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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Woke Companies and Fund Families
    @LewisBrahm -- You share my deep suspicion of the rapid institutional isomorphism and brand-refresh extravaganza as a money grab.
    For the record, however, one doesn't have to be a right-wing nutjob longing for some halcyon depiction of the 1950's to have broader suspicions of many slices of the current zeitgeist.
  • property/home prices
    Bought for 460k 12/2019 now asking 625k and they'll get that or probably more....crazy times.
  • Woke Companies and Fund Families
    I think what the anti-woke investment crowd want most is a Time Machine Fund to return to the 1950s or a White Supremacy ETF. “Woke” has become one of those nebulous culture war terms the right uses to attack the left without actually committing to any real public policy to help the American people:
    https://google.com/amp/s/nymag.com/intelligencer/amp/2021/03/is-anti-wokeness-the-new-ideology-of-the-republican-party.html
    It’s a term that folks like Tucker Carlson—not the most enlightened source of investment advice—are obsessed with.
  • RiverPark Short Term High Yield Fund to close to new investors through financial intermediaries
    Distribution for May, $.0065 !! Hard closed needed by looking at this distribution.
    Derf
    Do you think that low distribution was a one-off and income will return to the usual (if fluctuating) levels when the fund is closed? Like several others I've been mulling over this fund for months but never pulled the trigger. Thanks.
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    Another couple of (encouraging) numbers I've failed to mention, so far:
    for the total duration of my investment in these two funds to date, I'm getting a profit that looks like this. Just checked:
    RPSIX: 6.23%
    PRSNX: 4.98%. That's close enough to 5% to make me rather happy.
    Why own bond funds? For ballast AND a bit of up-side. :)
  • RiverPark Short Term High Yield Fund to close to new investors through financial intermediaries
    Distribution for May, $.0065 !! Hard closed needed by looking at this distribution.
    Derf
  • property/home prices
    @royal4 : You mention 165K more than the price they paid. Now the question ,what did they pay for it ? 1.5 Mil. ?
    Not a buyer or seller, Derf
  • property/home prices
    Totally out of control... I think people are making up outrageous numbers when they put their houses on the market now from what I've seen and unfortunately they are getting those crazy prices and more. Last one I looked at they only owned for 1.5 years and are now asking 165k more than they bought it for....they'll probably get it. crazy.....
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    Would it be an over simplification to say that you own bond funds if you are afraid that you might panic and sell if there is an equity crash? Is that the primary reason? The market watch article says you own bond funds for safety and not return.
    Ignoring the definition of a bond fund for the moment… as PRWCX (an AA fund with a LOT of equities) and HY (junk) bonds are not the same as an FXNAX. Those that held mostly or a large percentage of bond funds in their portfolio in Feb or March 2020 were probably very happy. How did they feel at the end of 2020 when measuring their bond returns vs equities or the S&P Index?
    My investment style broke several myths because I don't follow simple rules and indexes.
    Myth1: own bonds for ballast, it's about 10 years now that I own bond funds for performance too, starting with PIMIX in 2011.
    Myth2: there is no free lunch. I had a free lunch for over 20 years. Anytime a portfolio Sharpe is higher than the index, it's usually free lunch. PRWCX performance since 2000 shows that it made more money than the SP500 with lower volatility. PIMIX in its glory days (2011-2017) made more money with lower SD than many allocation funds 30-40% in stocks.
    Myth3: Momentum and trading don't work. It worked for me.
  • property/home prices
    Marketwatch: USA.
    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/are-property-prices-in-your-neighborhood-still-rising-blame-it-on-the-donut-effect-11622577473?mod=mw_latestnews
    CBC: Canada. "The average price of a Canadian home sold in March went for $716,828, a figure that rose by more than 30 per cent in a year. That was the biggest annual increase on record."
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/stress-test-mortgage-real-estate-1.6046758
  • Poll - EV survivor
    I think we are at the tail end of early adoption phase. I think all major manufacturers will be getting into this thread as supporting side industries emerge. I own a VW Passat and this year VW stopped selling Passat in the US in favor of their new EV. They still keep Jetta as their high volume gas/diesel vehicle but transformation is happening. It will probably take another 10-15 years before EV become dominant type on the highways. It will need a lot more infrastructural changes (charging stations) all over US.
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    Does anyone buy I bonds with a max amount of$10k per person plus tax refunds can be added. Interesting article in Weekend WSJ.
