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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    Or the 2y T showing at 4.74 right now; auction 6/25 if that's appealing. I'll prob'ly take a bite of that in the taxable account if the yield holds up fairly well between now and then.
  • DJT in your portfolio - the first two funds reporting (edited)
    DJT down 14.56% today after sharp losses Tuesday (-8 %) as well. Brings up the question - how many worthless DJT stock certificates can you stuff into a Tesla pickup and drive both into a permanent landfill?
    But @Mark, it's not just a pickup, it's a CYBERtruck. (sarc)
    P.S. Great comment; the visual it brings up is priceless.
  • Treasury money market funds
    Looking for a replacement for VUSXX, since I'm leaving Vanguard, I worked up this table of Treasury MMFs. I included last year's fraction of income that was state exempt. If it isn't over half then (a) none of the income is state-exempt in Calif, NY, or Conn. and (b) one might do better after tax (in all states) in a general government fund.
    Thinking in terms of a taxable account, ISTM the best funds at E*Trade are GABXX ($10K min) and VUSXX (80% exempt in 2023). The best funds at Merrill may be UTIXX (99.3% exempt) and TTTXX (94% exempt).

    Family Fund Class Ticker E/R SECyld % Treas Broker Min Min IRA
    Allspring 100% Treas MM A WFTXX 0.58% (0.60%) 4.77% 99.92% Etrade $1,000 $50
    Treas Plus MM A PIVXX 0.58% (0.59%) 4.77% 21.41% Etrade $1,000 $50
    Inst PISXX 0.20% (0.22%) 5.15% 21.41% Etrade $1 $1
    Blackrock Lqd Fed Trust Inst TFFXX 0.17% (0.23%) 5.17% 98.65% Merrill $1 $1
    Treasury Trust Inst TTTXX 0.17% (0.19%) 5.19% 94.07% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    DWS US Treas MM S IUSXX 0.32% 5.10% 100.00% Etrade $2,500 $0
    Fed Hermes Gov Obl TaxMgd Inst GOTXX 0.20% (0.24%) 5.14% 99.996% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    Gov Oblig Inst GOIXX 0.20% (0.28%) 5.17% 32.047% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    Treas Oblig MM Auto TOAXX 0.50% (0.58%) 4.84% 16.850% Etrade $25K $250
    Inst TOIXX 0.20% (0.28%) 5.15% 16.850% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    US Treas Cash R Inst UTIXX 0.20% (0.28%) 5.16% 99.295% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    Fidelity Gov Portfolio I FIGXX 0.18% (0.21%) 5.19% 35.13% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    35.13% Fid $1M $1M
    Treas Portfolio I FISXX 0.18% (0.21%) 5.18% 22.21% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    Fid $1M $1M
    Treas MMF - FZFXX 0.42% 4.95% 24.19% Fid $0 $0
    Treas Only MM - FDLXX 0.42% 4.93% 90.39% Etr,Fid $0 $0
    Daily FDUXX 0.70% (0.72%) 4.66% 90.39% Etrade $0 $0
    I FSIXX 0.18% (0.21%) 5.18% 90.39% Merrill $1 $1 T+0
    Gabelli US Treas MM I GABXX 0.08% 5.26% 100.00% Etrade $10K $1,000
    JPMorgan Fed MM Instl JFMXX 0.21% (0.25%) 5.14% 98.32% Etrade $3M $3M
    US Treas Plus Res HTIXX 0.69% 4.67% 19.63% Etrade $1,000 $1,000
    Morgan Stanley Inst Liq Treas Inst MSUXX 0.20% (0.21%) 5.14% 100.00% Etrade $1 $1
    Schwab Treas Oblig Inv SNOXX 0.34% (0.36%) 5.02% 11.21% Schwab $0 $0
    Ultra SCOXX 0.19% (0.21%) 5.17% 11.21% Schwab $1M $1M
    US Treas MM Inv SNSXX 0.34% (0.36%) 5.03% 99.61% Schwab $0 $0
    Ultra SUTXX 0.19% (0.21%) 5.18% 99.61% Schwab $1M $1M
    T Rowe Price US Treas MM Invstor PRTXX 0.30% 5.07% 30.78% Etrade $100K $100K
    TRP $2,500 $1,000
    Vanguard Treas MM Invstor VUSXX 0.09% 5.29% 80.06% Etr, VG $3,000 $3,000
  • DJT in your portfolio - the first two funds reporting (edited)
    DJT down 14.56% today after sharp losses Tuesday (-8 %) as well. Brings up the question - how many worthless DJT stock certificates can you stuff into a Tesla pickup and drive both into a permanent landfill?
