Howdy, Stranger!

It looks like you're new here. If you want to get involved, click one of these buttons!

Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Rhode Island sheriffs' retirement account woes bring scrutiny to their state-run plan
    This was posted in Facebook TIAA Group and here was my reply:
    "My take - 2 links are at the end.
    1. Plan fees are $32/yr plus fund ER (if applicable).
    2. TIAA Traditional is RCP (flexible). There is no ER as it's run directly from TIAA General Account. RCP rates are published monthly (& here too) & seem good. The guessed ERs in the NBC article are speculations & show poor understanding.
    3. Also available are TIAA Stable Value (with lower rates) & Vanguard money-market fund.
    4. TDFs available are TIAA RetirePlus Select (ER 3 bps only) & Vanguard TDFs.
    5. Other funds available are from American Funds, Pimco, State Street, Vanguard.
    6. As for restrictions on in-service withdrawals & loans, neither is available, but that is the decision of Rhode Island. I am surprised that loans aren't allowed. But why blame TIAA? Complain to Rhode Island HR.
    IMO, it's a GOOD plan & I hope that TIAA responds to the shoddy NBC piece. If not, you are at the right place to get right information (-:)"
    NBC https://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/rhode-island-sheriffs-retirement-account-woes-bring-scrutiny-state-run-rcna229290
    TIAA Rhode Island DC Plan https://www.tiaa.org/public/tcm/ri/retirement-benefits/plan-405868
    https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/thread/918/tiaa-rhode-island-plan
  • Delaying SS Benefits Isn’t Always The Best Decision
    Ya, it occurs to me that if you're a household of one, and you are a saver rather than a spender by nature, you might claim earlier than Full Retirement Age; take the amount you do NOT spend, and put it back to work by investing, or buy a bond fund or create a CD-ladder, depending upon prevailing rates.
  • Delaying SS Benefits Isn’t Always The Best Decision
    With SS benefits to be cut in 2033, unless more money is found to finance it, may also play into your plans for when to take SS
    This is discussed in the piece as one of several risks in deferring:
    https://www.kitces.com/blog/discount-rate-delaying-social-security-benefits-retirement-planning/#policy-risk
    And here:
    The possibility that policymakers could reduce benefits after someone has already forgone years of payments to maximize their age-70 benefit triggers what Sandman might call extreme outrage: the outcome is controlled by others (politicians), morally relevant (breaking societal promises), and unfair (changing rules mid-game).
    https://www.kitces.com/blog/discount-rate-delaying-social-security-benefits-retirement-planning/#regret-risk
    One way to read this piece is to skip to the bottom where two case studies are presented.
    One is a case study of a couple with limited resources. They might take SS earlier and make better use of their smaller nest egg in their 60s while they can enjoy it.
    They are also somewhat irrational (i.e. human). They would more regret the loss of SS income from dying early than they would enjoy getting extra from SS should they live long and prosper (more on that in Case 2). Especially since they don't anticipate a long life span (based on heredity).
    https://www.kitces.com/blog/discount-rate-delaying-social-security-benefits-retirement-planning/#case-study-claiming-early-with-limited-assets
    Case 2 is Mr. Spock and spouse. Larger nest egg easier so easier to fund expenses until drawing deferred SS. Long life expectancy, entirely rational. No regrets on what might have been - probabilities are just that.
    https://www.kitces.com/blog/discount-rate-delaying-social-security-benefits-retirement-planning/#case-study-claiming-later-with-a-tips-strategy
    Some people need to draw SS as soon as it's available because they need the cash flow. Others, like Spock, can make entirely cold, calculated decisions. Many people fall somewhere between the two (closer to case 1).
  • Delaying SS Benefits Isn’t Always The Best Decision
    A Siting from a 2024 Journal of Financial Planning article, Smith and Smith conclude: Our calculations do not support the presumption that the vast majority of people who choose to start their Social Security retirement benefits before age 70 are making a mistake. For example, … with a 4 percent real return, a person has to live to 89 for it to be beneficial to delay the start of benefits from age 67 to 70. However, 77 percent of 67-year-old males die before 89 as do 65 percent of 67-year-old females. Age 70 is not the most financially rewarding age to initiate benefits unless an individual has a low discount rate and/or is confident they will live several years past their life expectancy.
    From the Author of the linked article at Kitces' website: Ultimately, the key point is that we need to move beyond simply thinking in terms of portfolio risk when assessing Social Security claiming analysis discount rates. Ideally, we should be thinking more in terms of utility and factoring in all risks, which changes the calculus significantly.
    delaying-social-security-benefits-retirement-planning/?
  • Barron's on Funds & Retirement, 9/20/25
    MFO truncated the long post, so the length limit may have been reached. Here is the rest.
