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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Matthews Asia
    Gleaning a little from the M* thread, it sounded like MAPIX was offsetting losses from REITs. There is some question if that is correct or not. I do not understand PFICs so maybe another member here has some insights they could share. Whatever the reason it didn't stop them from declaring distributions before.
    Copy and paste from the M* thread. Response from Matthews.
    Thank you for your inquiry. To clarify, there was no ordinary income distribution of the Matthews Asia Dividend Fund for the most recent quarter-end primarily due to the tax treatment of the portfolio's Passive Foreign Investment Companies (PFICs). A PFIC is a non-United States company that primarily derives its income from investments. U.S. investors who invest in PFICs must follow unique tax regulations that differ from regular investments.
    U.S. tax code requires investors under certain circumstances to deduct from the distributable income capital losses stemming from holdings in companies deemed to be PFICs. The Fund's holdings in real estate investment trusts (REITs) are deemed PFICs.
    This is not an indication of a change in how the portfolio is managed. The strategy remains focused on total return while investing in companies with high dividend payouts and growth-oriented businesses.
    Should we be able to assist you further, please do not hesitate to reply to this email or contact us at 800-789-ASIA (2742) Monday through Friday, 9 a.m. to 7 p.m. Eastern Time.
    Regards,
    Matthews Asia
    matthewsasia.com
  • MAPIX 4Q pay-out
    Well, that will teach me to be sure of anything in the MF world!
    @MaxBialystock
    Sorry, Max. I recall, several months ago, that JC saw some things, from his vantage on the ground in the Phillipines, that had his instincts tell him to "sell all" of his MAPIX, and he did so. I don't know how hard it is to look up info on Asian stocks re. distribution announcements; but you might check out the top 10 of MAPIX's last posting and see if a number of them discontinued their dvds? If no explanation if forthcoming by the ex-date, I'd consider taking your own capital gains by giving this one a big fat trim (insert your favorite expletive, for "fat").
    Rather disappointing. I had this fund on my WatchList, if it reopened on a big correction (when US domestic catches a cold, Asia always catches a fever). I dunno now.
  • MAPIX 4Q pay-out
    According to a poster on M* thread on this very matter, who called Matthews this morning (Monday, 11-24), that is not a typo. No capital gains, ordinary income, or any other type of distribution for MAPIX 4th Q 2014.
  • index vs active - which is safer
    A lot of employees with 401k etc plans are looking at their gains and comparing to the indexes. Most are woefully underinvested in stocks so they are making changes. Chasing returns might be more accurate.
  • This Week's Top Bond Market Stories 11/22/14
    A little overdone on the headline,but an issue to contemplate:
    Fund boards, management go on high alert around bond liquidity
    BY JESSICA TOONKEL Reuters.com
    NEW YORK Mon Nov 24, 2014 1:05am EST
    The concern is this: As the Federal Reserve begins to raise rates, which many expect will begin to happen next year, investors will rush to sell bonds as their value drops in a rising interest rate environment. Historically Wall Street banks have been the buyers of these bonds, but regulations and capital requirements imposed since the financial crisis have forced these firms to slash their inventories.
    "I look around and ask 'at the end of the day how easy would it be to sell what I own?', and the answer is it is much more challenging," said Jason Brady, a fixed income portfolio manager at Sante Fe, New Mexico-based Thornburg Investment Management, which has $70 billion in assets under management, $17 billion of which is in fixed income.
    In the end, however, the best way managers can get comfortable with liquidity concerns is to be prepared to hold on to the bonds in their portfolio for the long-term, said Margie Patel, senior portfolio manager at Wells Capital Management, speaking Thursday at the Reuters summit.
    "Liquidity is illusory for most bonds," she said. "The only time you need it is when you can't get it."
    http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/24/funds-bondholders-alert-idUSL2N0TA1CH20141124
  • More STIMULUS ??? Better buy every "appropriate" 2X/3X long equity play available.....
    Asia shares having a big day up on the rate cut news. Australia miners enjoyed big gains.
  • About THQ Tekla Healthcare Opportunities
    @Ben - taken from the Tekla website regarding their managed distribution policy:
    "The Fund has a managed distribution policy (the Policy) which permits the Fund to make quarterly distributions at a rate of 2% of the Fund's net assets to shareholders of record. The Fund intends, to the extent possible, to use net realized capital gains when making quarterly distributions. However, implementation of the policy could result in a return of capital to shareholders if the amount of the distribution exceeds the Fund's net investment income and realized capital gains. Under the Policy realized capital gains in excess of the total distributed would be included in the December distribution. The Policy is to declare distributions in stock, unless otherwise instructed by the shareholder. The Fund's distribution policy has been established by the Board of Trustees. The distribution policy may be changed by the Board of Trustees without shareholder approval."