    LOL. I'm sure CEO (and retired GQP Congresscritter) Devin Nunes will again be begging Congress, the NYSE, SEC, Mulder & Scully, the Illuminati, StoneCutters, and the folks at Area 51 to launch an investigation why his stock is going down so much all the time. /sarc
  • DJT in your portfolio - the first two funds reporting (edited)
    DJT down 14.56% today after sharp losses Tuesday (-8 %) as well. Brings up the question - how many worthless DJT stock certificates can you stuff into a Tesla pickup and drive both into a permanent landfill?
  • Range-bound portfolio. Anyone else? Comparing notes
    Sorry. I can’t relate to however you invest. Sounds “venturesome.” - :)
    Some here think 5% in a money market fund is pretty enticing. So, if your holdings are ahead by 2.5% YTD you’re doing at least that well. I’ll agree it looks like a bifurcated stock market, with some sectors red hot and others “slip slidin away.” But I’m not sure that’s all that unusual.
    Things go up. Things go down. My two long-short funds had a better-than-average day today. I haven’t bothered to check, but hopefully they have some tech-related shorts on. I’m tempted myself to short the QQQ. However, have some big distributions coming out later in the summer - so playing it cautious for now.
    Note: I edited out an earlier comment that my funds had done about the same lately. Clearly, some have done much better than others. In general, things have been grinding higher (which is better than tumbling lower).
  • Vanguard PRIMECAP Reopens
    @Tarwheel - never would I claim that FCNTX is an S&P 500 clone. It's far from it. At the time I sold what it hadn't been doing was beating up on the S%P 500 like it had in prior years. I blamed it on the growth of the massive AUM. I owned it close to 30 years.. largely due to it's skilled manager.
  • .
    Thanks Everyone. It’s my impression I came out ahead. As @msf noted, there is no tax consideration being in a Roth IRA. Maybe a better way to look at it is I own more shares of the same CEF now for no additional cost (as I reinvested roughly the earlier cash value).
    This might make a worthwhile thread on CEFs if anyone is so inclined. I’ve for several years owned 1 or 2. I view these as a way of broadening out / diversifying a portfolio. Also, as a way of adding a little extra “octane” to total return because most employ leverage.
    The way they trade drives me nuts. As @BaluBalu pointed out in another thread they are used by some as trading vehicles. And as @Mark mentioned in another thread they are largely owned by institutions. The latter fact would seem to indicate that smaller investors have a better than average chance of getting burned by these. If you think interest rates will fall, they should rise in value to the extent that they employ leverage (and falling rates = lower borrowing costs).
    What are the incentives for the manager to perform well or to stick to the fund’s mandate? I’ve read that their fee is based on total amount including levered amount. OK. Mutual fund managers have an incentive to attract more investors and sell more shares and increase the funds’ AUM. But a CEF cannot issue more shares. What incentives keep the manager on the straight and narrow?
    I do understand that these often trade at a discount to NAV. Is the manager’s fee based on NAV or share price? Does each have a board of directors elected by shareholders? I think so.
    Why is it that the share price of so many of these drop rapidly in the first year or 2 of operation? Often they will fall 15-25% in the first year or two and then begin a slow recovery. Obviously, they don’t look like a good value when first issued. Is that just raw luck or is some other factor at work?
