Jurrien Timmer is the director of global macro in Fidelity's Global Asset Allocation Division, specializing in global macro strategy and active asset allocation. In this article, he presented a balanced analysis on the future direction of the global market.

Key takeaways
The big questions are when will the growth rate of new COVID-19 cases peak and will the fiscal and monetary policy response be enough?
The significant drop in the stock market has been made significantly worse by the oil price war between Saudi Arabia and Russia, as well as forced deleveraging and a soaring dollar.
Earnings estimates for the next few quarters tumbled last week, and will likely fall further in the coming weeks.
While further US stock market declines are quite possible or even likely, my technical work suggests that the momentum of this decline may diminish in the weeks ahead.

https://fidelity.com/learning-center/trading-investing/markets-sectors/stock-market-drops-2020

This article takes a general look at the ways in which the current crisis may reshape our economy. It got me to thinking about OEF's that may adapt well if the economy does change significantly moving forward. I know its early on in this crisis situation, but its worth thinking about. Looking at my existing portfolio, it seems to me these stock funds may prove to be good adapters: AKREX, FBSOX, PGIRX, BGSAX, and APFDX (I bought a little more APFDX on Monday). Any thoughts about other stock funds that may do likewise?
Here are some excerpts from the article and the link:

“It’s amazing how slowly habits change, where people get stuck in the ruts of doing things, and then you have a shock like this that can change everything,” said Erik Brynjolfsson, director of the MIT Initiative on the Digital Economy. “It forces people to overcome the switching costs, figure out something new and say, ‘Hey, this is way better.’ ”
“This is an inflection point, and we’re going to look back and realize this is where it all changed,” Jared Spataro, a Microsoft executive, said in an online news briefing. “We’re never going to go back to working the way that we did.”
On the other hand.....
Carnegie Mellon economics professor Lee Branstetter said his first attempts at teaching students online convinced him that although there is some opportunity for efficiencies, the old-fashioned classroom experience offers much more. He expects other forays into living and working online will convince many to return to routine human contact once they can.
“What I’m appreciating is just how much we lose when we go online,” Branstetter said.
Once the crisis is over, he added, “People are going to be so sick and tired of takeout.”

https://washingtonpost.com/business/2020/03/21/economy-change-lifestyle-coronavirus/

@Graust, not sure what you were looking at. As of yesterday's close, IOFIX was down over -34% for 1Y, and even through Friday's close it was about -25%.
@BenWP, I get the joke, but maybe you could use another analogy given SA's horrendous record of racehorse deaths? I'd hate to think that our investments could go down for the count at any time.
@franktrdr, I read that article on SA, and others describing the mayhem in the FI markets. I believe the author may have been mistaken about CEF NAVs. AFAIK, they are still only published weekly. M* shows a daily as of date, but in the cases of the CEFs I hold, the manager's website only updates weekly and the value on M* only changes weekly. I'm not certain as to whether or not there are any other sources which are updated more frequently.
In all my days, and I'm talking pre-1987 crash by more than a decade, I've never seen anything like this environment, and, I can also say that I've never seen a fund with a perfect '100' scorecard across all linked time-periods on M*, as is the situation for this fund. 'Never say never'.
To try and figure out whether this fund is ever worth going back into, much less now when things are so crazy that, e.g. Vanguard's Muni MM has a 7-day yield of 3%!!!!, Charles is absolutely right, things need to settle down, and then I'd look for funds that maybe weren't so great on the way up, but didn't kill you on the way down.
One final comment on the TLT price breaks vs. NAV. USTs are the Gold Standard for collateral, repos, derivatives, etc., so when things start to unwind, and counter-parties can't make payments, they can lose the bonds and the new holders may be very eager to liquidate because they don't want the interest rate risk (in addition to whatever else is on their balance sheets). Hence, fire sales abound. There was also a story last week about a CME clearing firm (Ronin Capital) that went belly up (dealer-to-dealer) and whose assets had to be auctioned off.
Be careful out there!

M* (link) NAV vs PRice
Example as of 3/23/2020...for one week...Price=+1.28...NAV=-0.51%

Related, more or less to this investment area....... story link below.
Invesco Mort. Cap. REIT, IVR , Down -43% today. Can not meet margin calls.
Overview indicates a -82% from 52 week high.
Disclosure: we don't have any horses in this area of racing.

