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Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
  • Oberweis International Opportunities Fund closing to new investors
    This is good news if their recalibration works, and I'll stand corrected during the next correction if it is. However, there is a hole in the narrative. During the 2000-2002 bear market, Oberweis Small Cap Opportunities (OBSOX) dramatically underperformed its small-cap growth peers and the Russell 2000. It did so also in 2008. Why wasn't the process corrected before during the last dramatic 2000-02 underperformance? Admittedly, Oberweis Micro OBMCX did better during the 2000-2002 period, but so did all micro-caps and it actually lagged significantly a micro-index fund --Bridgeway's BRSIX. In some respects, Oberweis reminds me of Bridgeway. Historically, the funds have done well in bull markets and poorly in bears. They seem to be slightly leveraged--not literally but from a beta perspective--amplifying their upside and down by more aggressive bets in sectors like technology. Now the style re-calibration--at both shops actually post 2008--may have changed that, but it seems the nature of the beast somewhat with small-cap growth funds that they amplify risks. From a purely sector perspective recent years have been particularly good for the tech sector and Oberweis tends to focus on those kinds of names. When the sector turns, the performance may not be so good.
    Regarding tax efficiency, one secret many investors don't realize is that when a fund has a small asset base that is growing rapidly it is inherently tax efficient. If you have $50 million of capital gains it is far more dramatic in a $100 million fund than a $1 billion fund. New money dilutes the tax impact of all those gains even in a high turnover fund. When money flows in the other direction--out of the fund--the opposite can be the case.
  • The Closing Bell: Wall Street Gains On Comey Relief; Energy Down With Crude
    Answer from Trump supporters after DT messes up repeatedly:
    "Y...ye....yeah, but we won, y'all. Nah nah nah-nah-nah"- The Deplorables
    Trump will claim he is responsible for any market gains, but if it drops? Well certainly that's Obama's fault!
  • Oberweis International Opportunities Fund closing to new investors
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/803020/000114420417031272/v468560_497.htm
    497 1 v468560_497.htm 497
    The OBERWEIS FUNDS
    Oberweis International Opportunities Fund
    SUPPLEMENT DATED june 6, 2017
    TO THE PROSPECTUS DATED MAY 1, 2017
    Effective as of the close of business on June 9, 2017, the Oberweis International Opportunities Fund will be closed for investment, except that existing shareholders as of the close of business on June 9, 2017 who own shares of the International Opportunities Fund through (i) a qualified retirement plan account (e.g., IRAs and other tax-advantaged retirement plans, such as 401(k) Plans and 403(b)(7) Plans) and participants in qualified retirement plans that offer the International Opportunities Fund as an investment option may continue to invest in the International Opportunities Fund, and (ii) an account advised by an investment adviser may continue to invest in the International Opportunities Fund if such investments are being made pursuant to a rebalancing program. Employees of Oberweis Asset Management or its affiliated entities or trustees of The Oberweis Funds, and their families, may continue to invest in the International Opportunities Fund. In addition, all existing shareholders of the International Opportunities Fund will be permitted to reinvest any dividends, capital gains or distributions in additional shares of the International Opportunities Fund and may exchange their shares in the International Opportunities Fund for shares of the Oberweis International Opportunities Institutional Fund provided that the exchange meets the minimum investment requirements for the Oberweis International Opportunities Institutional Fund – generally, $1 million. Further all existing shareholders of the Oberweis International Opportunities Institutional Fund may exchange their shares in that Fund for shares of the International Opportunities Fund, subject to a $1,000 minimum. Shares will be exchanged for each other based upon their relative net asset values.
    The Oberweis International Opportunities Fund may resume sales of shares to new investors at some future date.
    The Oberweis Emerging Growth Fund, the Oberweis Micro-Cap Fund, the Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities Fund and the Oberweis China Opportunities Fund remain open to both new investors and existing shareholders.
