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Wealthtrack - Weekly Investment Show - with Consuelo Mack
@bee, Thank you. Matthew McLennan and Ed Hyman's interview was particularly informative. McLennan's First Eagle Global fund, SGIIX, is doing well this year with YTD return 19.8% while holding 14% cash.
This thread illustrates the diversity of thought of guests appearing on this program. I look forward to the annual visit from Matthew McLennan and Ed Hymann because it is loaded with worthwhile information about the economy and markets. The prior show entitled "Failing Retirement" made some good points (especially by Teresa Ghilarducci but I certainly didn't agree with Jamie Hopkins's recommendation of "Fixed indexed annuities" for ones fixed income allocation (due to the outrageous fees generally associated with the product). And having David Rosenberg the weeks before served as a good counterbalance to the generally bullish views of McLennan and Hymann. I like the show but find it a little creepy that the show's sponsors are often associated with guests who appear on the shows. I don't think Lewis Rukeyser's show ever took money from companies represented by panelists or guests, and in my view this gave the program "Wall Street Week" more credibility which will probably be unmatched in my lifetime.
Just like anything else you read here and elsewhere. Got to do your homework and ascertain whether the data make sense.
Rupal Bhansali's Arial International fund is fair on its 3 and 5 year track record. FMI International is better choice with respect to return and risk. I look for consistency, low downside risk, and reasonable ER. Alex Umansky manages 5 Barons funds. Not one of my favorite fund family.
Appropriate to sell stock here. Riskiest market since the late 20's. Long term different for everyone than 2008 (obvious 12 years later). Interest rates have been low because the economy is slow. Corporate debt on the verge of becoming junk debt and the banks owns that debt. Raise cash there are shallow and steep recessions, this one is going to be terrible. cash #1 investment.
The following episodes are all with David Rosenberg.
June 12th Episode:
June 19th Episode:
June 26th Episode:
From where I sit, there are things I do like even if I’m not a buyer of the Dow, S&P 500 or Nasdaq outright. I still like growth over value; I like essentials over cyclicals; I like “Big Safety”; I like the “homebody” stay-at-home stocks; I like the long end of the Treasury curve; I like Japan as a secular Abe-led turnaround story; I like secular themes tied to medical technology and cyber security investments; ESG is here to stay; and my strongest conviction is in gold and gold stocks (silver too — “ poor man’s gold”). While the Fed may be backstopping the outer limits of the corporate bond market, I wouldn’t touch it. They are so mispriced for the current and prospective default wave, it’s not even funny. If you’re that bullish, just buy stocks. If you want to invest defensively and seek yield, look at preferreds, or the solid dividend yields in selective REITs, telecom with financial depth, and utilities.
Comments
Part 1:
Part 2:
I like the show but find it a little creepy that the show's sponsors are often associated with guests who appear on the shows. I don't think Lewis Rukeyser's show ever took money from companies represented by panelists or guests, and in my view this gave the program "Wall Street Week" more credibility which will probably be unmatched in my lifetime.
Derf
Rupal Bhansali's Arial International fund is fair on its 3 and 5 year track record. FMI International is better choice with respect to return and risk. I look for consistency, low downside risk, and reasonable ER. Alex Umansky manages 5 Barons funds. Not one of my favorite fund family.
Fidelity Study Link:
fidelity/retirement-mindset-fact-sheet.pdf
https://wealthtrack.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/March-Sadness-Continuing.pdf
Tipping Point for the Global Economy:
https://westernsouthern.com/fortwashington/insights/tipping-point-for-the-global-economy
Appropriate to sell stock here.
Riskiest market since the late 20's.
Long term different for everyone than 2008 (obvious 12 years later).
Interest rates have been low because the economy is slow.
Corporate debt on the verge of becoming junk debt and the banks owns that debt.
Raise cash
there are shallow and steep recessions, this one is going to be terrible.
cash #1 investment.
March 27th:
April 3rd:
April 10th:
In part II of our interview with financial thought leader, Jason Trennert
"We have to solve the biology before we can solve the economy" Erin Bromage
Also,
A link to his 2013 Paper (Helicopter Money):
Helicopter_Money_Final1.pdf
June 12th Episode:
June 19th Episode:
June 26th Episode: Wealth-Track_Breakfast_with_Dave_2020_06_24.pdf
https://soundcloud.com/simonschuster/bezonomics-audiobook-excerpt