    So yes, one can probably request cash distributions but it's not the funds policy.
  • WealthTrack: Q&A With Bruce Berkowitz: (Revisited) Powerful Financials ?
    @Scott and @PRESSmUP:
    I agree with you both. FAIRX has become a very different fund. I'm sticking with him because I think he just might be smarter than everyone else, and focusing patiently on a few extraordinary situations is probably the only way to achieve extraordinary returns, but yes, I find myself thinking, "Once this Fannie bet plays out, one way or the other, I'm selling half my position with him." This was supposed to be my conservative core fund, and for a while it really did work that way, and I'm sitting on big enough gains that I can't complain, but it's not what I expected.
  • About THQ Tekla Healthcare Opportunities
    The nice thing is that if you had purchased pretty much any of these funds 15 years ago you'd be very happy today even if you hadn't chosen the absolute best one. Likewise, if you think you can tell me which one will have done the best 15 years from now, please tell me so I can, well, think about it. :) I own both HQL and PRHSX, have been very happy for a while now and expect to continue investing when there are dips. The one thing I prefer about PRHSX over PJP or IBB, and actually I prefer it over HQL as well but I like the venture capital, is that for a very small increase in expenses you get someone to work for you. Of course that doesn't mean they'll do better, but at least there's some thought to the process, and its cheap management compared to what you have to pay most fund managers compared to a passive alternative.
  • 2015 Stock Outlook: Good But Not Great, And Bumpy
    FYI: Stocks can keep climbing next year, tacking even more gains onto their phenomenal run of the last five-plus years. Just don't expect them to be as big -- or to come with as little heartburn -- as before.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://bigstory.ap.org/article/daf4168d2e074966bfd5bb898da2cb3e/2015-stock-outlook-good-not-great-and-bumpy
  • This Week's Top Bond Market Stories 11/22/14

    That said, I don't know who's right, and with so many people calling for LT bonds to fall, it certainly would be a contrarian trade to bet on their continued appreciation.
    Thanks for the article.
    Here's my take...help me if I'm missing something:
    QE in other countries creates an incentive to borrow this newly printed money at near zero percent. Investors borrow at these low interest rates and some of this QE arrives on our shores looking for a better rate. Foreign QE buys US bonds paying 1- 4% depending on the duration. All this buying helps to continue lowering the bond yields on US bonds and creates the opportunity for capital appreciation in older higher yielding bonds.
  • The Ten Biggest Fund Shops Now Control 58% Of The Assets
    Interesting that a load fund company, American Funds (Capital Group) still plays such a prominent role, with 9.9% of market share. Can't stand when a fund I'm interested in is a load fund.
  • About THQ Tekla Healthcare Opportunities
    When plotting PRHSX, FSPHX, HQH, HQL, THQ using Morningstar (which properly accounts for the distributions), then at all time intervals except the narrow interval near the 2000 top, the closed end funds HQH, HQL underperformed. I would guess closed end funds are less tax efficient (just a guess). I understand that they may have some venture capital investments, but so far it did not help them to outperform. If so, do they have any advantages as compared to other ways of investing in healthcare? Any specific advantages in investing in THQ?
  • The Ten Biggest Fund Shops Now Control 58% Of The Assets
    Another perspective - ranking by percentage of market, and percentage increase/decease of position (e.g. a fund that had 10% or market share and now has 8% would have a decline of 20% of its position):

    Family Market Share Pct Inc (Dec) Cumulative Market Share
    Vanguard 18.5% 13.5% 18.5%
    Fidelity 10.4% 1.0% 28.9%
    Capital Group 9.9% (1.0%) 38.8%
    T. Rowe Price 3.9% 5.4% 42.7%
    Franklin Tmpl 3.8% (5.0%) 46.5%
    PIMCo 3.6% (29.4%) 50.1%
    DFA 2.1% 5.0% 52.2%
    JPMorgan 2.1% 5.0% 54.3%
    Blackrock 1.9% 5.6% 56.2%
    Oppenheimer 1.7% (5.6%) 57.9%
    Viewed this way, it seems that just three companies dominate - Vanguard, Fidelity, and Capital Group (American Funds) hold over 3/8 of all fund assets.
    Vanguard is obviously the big winner, no matter what perspective you take. And viewed from the perspective of what fraction of their market share was lost last year, PIMCo is the big standout (no surprise there).
    Aside from Fidelity and Capital Group (both of which held their market share pretty constant relative the share they already had), all the others had gains (or losses) of about 5% of their market share position.