Experience tell me in order to fully recover the loss that would be time, recovery time that is. During 2008 drawdown, S&P500 index took over 4 years to full recovery the loss from peak to trough. Depending on your asset allocation, it may be shorter (hopefully not longer).
At presence the sell-off is severe, i.e. the rate of decline is even steeper than 2008. There are days when the supposedly opposite asset classes such as bond vs. equity move in the same direction, which indicates panic selling to cash. So jumping to one ship on fire to another is not a viable option to recover the loss.
If you follow Charles Bolin article on MFO, he is near retirement and his portfolio is constructed very conservatively with 20% equity. He should be doing quite well now considering S&P 500 index is down over 30% as of 3/20/2020.

Thanks for sharing sma3.
The “recent dislocation is one of the most rapid and severe we’ve seen—and this is all with the backdrop that there are no solvency concerns around the mortgage agencies, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, in contrast to the experience during the financial crisis,” Daniel Hyman and Ryan Murphy of Pimco wrote in a Sunday note.
Tom Barrack, chairman and chief executive of Colony Capital (CLNY) ... called for regulators to suspend “mark to market” requirements for real-estate holdings to allow real-estate investors and operators to negotiate terms of new loans and payment schedules as the coronavirus slows (or halts) a lot of economic activity.

I've sold TRBUX BBBMX NEAR MINT GSY and JPST at my brokerages to capture what gains I had. I'm looking at funds like SNGVX THIFX BSV SHV and BIL which have held up better.

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/836906/000168386320000717/f2615d1.htm
497 1 f2615d1.htm CAPITAL VALUE FUND MERGER
Vanguard Capital Value Fund
Supplement Dated March 23, 2020, to the Prospectus and Summary Prospectus Dated January 31, 2020
Reorganization of Vanguard Capital Value Fund into Vanguard Windsor™ Fund
The Board of Trustees of Vanguard Malvern Funds (the Trust) has approved an agreement and plan of reorganization (the Agreement) whereby Vanguard Capital Value Fund, a series of the Trust, would be reorganized with and into Vanguard Windsor Fund, a series of Vanguard Windsor Funds.
The reorganization will consolidate the assets of the Funds and allow Capital Value Fund shareholders to merge into a significantly larger fund with a similar investment objective, similar expenses, and the combined utilization of multiple investment advisors. We anticipate that the reorganization will eliminate duplicative expenses and spread fixed costs over a larger asset base of the combined fund.
The reorganization does not require shareholder approval and is expected to close on or about July 24, 2020. Prior to the closing, shareholders of the Capital Value Fund will be issued a combined Information Statement/Prospectus, which will describe the reorganization, provide a description of the Windsor Fund, and include a comparison of the Funds.
Under the Agreement and after the closing, shareholders of the Capital Value Fund will receive Investor Shares of the Windsor Fund in exchange for their Investor Shares of the Capital Value Fund, and the Capital Value Fund will cease operations. Following the reorganization, shareholders owning Investor Shares of the combined fund that meet the applicable eligibility requirements for AdmiralTM Shares of the combined fund may request a self-directed conversion to the lower-cost Admiral Shares at any time, and may be automatically converted to the lower-cost Admiral Shares upon Vanguard's review.
We anticipate that the reorganization will qualify as a tax-free reorganization under the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended.
Closed to New Accounts
Effective immediately, the Capital Value Fund is closed to new accounts, and it will stop accepting purchase requests from existing accounts shortly before the reorganization is scheduled to occur...

This from Bloomberg:

A crisis in credit markets deepened on Sunday as a cluster of funds that own mortgage bonds sought to sell billions in assets to meet investor redemptions, sparking pleas for government intervention.
The sales included at least $1.25 billion of securities being listed by the AlphaCentric Income Opportunities Fund on Sunday, according to people with knowledge of the sales. It sought buyers for a swath of bonds backed primarily by private-label mortgages as it sought to raise cash, said the people, who asked not to be identified discussing the private offerings. The fund plunged 17% on Friday, bringing its total decline for the week to 31%.
“The coronavirus has resulted in severe market dislocations and liquidity issues for most segments of the bond market,” AlphaCentric’s Jerry Szilagyi said in an emailed statement on Sunday. “The Fund is not immune to these dislocations” and “like many other funds, is moving expeditiously to address the unprecedented market conditions.”
The best way to obtain favorable prices is to offer a wider range of securities for bid, Szilagyi said. He declined to discuss the amount of securities the fund put up for sale.

https://bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-23/mortgage-bond-sales-flood-market-amid-pleas-for-help-from-u-s

I think JBarro is usually not dopy, but man, this is really something to have typed:
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/03/coronavirus-and-stocks-is-it-time-to-sell-or-buy.html

Mark - This article https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/us/politics/kelly-loeffler-richard-burr-insider-trading.html?searchResultPosition=1 refers to Sen. Feinstein's office stating that her investments are in a blind trust. (There's a link.) Not sure about a link from Sen. Loeffler. Both senators are married to wealthy investors.