    Just in case you didn't read Davids' commentary :
    Here’s how you can make more than 170X, raising your return 177-fold in a single trade. Move your cash from a bank account, where it’s probably earning about 0.02%, into an inflation-protected U.S. savings bond, which will yield 3.54% annualized. Unlike daredevil stock or crypto trading, buying an “I bond” is almost risk-free and delivers significant tax advantages. (The Safe, High-Return Trade Hiding in Plain Sight,” Wall Street Journal, 5/28.2021).
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    “I don't worry about market crashes, I sell, so, bring it on, the faster and deeper is better because the recovery will be much better too”;-)

    Sir, I admire your perseverance.
    image
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    Here’s a good article that looks into this topic: https://humbledollar.com/2020/06/farewell-yield/
    From the article:” That brings me to an idea advanced in 1989 by the late Peter Bernstein. Instead of the classic balanced portfolio with 60% stocks and 40% bonds, perhaps investors should opt for 75% stocks, with the other 25% in cash investments like money market funds and high-yield savings accounts. Bernstein found that the latter investment mix had a similar risk level to the classic balanced portfolio, but higher returns.”
    Except today high yield savings is hardly yielding anything significant either unless the yield is coming from investments of lower grade or banks of having shaky balance sheets. But as long as there is FDIC to back it up, you can keep a portion of cash there.
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    Buffet's Warning on Owning Bonds:
    Can you believe that the income recently available from a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond – the yield was 0.93% at yearend – had fallen 94% from the 15.8% yield available in September 1981? In certain large and important countries, such as Germany and Japan, investors earn a negative return on trillions of dollars of sovereign debt. Fixed-income investors worldwide – whether pension funds, insurance companies or retirees – face a bleak future.
    Buffett doesn’t really offer any alternatives, except to warn:
    Some insurers, as well as other bond investors, may try to juice the pathetic returns now available by shifting their purchases to obligations backed by shaky borrowers. Risky loans, however, are not the answer to inadequate interest rates. Three decades ago, the once-mighty savings and loan industry destroyed itself, partly by ignoring that maxim.
    a-bleak-future-for-long-term-government-bonds
    I think Buffett is approaching from insurance company point of view. Normally, the foreseen liabilities of an insurance company (for example to pay annuitized payments) are set aside and invested in bonds that mature on that date. I don't think he is particularly talking about bond funds but I can be wrong.
  • Best tsp return past 12 months
    https://www.fedsmith.com/2021/05/30/best-tsp-return-over-12-months/
    Tsp S I & C funds were best...
    We have ~25% in each, rest in tsp2040
    ???
    S - IVOO
    I - EEM
    C SPY
  • Why a ‘crushing’ day for Big Oil represents a watershed moment in the climate battle
    Some speculation on the future of oil production in an activist world:
    An oil price rally coupled with the declining strength of oil majors would mean a large wealth transfer from the West to countries like Russia and Saudi Arabia, until demand starts declining not only in the West but in Asia too.
    "The same oil and gas will still be produced. Just with lower ESG standards," said an executive from a Middle Eastern producer, who previously worked for an oil major, referring to environmental, social and governance performance measurements.
    OPEC, Russia Seen Gaining More Power With Shell Dutch Ruling
    Also, regarding the future of global coal production (perhaps Putin thinks Russia will be a winner in a warmer world):
    Putin Is Betting Coal Still Has a Future
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    As someone who invest all hid money in bond OEFs and trade stock/CEFs only a few times annually.
    PIMIX/PONAX: I sold on 01/2018 and never looked back.
    What had been looking good YTD without revealing my own funds:
    RPIDX: The manager used to work at PIMCO, YTD=7.3 TTM yield=3
    CLMAX: special securitized/MBS with shorting treasuries. It does better than most when rate rise. YTD=6.2 TTM yield=3.9
    DBLIX: special securitized/MBS. YTD=5.2 TTM yield=3.8
    NVHAX: HY Muni shorter term. You can use it in taxable and/or instead of some of your IG funds. YTD=5.2% TTM yield=3.5
    There is always something that does well.
  • Why do you still own Bond Funds?
    Bloomberg TV caught my attention this evening with a “breaking story” that Goldman Sachs had just advised investors to “short the U.S. 30 year Treasury Bond” because rates were about to soar.
    Hmm … When I Googled that, I discovered that Goldman’s been advising that same thing every year at least since 2017. One of these times they’re bound to be right.
    @Crash - I feel your pain. Bonds may not pay much, but with limited duration investment grade bond funds you can pretty much depend on getting your money back - albeit possibly not worth as much as when you invested it. On the other hand, in a frenzied equity, real estate or commodes market you can lose quite a lot.