    June 6, 2017
    THE OBERWEIS FUNDS
    3333 Warrenville Road, Suite 500
    Lisle, Illinois 60532
    1-800-245-7311
    Incidentally, here is the supplement to the Prospectus:
    http://oberweisfunds.com/wp-content/uploads/2017/04/Oberweis_Funds_Prospectus.pdf
  • How to determine a fund's tax efficiency?
    On the 'Tax' page for a fund M* shows the potential capital gains exposure. In the case of carrying a loss forward I guess it would be negative and in most cases now it's positive.
  • How to determine a fund's tax efficiency?
    You pay tax on all dividends for the year they're distributed. Some of those dividends are ordinary income, some are long term gains. Whatever they are, you pay taxes when you receive them - as you wrote, regardless of whether you take them in cash or reinvest them in the fund.
    Conversely, you don't pay taxes on the appreciation of your shares until you sell them, just like regular stocks.
  • How to determine a fund's tax efficiency?
    Thanks msf!
    - Looks like lower tax cost ratio is better.
    - Also looks like PIEQX isn't a bad choice given the constraints I mentioned.
    - Re: Earned dividends - I assume you have to pay taxes yearly whether you sell shares or not?
    - Re: Long-term cap gains - I assume (possibly incorrectly) you only pay those after selling shares?
    This tax stuff is beginning to look complicated. :)
  • How to determine a fund's tax efficiency?
    Morningstar's pages have a tab called "tax", which shows you the "tax cost ratio". For example, here's FCNTX 's tax page:
    http://performance.morningstar.com/fund/tax-analysis.action?t=FCNTX
    This calculation is but one way of representing tax efficiency. This one tells you what percentage of your investment went to pay taxes. Here's M*'s brief description:
    http://www.morningstar.com/InvGlossary/tax_cost_ratio.aspx
    Note that most sites (and all prospectuses) use the highest tax rates in computing tax efficiency. If you're in a lower bracket, and especially if you're in a 15% or lower bracket (where qualified divs and long term cap gains get taxed at 0%), you'll want to take the figures with a grain of salt.
    There's also an oddity in how mutual funds handle cap gains. If they have net gains, they distribute them to you, just as if you'd owned the portfolio and bought and sold it yourself. But if they have net losses, they are not allowed to distribute them to you. The losses accrue (accumulate), and next year, or the year after, or ... whenever they have a net gain, they can use those accrued losses to reduce the gains distributed.
    This has the effect of distorting tax cost figures. After the market swoons (e.g. 2008), pretty much everyone has large losses accrued. So for the next few years, all funds look tax efficient as they apply those losses against realized gains.
    IMHO turnover should be low enough that the fund isn't generating short term gains (taxed as ordinary income). But so long as the cap gains are long term, it doesn't matter too much. Sooner or later, even with very low turnover, the fund is going to sell appreciated shares. If it's allowed the stock to appreciate a lot, then it will recognize large gains then. Averaged over time, it comes out the same as taking a little at a time.
    Very low turnover (vs. low turnover) helps on the cost side, since trading costs are a big hidden cost in fund ownership. As you noted, you want low costs, whether explicit (in the ER) or implicit, in the trading commissions paid by the fund.
    I pay attention to tax efficiency but I don't obsess over it.
  • How to determine a fund's tax efficiency?
    Might have a modest sum to invest from sale of some property later this summer. Would like to "meld" it into existing portfolio which is currently mostly tax-deferred funds. Would prefer to invest in something at T. Rowe for simplicity. If it's a fund I already own there inside the tax shelter, that's even better.
    I've looked at their muni funds and not impressed by any in the current low interest rate environment - though they might suffice for part of the money. I'm thinking maybe PIEQX (international equity index) which I already own in the tax-sheltered account might be a good choice for non-sheltered money?
    Is there a website somewhere where you can input a fund and get a reading of its relative tax efficiency? I'm a neophyte at non-sheltered investing. Am assuming taxable income is to be discouraged in favor of long term capital gains. Further, you want low fees and low turnover. Thanks for any thoughts.