    For example, DFA had a 2% share; its 0.1% gain in share represents a 5% increase in their share of the market.) Could just be noise (rounding error - with market share this low, a 0.1% change in absolute market share amounts to a 5% change). Just another way of seeing that after the first three (or six) families, the rest of the figures aren't particularly significant.
  • The Top Performing And Yielding Dividend Funds
    'Course, the higher the underlying price/value of "whatever" moves upward that is throwing off the dividend; will also "push" the dividend/yield downward.
    Not unlike the yields that were present in late 2008 in the HY bond area. Heck yes, the yields were really high because the underlying value of the bond(s) had been beaten into dirt. Those very high yields are, of course; gone now; but the captial appreciation in this area was very pleasing.
    Always a "this or that" somewhere in these types of mixes. Get the yield/dividend and/or the capital appreciation.
    The ultimate sweetness is the "total return", eh??? Get it where you may.......
  • The Four Best Investment Newsletters For Funds
    The first recommendation, the Fidelity Investor: "His five portfolios hold funds an average of 1½ years"
    The second recommendation holds funds for 4 yrs, and the third one holds them for only two years.
    Those newsletter are Losing a lot of return to capital gains taxes by selling the funds so soon, versus buying and holding a market index fund. And that's not even including the typical annual capital gains distributions from the actively managed funds in the first, second and fourth newsletter.
    The Vanguard Total Stock Market Index fund has not had a capital gains distribution in the 10 yrs for which data is available on the website. And since the index investors probably are not regularly switching their fund choices as in newsletters 1, 2 and 4, they have an investment with no capital gains taxes until they themselves decide to sell, which could be many years and in some cases decades. So in a taxable account it's like an IRA, except you have to pay taxes on the dividends.....
  • The Closing Bell: S&P 500 Climbs To Record As Europe, China Fuel Optimism
    FYI: U.S. stock benchmarks climbed to records, giving the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index a fifth weekly gain, as optimism in the global economy grew after central banks in China and Europe signaled additional stimulus measures.
    The S&P 500 rose 0.5 percent to 2,063.34 at 4 p.m. in New York, paring an earlier rally of 0.9 percent. The index advanced 1.1 percent this week, pushing its gains in 2014 to 12 percent. The S&P 500 is now only 62 points away from being up 15% closing 2014 at 2,125 just what MFO's Ted predicted back in February.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.bloomberg.com/news/print/2014-11-21/u-s-index-futures-rise-as-s-p-500-heads-for-fifth-weekly-gain.html
    Markets At A Glance: http://markets.wsj.com/us
  • For Some Stock Pickers, Worst Showing In 10 Years
    My not very profound comment is that at least in the case of a taxable large cap account the case for index funds is pretty compelling. Who wants to pay taxes on capital gain distributions especially involving short term trades
  • A bit of what I call a broad vacuum (sucks) market day, eh??? 1 fund & 1 stock up for this house....
    The new economy revisited?(Broad spectrum not broad vacuum?) Info highway/clean efficient transportation vs capital intensive mining and oil e&p.
    Assorted news stories from early week. PVSAX Putnam Capital Spectrum Fund Class A +0.58(+1.48%) and PYSAX Putnam Equity Spectrum Fund Class A +0.58(+1.32%) both have a large stake in DISH that gave them a nice gain today.They both trail SPY Y T D but both have strong 5 year returns.
    Another wild-card bidder is Dish Network. There has been speculation that Dish Chairman Charlie Ergen wants to drive bidding prices up to help increase the value of the nearby airwaves licenses that Dish owns
    Nov 19, 6:40PM EST
    DISH 74.66 +6.81 (+10.04%)
    Statoil (NYSE:STO) says it will suspend operations of two offshore drilling rigs for at least the rest of the year, with no plans for redeployment, citing overcapacity.
    Transocean slides as fleet update shows more rigs idled
    http://seekingalpha.com/symbol/RIG
    Closing the mine is not CLF's first choice, but an attempt to find partners to share the cost of expansion appears to have failed, and selling a mine that needs $1.2B in capital is a doubtful prospect; even Teck Resources (NYSE:TCK), long interested in breaking into the iron ore business, isn't biting.If a sale process fails, a closure of Bloom Lake would close the books one of the worst acquisitions in the history of Canadian mining.
    http://seekingalpha.com/news/2138385-cliffs-massive-closure-costs-for-bloom-lake-stuns-investors
    Bidding in the FCC's AWS-3 spectrum auction have reached $24.1B barely 24 hours after topping $14B. Through 15 rounds, $1.19B alone was bid on a 10x10 MHz. license for the NYC area.
    http://seekingalpha.com/news/2138395-spectrum-bids-top-24b-at-and-t-verizon-seen-spending-heavily
    Linked from S A article
    http://recode.net/2014/11/19/wireless-auction-attracts-whopping-24-billion-in-bids-so-far/
    "We know there is a good potential in India for Tesla," Mr Vijayan said, adding "based on demand there could be a manufacturing plant in Asia and India could be one of the possible locations".