By Loeffler's own admission, her holdings are not in a blind trust. She is routinely told what she owns (independent of whether it is in a trust).
“I was informed of these purchases and sales on February 16, 2020 — three weeks after they were made.”
She says that she is not involved in the trades made. That's effectively the same you as putting your holdings into a traditional discretionary account. "Not involved in the trades" says only that she is not the one making the trading decisions.
The intelligence community provides the President raw data while not getting involved in policy decisions. Likewise, her statement allows for the possibility that she passed "secret" (non-public) information to her portfolio managers who were the only ones involved in making the "policy" (trade) decisions.
This is also a concern about Feinstein's disclaimer. She too says that she was not involved in the trade decisions.
"Ms. Feinstein’s office said her assets were in a blind trust and she was not involved in her husband’s financial decisions."
IMHO one should assume that all statements are carefully crafted by lawyers and one should pay as much attention to what is not said as to what is stated.

Mark - This article https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/20/us/politics/kelly-loeffler-richard-burr-insider-trading.html?searchResultPosition=1 refers to Sen. Feinstein's office stating that her investments are in a blind trust. (There's a link.) Not sure about a link from Sen. Loeffler. Both senators are married to wealthy investors.

First they lost money. Now hedge funds want clients to risk even more cash on the bets that caused the pain.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-22/bruised-hedge-funds-ask-clients-for-fresh-cash-to-buy-the-dip

@MikeW,
As a subscriber to MFO Premium many of your questions can be found through the database collected and analyzed by our very own @Charles. The tools provide powerful insights to analyze mutual fund's performance and risk in terms of Ulcer Index, bear rating and other statistic parameters (Sharpe, Sortino and Martin ratios) over the lifespan of each mutual fund including the bear markets. For example, Vanguard Total Stock Market Index fund, VTSMX had a maximum drawdown of -50.9% during 2008. It took 52 months or 4.3 year to fully recover. The emerging market and developed market indeces have equally if not worse drawdown % and long recovery periods.
There are few bright spots in the mutual fund universe and they are posted here as the Great Owl funds. In order to qualify as Great Owl funds, the funds are analyzed monthly using the above metrics. For example, T. Rowe Price Capital Appreciation fund, PRCWX is an asset allocation fund with 70/30 stock/bond composition. In 2008, the maximum drawdown was -36.5% but the recovery period was 29 months while the annual return is higher by 1% higher from 2008 to Feb 2020. And there are a number of Great Owl funds where I can use to construct a solid portfolio. The subscription rate is $140/year and I am more than happy to pay 10X of that amount. Can you say the same for Morningstar?
Charles Lynn Bolin who writes for MFO's monthly commentary as well as Seeking Alpha, utilized the database of MFO Premium as the basis for his informative articles.

Yep, in a real meltdown like 2008 and 2020, correlation goes much higher. CEFs actually lost a lot more. Funds with extra risk such as NHMAX+IOFIX lost more than similar funds.
In the above situation, treasuries do best. Remember Bogle 2 simple indexes SP500 + US Total bond index(which is not all treasuries but a good LT index)?