    INCOME INVESTING/FUNDS. MULTISECTOR BOND funds are riskier but allow exposure to several types of bonds – sovereign, corporates, HYs, EMs. A mix of core and multisector bond funds should be fine for most retail investors. Mentioned are JGIAX, LSBRX, MIAQX, PONAX, TQPAX. (After 12/31/25, LSBRX may have up to 35% in HY and 20% in equity. Hopefully, it will be reclassified as conservative-allocation fund, not as multisector bond fund)
    FUNDS. With HY spreads tight (280 bps only), it wasn’t a good time for Vanguard to launch a self-standing active HY ETF VGHY (ER 0.22%, the same as investor VWEHX, not Admiral VWEAX). Vanguard sees it as just filling its ETF line up.
    FUNDS. Foreign stocks are outperforming US stocks. Global equity funds as well as several allocation/hybrid funds and TDFs that have foreign stocks are doing well. Death of the old 60-40 turned out to be premature and it’s doing fine now. Mentioned are ETF TGLB; OEFs ABALX, MDLOX, VSMGX.
    FUNDS. With lower rates, consider a mix of cyclical stocks (IJR, JRE, XLF; C, CEG, FITB, PNC, VST), defensive stocks (AMLP, XLU, XLV; CPM, CVX, IDA, KO, LLY, PG, PM, UNH, WEC, WELL), US and foreign bonds (HSNIX, PGNPX, VMBS), or allocation/hybrids (none mentioned, but see above). Economic outlook is muddy. Atlanta GDPNow has Q3 at +3.4%, Conference Board at +1-2% (real) is similar.
    FUNDS. Where to put CASH? Suggested are T-Bills, money-market funds, ultra-ST bond funds (MINT), ST bind funds (IGSB), ST CDs (Marcus 7-mo 4.15%), online savings account (Barclays 3.9%). (Examples should be takes as “for instance” as there are many other competing choices.)
    FUNDS There are lot of mutual-fund-to-ETF conversions. A new crop of ETF classes of funds is also coming (after Vanguard’s patent expired). Reasons are tax-efficiency and lower ERs of ETFs, and much feared frontrunning of active portfolios hasn’t materialized. ETFs also have transparent, semitransparent and nontransparent (almost dead now) structures to suit the needs of sponsors. These conversions may not be good for funds in small and illiquid markets (AFSC is cited as a bad conversion). Several large conversions include DFAC, DFAT, DFAS, DFAX, DFIV, DFUS, DFUV, FELC, JIRE, JMTG. (In related news, SEC will do quick approvals for ETPs based on established commodity futures and that may lead to a surge in new crypto ETPs) (By @lewisbraham at MFO)
    (There is also a new SCOREBOARD for funds with weekly and YTD performance data through Thursday from Lipper – Top 25, Bottom 10, Largest 25. Unclear whether this is one-time or a new regular feature.)
    RETIREMENT & WELL BEING. If your employer cooperates, try partial retirement first by temporarily reducing the workload or taking a short break (staycation vs vacation). (Unfortunately, some are forced into retirement involuntarily.)
  • Barron's on Funds & Retirement, 9/20/25
    Several related articles prompted a return of this ad-hoc series only after a week.
    LINK1 LINK2
    UP & DOWN WALL STREET. Investment-grade CORPORATES (US & foreign) are now seen safer than respective sovereign debts. Global deficits, spending and debt servicing are rising. The assumption of risk-free Treasuries when US continues to print money is becoming shaky. Corporate spreads are tight because the baseline Treasury yields are rising, and corporate yields are lower due to high demand. MSFT AAA 10-yr yield (the only other genuine AAA is JNJ; ignoring tons of artificial AAA securitized credits) is now below 10-yr Treasuries. Some French corporates also have yields below French sovereigns. This phenomenon of negative spreads will become more commonplace. Many corporations are taking advantage of low spreads to issue new debt. US Aggregate Bond Index (AGG, BND; the so-called US total bond market although it’s only investment-grade) has 50%+ Treasuries (vs 21% in 2007). Just as SP500 has become concentrated in Magnificent 7, the (so-called) US total bond market has become concentrated in Treasuries. Options for low/no Treasuries include (true) total bond market (IUSB), corporates (LQD), etc. Central banks have also diversified and now hold more gold than Treasuries.
    STREETWISE. QUARTERLY or SEMIANNUAL reporting? It won’t matter if that’s made optional and then the market decides. Formal reporting requirement goes back to 1934 (regulators want to do something after a major crash) and quarterly reporting has been required since 1970 (there was a minor market hiccup then, but did that stop the big dot. com bubble and crash?). So, now there are 3 unaudited 10-Qs and 1 audited 10-K; companies can delay them with permission. President TRUMP made a similar proposal in 2018, but SEC then did nothing beyond holding public hearings – this time may be different (agency heads have rolled for lesser offenses).