  • Vanguard PRIMECAP Reopens
    FCNTX is no S&P clone. It rose about 15% in January alone. I’ve owned it for 20+ years and it’s the best performing fund in my portfolio.
  • Vanguard PRIMECAP Reopens
    Sure makes sense…. I’ve also got a lot invested in SPY too. It’s certainly been the place you wanted to be the last 15 years
  • Vanguard PRIMECAP Reopens
    @MikeW - I haven't looked closely lately. At the time I sold FCNTX I considered the retirement of Tillinghast at FLPSX, who I thought Fidelity might have to pry his cold dead hands off the keyboard, and wondered how much longer Danoff would stick around. I was, and still am, trying to consolidate my portfolios into something easy enough for my kids to take over and deal with. Booking it into the S&P 500 seemed like an easy and prudent move. That's all.
  • TestFol.io - Free Portfolio Analytics
    have unable to get any response from elmwealth on tool input details. but one may infer something interesting if true :
    a. their optimal asset allocation models imply only 5 variables matter. and none of them lead to <40% equity allocation.
    b. the withdrawal rate tool has ~20 variables...many of the usual suspects.
    plan on comparing allocation output to morningstar, vanguard.
  • Fidelity Rewards Signature Card?
    msf stated:
    Somewhere around 2015 Fidelity switched from MasterCard to Visa.
    musical chairs....CapitalOne is forcing users from an early expiring Visa to Mastercard.
    Cap1's highly marketed user changes\benefits? "New Card Number"
    hidden bonus: users gifted ~1 month to manually remove and replace all their billpays and visa linked subscriptions.
  • Current CDs are Compelling
    It's true that there are only a handful of offerings right now, but I just took a quick and arbitrary look at 3 years out and there are eight between 4.7 and 4.85%. I might do a Morgan Stanley in those, because how much longer will Moneymarket SUTXX be paying 5.18%?
    Add: In Treasuries, 7 offerings @4.55% maturing 1/27. Another possibility.
  • .
    Well, if this was a stock and you shorted it 15 days ago, and covered now with purchase, you would have that profit.
    But with mutual fund, after sale, you had no exposure. With the purchase, a new gain/loss clock starts.
  • .
    1, 000 shares X $11.98 = $11,980 Received from sale 15 days ago.
    1,000 shares X $11.69 = $11,690 Paid for same number of shares.
    So per 1000 hypothetical shares traded the “gain” should be $290. No?
    But that doesn’t take into account the lost dividend. 1,000 X $0.0870 = $87 (I think)
    So … on 1,000 shares looks like a real gain of $203 if I’m doing this right.
    No tax implications. It’s in a Roth IRA. To be honest, I lost about an equal amount while the money was in a different CEF. Not trying to blow my own horn … just figure this out. (The actual amount was somewhat higher than the hypothetical 1,000 shares.)
    Thanks @yogibearbull for the assist. You pushed me in the direction of figuring this out, unless there’s something else I may have overlooked!
  • .
    You sold for $11,980 15 days ago. What was the purchase price of THAT (& any distributions)?
    Now, you have bought again for $11,690. Your gain/loss will be determined when you sell THIS lot?
  • .
    I’m hesitant to delete this even though my question has been expertly addressed by the good folks here. Possibly, someone has more to add ….
    @Ted sometimes used a black dot to throw a thread into a semi-conscious state.
    Thanks for the help.
    -
    I sold a CEF 15 days ago for $11.98 p/s
    I bought it back today for $11.69 p/s - 29-cents a share cheaper.
    Seemed like a good deal.
    But I missed out on a (pretty standard) monthly dividend of $0.0870 per share by being out of it.
    Let’s assume no fees paid.
    Did I gain anything? Let’s use a hypothetical 1,000 shares for illustrative purpose.
    Thanks for any assistance to this decidedly math-challenged investor. :)
    PS - I tried to do a simple multi-figure subtraction problem the other day on paper as first learned in 8th or 9th grade. Couldn’t do it. Gave up. Damn calculators!