As of market close March 20th, according to the metrics of Old_Skeet's stock market barometer, the S&P 500 Index remains extremely oversold with a reading of 180+. This is on the high side of the barometer's scale. A higher barometer reading indicates there is more investment value in the Index over a lower reading. This past week, the weekly short volume average declined, a little, from 64% to 59% of the total volume for SPY. However, the VIX (which is a measure of volatility) went from a reading of 53 to 62. The stock Index's valuation lost ground during week moving from a reading of 2711 to 2305 for a decline of 15% and a decline of 32% off it's 52 week high. From a yield perspective, I'm finding that the US10YrT is now listed at 0.92% while at the beginning of the year it was listed at 1.92%. With the recent stock market swoon the S&P 500 Index is currently listed with a dividend yield of 2.53% while at the beginning of the year it was listed at 1.82%. As you can see there is a good yield advantage for the stock Index over the US Ten Year Treasury at this time. With this yield advantage, I'm favoring my equity income funds over my fixed income funds due to this yield spread and I feel equities have some good longterm upside potential more so than my fixed income funds. I also feel that the stock market is oversold and bonds are overbought but some bonds are now starting to become more attractive due to their selloff this past week. According to my advisor, and what they are seeing, the good stuff is getting sold to cover margin calls as those margined are short of cash. I would have thought most margin folks would have been gone by now.
I thought I'd include with this weeks blurb a link to Morningstar's Market Fair Value Graph. It reflects that stocks in general are at about a 28% discount. https://www.morningstar.com/market-fair-value
For the week, I was a buyer of equities at the 29% decline mark with also having bought earlier at the 8%, 13%, 19% & 27% decline marks. I most likely will continue to buy equities, at a slower pace though, as long as they remain in bear market territory; and, there is a fit for them within my asset allocation. However, my advisor/broker thinks I should limit my next two equity buys to the decline marks of 36% & 44% (if reached). In doing this would put my average equity buys at the 25% decline mark. For equities I'm still with buying in my equity income funds (IDIVX & INUTX) and in growth area in (KAUAX). In addition, the feeling is I should buy some on the income side of my portfolio since income has taken a beating of late. With this, I'm looking at real estate (FRINX) and muni's (FLAAX). In addition, I'm thinking of buying some more of CTFAX as it recently went from an equity allocation of 15% to 60% this past week. This asset move in of itself (by CTFAX) increased my overall equity exposure by better than 1% and reduced my income exposure by a like amount. My three best performing funds were PCOXX & TTOXX +0.01% ... IDIVX -0.99% ... and TSIAX -5.35%.
With equities taking the beating that they have in this downdraft (and to play the eventual rebound) I am temporairly moving to a 15% cash, 40% income and 45% equity allocation. This will be done in steps, of course, and based upon stock market movement.
In compairing myself against a 50/50 portfolio split between SPY (down -32.5%) & AGG (down
-7.75%) puts the model portfolio off it's 52 week high by about 20% which is in line with some of my asset allocation funds and where I bubble as well. However, the 50/50 model has a yield of 2.25% while I'm at a yield of 3.75%. Now being retired, I'm invested more towards income generation more so than capital appreciation although that is important, to me, to offset inflation.
My late father's asset allocation was 25% cash, 25% bonds, 25% stocks and 25% real estate. He felt that they would cycle at different times and while one might be falling another would most likely would be rising. But, that was way back then when you could make something off your cash. This asset allocation model would be off its 52 week high by about 16.6% with bonds and cash acting as stabelizers.
Thanks for stopping by and reading.
Take care ... and, I wish all ... "Good Investing."
Old_Skeet

I posted this information also in the IOFIX thread but thought it might merit a thread of it's own. For those who are interested:
If you would just like to see the PIMCO blog report: PIMCO's blog Insight Report
For further discussion on mortgage backed securities you might want to give this M* community discussion a look.
PIMCO says mortgage-backed securities are cheap
Also a good discussion of what has been happening in mortgage bond land lately by Lou Barnes at Premier Mortgage Group:
Mortgage Credit News March 20, 2020

I had several hundred thousand in IOFIX but I sold most of it on Feb 28 and all on March 9. That was based on the fact that stocks are crashing + bonds don't behave rationally to rate drop + even treasuries didn't act on rates properly every day + thousands global coronavirus + VIX > 50. Let's call it what it is..a black swan.
The market will turn and I will first look at the 2 funds I owned several weeks ago. NHMAX = HY Muni (includes leverage > 20%) + IOFIX. What comes down further usually goes up faster.
Several months ago I talked to the manager of EIXIX and he explicitly mentioned that his holdings have a much lower risk than IOFIX and one day IOFIX will explode.
The Pimco guys always say that MBS is the best place to be ;-)
AGC has great articles about CEFs but you get a lot of info on fixed income...see this (article)
"So what do you do at this point?
Sitting still and doing nothing can be the hardest thing in the world but is likely the best course of action. Resist selling and even buying much of anything at this point. We need to see some stabilization before really buying anything further: 1) we need volatility (VIX) to peak and start to subside. 2) Oil prices need to stabilize. 3) We need to see new cases of COVID19 trend similar to China or South Korea with the second derivative trail off.
Once these things happen, we believe that the market will bottom and start their recovery."
As usual, I follow my chart/trends and they come directly from the price which is the end result of the opinions of all traders.

Also a good discussion of what has been happening in mortgage bond land lately by Lou Barnes at Premier Mortgage Group:
Mortgage Credit News March 20, 2020