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+1Just to clarify: I believe that the original post was about SIIIX, which is up 18% this year, not about IOFIX, which is up 2% this year.
I mentioned earlier in the thread about the potential for the smooth ride and then sudden drops as a feature of mark to market discretion of thinly traded securities. You are well versed with this notion with IOFIX. So, one may not be enthralled with the smooth ride or despair with the sudden drops, unless one happens to be unlucky with timing.balubalu: here's what happened last may, tho i don't fully understand it: https://www.artemis.bm/news/cat-bond-market-suffers-one-of-its-biggest-non-loss-event-weekly-declines-icosa/. other than that drop, i don't see any other significant ones in the past year or two.
Today, EMPIX is down 2.4%, SHRIX down 3.13%, but CBYYX is unchanged. Very inconsistent if the effect is from Helene devastation. On May 3rd, CBYYX was hit the hardest and SHRIX was unchanged.
https://www.artemis.bm/news/stone-ridge-leads-managers-cutting-mutual-cat-bond-or-ils-fund-navs-on-hurricane-milton/
@BaluBalu. You may have seen the above update on the pricing discrepancies. Reminds me of the fair market pricing of international funds. The cat bond managers marked down the navs of their cat bonds at their discretion due to the impending hurricane. The CBYYX managers chose not to.
@ Crash,https://mutualfundobserver.com/discuss/discussion/61478/how-would-you-invest-100-000-right-now/p2as of September 9th, @junkster said ,
I trade only bond funds because of their persistency of trend combined with their lack of volatility. There are exceptions, but since 2000 there has always been a bond category that has beaten the S@P annually. Of course those exceptions are pretty glaring ala 2013, 2017, 2019, 2021, and so far this year. So with an extra $100,000 would just add it to the bond category that is far ahead of the bond pack this year. That would be bank loans/floating rate which I have mentioned previously, Some are already ahead double digits YTD. Aside of March they have been as steady a trender as you could want. They are massively overbought, ripe for a correction, and with fears of rising defaults. But, ( and I have to continually remind myself of this) overbought in Bondland can stay overbought for long periods of time. Then again, this wouldn’t be an investment just a trade. Investment is a foreign term to me. I think the only time I was ever in a position since the 1990s for more than four to six months was in IOFIX in 2020/2021.
——Also he mentioned few weeks later that he sold 1/3 of bank loan/ floating rate bond.———-
The quick rise rise of 10 year treasury yield has impact all bonds. I notice the short term junk bonds have peaked and falling too this week. YTD they were the few pockets of bonds that were up high single digit return. High yield corporate bonds such as TUHYX did well YTD and they also started falling last week. Is this déjà vu again of the brutal 2022 among bonds?
So what are your plan?
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