  • Pinnacle Value - PVFIX
    I have owned PVFIX for many years. My initial investment is approaching "doubling" in the fund. When I first purchased the fund, Mr. Dreysher used to write accompanying articles to PVFIX shareholders, which I haven't seen for some time. Fund is conservative and will not "shoot the lights out" in a bull market, but I don't have to worry about my investment. I don't think the fund has passed $68mm for some time.
    I remember a couple of years ago his number one holding was "Capital Southwest (CSWC)" which I still own today including its spinoff, CSW Inc.
  • Consuelo Mack's WealthTrack Encore Episode: Guest: Bill Miller, Manager, Miller Funds
    FYI: Bill Miller remains the only mutual fund manager in memory to beat the S&P 500 fifteen years in a row. He did it while he was managing Legg Mason Capital Management Value Trust from 1991-2005. After a couple of episodes of serious underperformance in 2006-2008 and 2010-2011 Miller left the fund and in 2016 left Legg Mason to launch his own independent investment advisory firm, Miller Value Partners.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://wealthtrack.com/miller-hedge-fund-timing/?action=edit
    M* Snapshot LGOAX:
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/xnas/lgoax/quote.html
    M* Snapshot LMCJX:
    http://www.morningstar.com/funds/xnas/lmcjx/quote.html
  • Why Active Vs. Passive Is The Wrong Debate
    Finally! Someone talking some sense. It doesn't matter if one does not agree with every reason provided in the article for making this argument.
    Unless you are invested with absolutely incompetent manager over the long run it is going to matter diddly. The quest to measure against index is futile. One needs to focus on absolute returns and permanent loss of capital. What I call ANALysis. This lets me navigate my retirement accounts even when I get locked out of repurchase when I am forced to sell on whipsaws in index funds. I just go into another "large cap" fund or a target retirement fund.
    What I like is a "smooth" line going upward all the time and I'm okay if the slope of that line is below the index slope. I just need my slope to be smoother and I have been achieving it for the past 10+ years. I'm perfectly fine seeing a "flatline" in my portfolio before my models tell me to start moving "upward" again, and I don't try catching the index slope.
  • The S&P 500 Has Never Had A Down Year After a Start Like 2017: LPL Projected 2017 Close 2760 + 22.1%
    FYI: So far so good?
    On May 25, Wall Street closed the 100th trading day of 2017, with the S&P 500 having risen 7.9% over that period. That’s a strong start to a year—the fourth-best start of the past 20 years—but don’t worry if you didn’t miss the rally. According to data from LPL Financial, not only has the market never ended a year with a negative return after such a start, but such a beginning typically augurs well for gains through the rest of the year.
    Since 1950, there have been 23 years, not including 2017, where the S&P rose at least 7.5% over the first 100 trading days. In all those instances, the market ended higher on the year, with an average annual gain of 23.4%. Based on where the market ended 2016, such an annual gain would mean the benchmark index SPX, +0.76% ends the year around 2,760.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/the-sp-500-has-never-had-a-down-year-after-a-start-like-2017-2017-05-31/print
  • Bespoke: S&P 500 Winners Remain Winners, Losers Remain Losers
    FYI: The average stock in the S&P 500 was up less than 1% in the month of May, but there were obvious winners and losers. Basically, the stocks that had the most upside momentum coming into the month continued to post nice gains, while the stocks with the most downside momentum continued to post losses.
    Regards,
    Ted
    https://www.bespokepremium.com/think-big-blog/winners-remain-winners-losers-remain-losers/
  • News Flash! The Bull Market Is Quite Rational
    There are, it seems to me, two arguments at work in this article.
    1. Investors routinely ignore politics, unless and until they impact economics. That seems about right.
    2. All is well in the market and the economy since profits are at record levels. That seems rather shakier. Three researchers from Research Affiliates, Rob Arnott's firm, released a paper today which argues "the ‘Trump bump’ reveals market expectations of continuing public policies prioritizing stability, inhibiting creative destruction, depressing yields and wage growth, and inflating a profits bubble. If instead the Administration delivers reforms that allow creative destruction, invigorate growth, and raise returns to capital and wages, then the lofty profits of corporate incumbents will be at risk."
