market in 2024 (Redfin Forecast)
08:11 Major Equity Market Trends (Large vs. Small, US vs. International, etc.)
14:51 Moving in Tandem (Stocks & Bonds)
18:42 A Product of Our Experiences (Asset Allocation by Generation)
24:05 Fed on Hold (Fed Policy)
27:23 More Affordable Cars (Prices Moving Lower)
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:23 Is the Inflation Fight Over? (CPI Report)
04:26 More Evidence of Cooling Inflation (PPI, Import Prices, Inflation Expectations)
06:20 The Fed Pivot (FOMC Meeting)
13:46 Dow 37k (New ATH)
17:44 2 Years of Returns in 2 Months (Bond Market)
22:52 Corporate Bonds: Lower Yields, Tighter Spreads (High Yield/IG Bonds)
25:34 Higher Rates, Higher Stocks? (Fed & Stocks)
29:13 Is Mean Reversion Dead? (Large v. Small, US v. International, Growth vs. Value)
33:08 From Fearful to Greedy (Sentiment)
36:20 Wages Outpacing Inflation (Good News)
Video
Blog - not posted yet
Put these charts on your wall. Topics:
0:00 Intro
00:23 Overbought! Oversold!
01:08 Credit Card Rates & Mortgage Rates
01:55 Fed Policy & Stock Market Returns
03:30 Mortgage Rates & Home Prices
04:20 The Stock Market Is Not the Economy
05:20 Bear Market Bottoms
06:39 Volatility is Mean-Reverting at Extremes
07:36 Markets Don't Follow a Normal Distribution
09:35 Bank Failures and Financial Crises
10:33 Increasing Concentration
11:59 What Happened Last Year = What Will Happen Next Year?
12:47 Cars Are Not Appreciating Assets
13:43 Past Performance = Future Results?
14:54 Just Buy What You Know?
15:54 Shorting Stocks Based on Valuation
17:07 Irrational Investors
18:38 Streaks
19:41 Profits Matter ... Eventually
20:41 The Workers Came Back
21:42 Bonds Have Risk
23:23 Buying a Stock Based on a Meme
24:34 Supply/Demand Imbalances
25:20 Makes Changes to Your Portfolio Based on Headlines
26:26 Rising National Debt
28:06 Big Returns, Big Drawdowns
28:59 Central Planning vs. Capitalism
29:53 Wall Street Predictions
31:10 Why You Need to Invest
32:21 There Is No Impossible in Markets
Video
Blog
These were the charts and themes that told the story of 2023...
00:00 Intro
00:15 The Wall of Worry
02:55 The Pain Trade
04:35 A Run on the Bank
09:36 A Different Kind of Fed
14:06 AI Exuberance
18:03 The Magnificent Seven
20:19 The Sky's the Limit
23:38 The Recession that Never Came
26:38 The Earnings Comeback
28:18 A Frozen Housing Market
32:20 Back on the Path to Prosperity
36:32 A Rally for the Ages
42:18 The Polar Opposite of 2022
45:06 Triumph of the Optimists
49:41 What Comes Next?
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:24 Is the War Against Inflation Over?
03:30 Signs of Cooling Inflation All Around
05:16 Early Read on January CPI
09:59 Is the Fed About to Make a Policy Mistake?
17:26 Housing Market Deep Freeze Continues
23:43 Retail Sales Resurgence
26:08 Capitalism vs. Communism
38:02 The Bitcoin ETF and How Market History Rhymes
41:16 Increasing Prosperity: Wages Outpacing Inflation
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:17 What Tends to Follow All-Time Highs?
05:15 Will Small Caps Have Their Day in the Sun?
10:28 New Member of the Trillion Dollar Club
17:17 Tesla and Mr. Market
24:40 Netflix Comeback
27:32 King Morgan
29:08 Homebuilder Adaptation
32:14 Expansion Continues
37:23 China's Plunge Protection?
41:21 Money Supply Reversal
43:11 Cooling Inflation
Video
Blog
The most important charts and themes in markets, including...
00:00 Intro
00:20 A Blowout Jobs Report
02:45 Say Goodbye to the March Rate Cut (FOMC Meeting)
06:54 A Year of Central Bank Easing
08:38 Money Making Machines (Earnings)
14:37 The Iron Rule of Financial Markets (Ark vs. Berkshire)
17:10 No Recession in Luxury Goods (Ferrari)
21:59 Rising Residential vs. Crumbling Commercial
27:34 The India/China Divergence
31:22 Weight Loss Drug Boom (Eli Lilly)
33:19 More Affordable Rents
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Thank you for routinely posting these. I find them to always be very informative and sometimes I can carve out actionable items for our port. Here's hoping you continue with this service to the forum and that others take advantage of it.
I'm glad that you find The Week in Charts to be informative.
I usually learn something from each episode.
00:00 Intro
01:31 Topics
02:42 The Longest Inversion in History
07:01 More All-Time Highs (S&P 5,000)
15:44 Nvidia Now Bigger Than Entire Energy Sector
29:56 No Rush to Cut (Fed Policy)
44:14 Profitability Matters Again
47:31 McDonald's Customers Not Lovin' Price Increases
55:05 The Secular Bear Market in Office Buildings
1:05:54 Demographics and Destiny (China)
1:15:57 The Kids Are Alright
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