    He said Tesla has been working to produce affordable electric car to cater to the mass segment.
    "With our 3rd generation car Tesla Model 3, we are looking to make it more affordable at a price of around USD 30,000-35,000, which is about half of our current Model S," Vijayan said.
    The company has a manufacturing plant at Freemont in US that can roll out half a million units annually (If Tesla can achieve that $30-35 thou price point they'll probably be able to put a plant anywhere they want!)
    http://profit.ndtv.com/news/industries/article-tesla-keen-to-enter-india-but-says-high-import-duty-a-roadblock-700069
    Norwegian Air CEO rejects criticism of plan for U.S. budget airline
    BY ALWYN SCOTT AND JEFFREY DASTIN
    NEW YORK/SEATTLE Wed Nov 19, 2014 8:09pm EST
    Norwegian is one of the first airlines trying to bring low-cost flying to long-haul flights. It has a fleet of 17 Boeing 787 Dreamliners and plans to order at least five to 10 more.
    Kjos said the Irish subsidiary is necessary to obtain access for all of Norwegian's aircraft to fly between the United States, Europe and Asia. If the company is only incorporated in Norway, it does not have access to many countries in Asia, since Norway is not part of the European Union. That would leave Norwegian running two airlines that separately serve the United States and Asia, and not able to shift aircraft from one region to the other.
    They (opponents)say Norwegian will dodge U.S. labor laws by using its Irish subsidiary to take advantage of labor laws that are weaker than in Norway, threatening U.S. jobs.
    "It would be a logistical nightmare," Kjos said. "We can't have one airline flying east, one airline flying west." http://www.reuters.com/article/2014/11/20/us-usa-airlines-norwegian-air-idUSKCN0J402I20141120
    By COSTAS PARIS Copyright W S J
    Updated Nov. 17, 2014 8:49 a.m. ET
    (paste and copy)
    LONDON—Shipping freight rates from Asia to Europe, the world’s busiest trade route, on Monday logged their biggest-ever weekly drop, as European growth is stagnating and Japan just fell back into recession.
    Container-shipping volumes are considered an important barometer of the global economy. Container ships move items as diverse as household goods, apparel, toys, electronics and food. Analysts said they expected further shipping-rate weakness because the peak demand season for Asian exports ahead of the end-of-year holidays is already over.
    Prices between Asian and European ports fell 21% per 20-foot container to $934, compared with $1,175 at the beginning of last week, according to the Shanghai Containerized Freight Index.The benchmark Asia-to-Europe rate stood at $1,765 per container at the start of the year.
    “Shipping lines have at this point lost control over freight rates,” said Jonathan Roach, container-shipping analyst at London-based Braemar ACM Shipbroking. “They are desperately trying to fill their ships while being hit by a double whammy: a renewed global economic slowdown and a persistent overcapacity of ships.”
    (subscription) http://online.wsj.com/articles/asia-europe-shipping-freight-rates-suffer-record-weekly-fall-1416226192
    TV Studios Court Licensing Deals in Bustling Foreign Markets
    By AMOL SHARMA
    Nov. 19, 2014 10:33 p.m. ET Copyright W S J (paste and copy)
    For Warner Bros. and other U.S. studios, the international TV-licensing bazaar has never been more lucrative
    Licensing content to foreign TV channels is one of several ways U.S. media companies are tapping into growing overseas markets as they contend with a maturing pay-TV market at home. The U.S. growth in pay-TV subscriptions over the past 30 years has fueled the profits of TV channels and, in turn, created higher demand for the content studios like Warner produce.
    Now, U.S. cable and satellite connections have peaked at around 100 million households, representing 86.5% penetration. That compares with an average penetration of just 48% across non-U.S. markets in 2013, according to securities firm Jefferies, leaving plenty of room for growth in European, Asian and Latin American markets.
    As new international channels launch, they have voracious demand for content. The price paid by international networks for TV programming is growing at a double-digit pace, says Morgan Stanley analyst Benjamin Swinburne. “American studios have a huge advantage,” he said. “They can afford the kind of production budgets that most national players in their own market can’t.” (Content sales also go the other direction, of course, and U.S. TV networks have long licensed reality shows from foreign producers and are ramping up on scripted content, too.)
    (subscription)http://online.wsj.com/articles/tv-studios-court-licensing-deals-in-bustling-foreign-markets-1416454383?mod=WSJ_hp_RightTopStories