    Cheers,
    David
  • Merger of Janus Capital and Henderson Group
    Yesterday Janus and Henderson announced the completion of a merger to form Janus Henderson Group plc.
    I have a position in Perkins Small Cap Value Fund Class T shares (JSCVX) but have not received any communication from Perkins, Janus, or Janus Henderson about what will happen to this fund. It now seems Perkins exists exclusively for institutional investors, of which I am not one. Retail investors have to go with Janus Henderson but the Small Cap Value Fund (JNPSX) is closed. Will my shares be exchanged?
    Anyone know what is going on or heard any news?
  • The Unfortunate Rise Of The Misleading 'Scary Chart' Comparisons Again
    But ciovacco capital frequently does this. and as far as I known them which is only in the last market, they are using charts to make the "bull" case and actually making one feel sanguine. So what is okay one way, should be okay the other way too. No one should claim ownership of charts.
  • Oakseed Opportunity Fund to liquidate
    https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318342/000139834417007124/fp0026108_497.htm
    497 1 fp0026108_497.htm
    Oakseed Opportunity Fund
    Investor Class (SEEDX)
    Institutional Class (SEDEX)
    A series of Investment Managers Series Trust
    Supplement dated May 31, 2017, to the
    Prospectus, Summary Prospectus and Statement of Additional Information, each dated May 1, 2017.
    Jackson Park Capital, LLC (the “Advisor”), the Fund’s advisor, has given notice of resignation as investment advisor of the Oakseed Opportunity Fund (the “Fund”), effective on or about June 30, 2017. The Board of Trustees of the Trust has therefore approved a Plan of Liquidation for the Fund which authorizes the termination, liquidation and dissolution of the Fund. In order to perform such liquidation, effective immediately the Fund is closed to all new investment.
    The Fund will be liquidated on or about June 30, 2017 (the “Liquidation Date”), and shareholders may redeem their shares until the Liquidation Date. On or promptly after the Liquidation Date, the Fund will make a liquidating distribution to its remaining shareholders equal to each shareholder’s proportionate interest in the net assets of the Fund, in complete redemption and cancellation of the Fund’s shares held by the shareholder, and the Fund will be dissolved. Shareholders redeeming Fund shares worth over $250,000 on or before the Liquidation Date may request redemptions by “in-kind” distributions of portfolio securities (instead of cash) from the Fund. Any shareholder wishing to redeem its Fund shares in kind must contact the Advisor at least 15 days prior to the Liquidation Date or date of redemption, as applicable. If a shareholder receives an in-kind distribution, the shareholder could incur brokerage or other charges in converting the securities to cash.
    In anticipation of the liquidation of the Fund, the Advisor may manage the Fund in a manner intended to facilitate its orderly liquidation, such as by raising cash or making investments in other highly liquid assets. As a result, during this time, all or a portion of the Fund may not be invested in a manner consistent with its stated investment strategies, which may prevent the Fund from achieving its investment objective.
    Please contact the Fund at 1-888-446-4460 if you have any questions or need assistance.
    Please file this Supplement with your records.
  • The Unfortunate Rise Of The Misleading 'Scary Chart' Comparisons Again
    FYI: In early 2014 charts were circulating around the internet comparing the 2014 market to 1928-1929. One such chart is shown below. The below chart was taken from an article that highlighted the fallacy of these comparisons. In fact, this type of scare tactic infiltrated the main stream media where a MarketWatch.com article warned about the similarity of the '28/'29 market to that of 2014 and that “trouble lies directly ahead.” Since that 2014 article was written, the S&P 500 Index is up over 30%.
    Regards,
    Ted
    http://disciplinedinvesting.blogspot.com/2017/05/the-unfortunate-rise-of-misleading.html
    Mark Hulbert MarketWatch Article: 2/11/14:
    http://www.marketwatch.com/story/scary-1929-market-chart-gains-traction-2014-02-11/print