    Nasdaq is favoring semiannual reporting citing savings. Of course, private-equity/credit saves LOT of money by infrequent or no reporting, and did you hear that it may be going into your 401k? US companies spend 37% on R&D vs only 17% for European companies – will that change by reporting frequency? In Europe, 50% of companies report quarterly, 50% semiannually, so what? Most people may instinctively react negatively to reduced investor information, but how many really dig through 10-Qs and 10-Ks? Reg FD forbids sharing of nonpublic information with selected groups, but some of that goes on and more of that may happen with infrequent reporting. Analysts would still be far off the marks as they are in their annual estimates, sometimes revised several times during the year. A study by Brown U suggested a split system – large companies reporting quarterly, small companies reporting semiannually. Journalist/humorist HOUGH recommends that the best would be no reporting at all, let companies save lot of money and let FOMO and mojo rule (-:)
  • OEF To ETF Conversions
    "Since 2021, 145 mutual funds have converted to ETFs, yet there are trade-offs.
    Most institutional retirement plans aren’t set up to allow ETF trading,
    so mutual funds that are offered in 401(k) plans can’t easily convert.
    Moreover, although there are certain 'semitransparent' ETF structures that allow active managers
    to conceal their portfolios, investors prefer full transparency.
    That means showing one’s investment cards every day."

    "Unlike mutual funds, ETFs can’t close to new investors—even if managers invest
    in illiquid securities and have limited capacity.
    For this reason, some ETF conversions appear problematic."

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/other/your-mutual-fund-is-becoming-an-etf-what-to-expect/ar-AA1MN4Yc
  • Barron's on Funds & Retirement, 9/13/25
    This ad-hoc feature returns after a while.
    Link1 Link2
    TRADER. Small-caps (SCs) have been strong since early-August. Lower rates and higher earnings may make this rally sustainable.
    INTERNATIONAL TRADER. EM DEBT is attractive – EMB ($ denominated), LEMB (local currency), etc. US tariffs haven’t impacted the EM bonds much because (i) several countries with high US tariffs (China, Brazil, India, South Africa) export less than 3% of their GDP to US, (ii) countries with higher exports to US (Mexico, S Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia) may be able to lower their rates as the Fed lowers rates, (iii) uncertainties in the developed world have benefited the EMs. Tariffs would cause a global economic slowdown that would be bearish for stocks, but bullish for bonds. BB-rated EM sovereigns (Turkey, Guatemala, Paraguay, Serbia, Albania) are attractive. Risk is that credit spreads are also tight.
    OPTIONS. If you want to chase a rallying stock that got away, use options – combine call-spreads with selling puts. WMT is used as an example, but it can be used for AI highflyers, GDX, etc.
    There is more on GOLD in STREETWISE, Link1.
    BEARISH. Small-caps (R2000 may finally make a new high since 11/2021; fwd P/E 16.1 (low), but 33 (high) if only profitable companies are considered; this may just be a short covering rally; notwithstanding positives stated elsewhere – lower rates, higher earnings, lower taxes; balances bullish SC stories elsewhere in this issue).
    FUNDS. Brandon NELSON, manager of small-cap (SC) growth CTASX / CTSIX (ER 1.30% / 1.05%; no-load NTF at Fidelity and Schwab) says that SCs will benefit from lower rates and improving earnings. He keeps winners but prunes laggards quickly. He watches credit spreads for indications of slowing economy.
    RETIREMENT & WELL BEING. Retirees can still find decent income from corporates (IGSB, VCIT), core-plus bond funds (OAKCX / OANCX) and foreign bond funds (GOBAX / GOBIX, IBND).
  • Maxing out 401K contributions the (mid-)year I retire in 2026
    Great. Thanks. No employer match to 401K. It all goes into a cash account plan. Same effect though, I will not get the full years contribution from them. My main impetus for the Roth build/conversion is to reduce RMDs, as you mentioned. I may also start them before age 73, as they could get out of hand quickly, especially when one of us passes and we have to file as "single".
    Related, my circumstances with retirement are very unique. I am the only SME left in my company for this product line, and a very large customer is involved. They have asked me to stay until the last piece of equipment is retired from the customer's network, and until we shut down our lab dedicated to this product. Essentially, they know that I have very little to do and do not care. We have a signed support contract worth millions.
    How they handle my leaving will be interesting. If they were to send me packing once the equipment is all gone, they would be on the hook for severance, and I would be entitled to unemployment pay. My guess is that they offer me a position on an associated product line, which I have no interest in pursuing. Thus, causing me to voluntarily retire. Which is fine, this whole situation has been extremely lucrative for myself and my wife.
  • Maxing out 401K contributions the (mid-)year I retire in 2026
    A lot would depend on your tax bracket, age & estimated income in retirement.
    If you go for maxing regular 401k, you may gradually convert to Roth IRA in lower income years.
    Mixing up may be a good compromise.
    And why not start in 2025 - there are few months still to boost 401k contributions.
  • Maxing out 401K contributions the (mid-)year I retire in 2026
    If Roth 401(k) is available in your company, it would be to your advantage to do so. Pay with after tax dollars now and future appreciation on the Roth account will be tax-free. The company matching $, however, still go your traditional 401(k). Maxing out would work before retirement.
    You may also add to your personal Roth IRA if your income is not one that is above 36%+ bracket. 2025 limit is $7,000 plus $1,000 catch-up. You have until April 15th for 2025 contribution. You can do that again next year before retirement.
  • Portfolio Allocation Ideas & Strategies
    I own TRAIX in one of my retirement accounts along with APDKX. While I have not purchased additional shares since conversion (only dividend reinvestment), I just called Vanguard and they said that I could sell APDKX and purchase TRAIX if I wanted since I am an existing shareholder of TRAIX.
  • Low Risk Bond OEFs for Maturing CDs
    "retirement investing objectives is to achieve a total return of 4 to 6%, with the least amount of risk"
    The higher end of that range will be difficult with a change of rates upcoming without taking on a bit of risk.
    I look for the same distribution range, but also include some risk via well considered multi-strategy bond funds and international....most via ETFs.
    Such as...JPST, JPIE, ICSH, NEAR, HFSI and JPIB. Also EADOX, AWF and JAAA if you're feeling frisky.
  • Low Risk Bond OEFs for Maturing CDs
    junkster: "Weren’t you a victim of the SEMMX scam that it was a cash substitute in 2020? I wouldn’t touch any fund associated with the fellow that has run LCTRX since 1997. Investigate its punk performance in 2015 and why. I would stick with the guy that runs HOSIX who at one time worked at Leader. He has done an admirable job at the helm of Holbrook."
    No I was not a "victim" of the SEMMX scam. I did own SEMMX for several years, but fortunately I was successful of trading out of SEMMX at the very early stages of its decline in 2020, and did not experience any significant losses from SEMMX or any of the other bond oefs I owned at that period. I have not been back into bond oefs since that period. As I have stated several times over the years, retirement investing objectives is to achieve a total return of 4 to 6%, with the least amount of risk. Since I was able to do that with CDs and MMs for several years after 2020, I found no need to invest bond oefs. Now it is becoming very difficult to buy a CD that makes 4%, so I am looking at the least risky way of making at least 4%
  • 2025 Tax Changes to Prepare For
    @larryB Just curious,,, what is “ working class retirement income?”
    That's a great question! Just reread comments & now more looking to do.
    Thanks larryB, Derf
  • 2025 Tax Changes to Prepare For
    @msf. Just curious,,, what is “ working class retirement income?”
  • Low Risk Bond OEFs for Maturing CDs
    I have been using CDs and MMs for the past several years in my retirement IRA portfolio. As those CDs mature, I am now considering adding some very low risk bond oefs, which can produce at least 4% total return. I am interested in low volatility funds, which have done well in down markets, and would be interested if other investors have some favorites they would recommend. Thanks in advance for your bond oef ideas.
  • 2025 Tax Changes to Prepare For
    People with working class retirement income get the ability to deduct $1K worth of charitable deductions without itemizing (starting in 2026). Only matters if their income is greater than the standard deduction.
    Since their tax brackets are lower than the those of the wealthy, this deduction is of less value to them than to high earners. IMHO a fairer break would have been to give a tax credit of, say, 50% of the amount contributed, up to a $500 credit (50% of $1K).
    With an increased standard deduction and an extra $6K "senior deduction", people with working class retirement income get the ability to convert more of their IRA tax free. That is, they can generate more income from conversions while still staying under the (now increased) standard deduction amount. This in turn gives them more flexibility in future years as the amount they must take from their T-IRA (RMD) is reduced.
    Their tax bracket (assuming they are subject to taxes) is locked in at 10% or 12%. Without this legislation, roughly speaking the 12% bracket would have reverted to 15%.
    https://smartasset.com/taxes/trump-tax-brackets
    Chickenfeed. But slightly above zero. Perhaps.
  • 2025 Tax Changes to Prepare For
    Is it just me or do all things working class have far lower cutoffs than all things investment class? People with working class retirement income and a little deferred savings in RMD get little from the BBB. I, for one, got nothing.