Snowball's great commentary "a low tolerance for risk"
Ummm ... you might reflect on that conclusion in light of the positioning of my portfolio, which I publish annually. In the non-retirement portfolio, about 50% of my money is in equities and 50% in income-producing securities. Within the equity sleeve, 50% is international and within international more than 50% is a combination of small, emerging and frontier. Domestic is overweight small- to micro-cap which a distinct value pitch. I have no savings account (0.01% APR does nothing for me) but instead balance very conservative income-oriented investments (the aforementioned RPHYX) with quite aggressive ones.
It might be a bit misleading to point to one fund and generalize from it. I mean, really, why is substituting RPHYX and RPSIX for CDs and a savings account "risk averse"?
My self-description would be closer to this: "I will accept no risk unless I perceive a serious assymetry, in which the probable upside is substantially greater than the probable downside." One measure of the ability of a manager to achieve that goal is to look at a risk-return ratio over a meaningful period of time. My default is Sharpe over a full market cycle. The FMC orientation simply reflects the fact that I have better things to do than try to time my portfolio; I have neither the interest nor the discipline to pull that off. Some folks do, although the evidence suggests a far larger number simply thinks they do.
So, if you start with my premise - high risk-return ratio over meaningful periods - which small caps should I be looking at? When I screen for open, retail small cap funds - domestic, global, international - no-load or load-waived at Scottrade and sort by descending Sharpe, the top ones are:
1. Intrepid Endeavor, first by a lot. ARIVX is a near-clone in terms of risk-return but it doesn't have a full cycle record.
2. Westwood Mighty Mites
3. Homestead Small Cap
4. Pinnacle Value
5. Tributary Small Cap.
If you play with the risk-reward measure (Sortino, Martin, Ulcer Index) you get a slight shuffle of the top ten with the addition of Queens Road SCV and Royce Special.
I'm not enamored with the Royce or Gabelli organizations. Love Homestead's low minimum initial investment ($500), don't love the $1.2 billion size as much. Queens Road is very much worth a look. Tributary really would qualify as "in the shadows." And still the numbers point most consistently to ICMAX and the much-derided ARIVX.
I bet you're wondering why I buy and sell funds so rarely. Briefly, I go through this sort of pondering with every single one.
David
Snowball's great commentary "In May we’re also hoping to provide new profiles of two old friends: Aston River Road Independent Value and Matthews Asian Growth & Income."
My take: no passive or actively managed fund should become an "old friend." Such attachment may result in holding on to an underperforming fund for too long. Hope is not a strategy in politics or investing. Hanging on to poor performing funds with relatively high expenses is all too common among common investors, and that is why such investors routinely underperform passive funds over long periods.
As I see it, ARIVX continues to be the poster child for indexing, and any attractive risk metric it has is largely due to its crazy-high cash position, which is currently 82%. This fund cannot objectively be compared with true SCV equity funds due to its historically high cash position. Currently, this is a MMF which is dabbling in SCV stocks, and primarily provides the diversification of MMF but not SCV equities.
And when fund managers say that cash positions have increased due to decreased investment opportunities, they are in fact engaging in market timing and nothing more sophisticated. And as we all know, market timing has never worked over long periods. I hate to be so down on this fund, but I firmly believe such funds are not in the best interest of long-term investors, and I would never own such a fund or recommend such a fund to friends or family. And as much as I respect Dr. Snowball for all of his wonderful contributions at FA and MFO, I continue to be bewildered by his support for ARIVX.
As for MACSX, this is a rock-solid fund which remains true to its investment objective, and does not try to time the market with high cash positions.
Kevin
Some really nice commentary/insights
kevindow I concur about the respect for the professor and his contributions here primarily the fact that he keeps this site running as a freebie and he doesn't rule with a heavy hand. He can chime in but he appears to have a low tolerance for risk (witness also
RPHYX among others ) and a long time horizon (RSIVX) and I can't fault him for those traits.
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) ------ M* PORTFOLIO ALERT = RPHYX & FPACX
Portfolio Name: all
04/05/2016
FPACX: FPA Crescent
The Morningstar Star Rating for this fund has changed from 4 stars to 5 stars. For details, click here
RPHYX: RiverPark Short Term High Yield Retail
The Morningstar Star Rating for this fund has changed from 4 stars to 3 stars. For details, click here
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) Hi, Ted.
You can get a sense of how close the call is when you visit Morningstar. The retail share class (RPHYX) now appears as three stars on its Morningstar profile page which the institutional share class (RPHIX) remains at four.
David
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) Ted, you often link to US News and World Report rankings. Do you know the dates of their data? They
still show a 4 star M* rating for
RPHYX, while the current rating at M* is 3 stars.
So that should give you a small window for the downgrade.
Note: RPHIX was (according to USNews) and remains (according to M*) a four star fund.
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) @MFO Members: Once again I ask the question when was
RPHYX downgraded from four to three stars, and where on M* Website does it indicate the downgrade. I checked both January and February downgrades, nothing about
RPHYXRegards,
Ted
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) As David wrote, here you have an ultrashort bond fund thrown in with typically long duration funds because that's the only collection of taxable junk bonds. RPHYX has to be included somewhere, else it's in a collection with no other funds which makes for a useless collection.
American Century Calif. High Yield Muni (BCHYX) is an example of the flip side (mixing grades rather than maturities) - a junk bond fund thown in with typically investment grade funds because that's the only collection of long California-specific muni funds.
If what attracts one to a fund is something unique, then one has to live with the fact that the fund is incomparable, literally.
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) Right, the change simply reflects the fact that the average high-yield bond fund made 2.5% in the first quarter while RPHYX made 1%. As it turns out, this fund has virtually nothing in common with the average high-yield fund (the correlation between the two is 0.09), so its star ratings - high or low - are perpetually misleading.
David
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) Ralph, you do understand, don't you, that
M*'s star ratings are purely quantitative, based on return and risk within the M* category, and have nothing whatsoever to do with a recommendation for or against a fund?
RPHYX downgraded by Morningstar (to three stars) FROM 4 STAR TO 3 STAR
Question for David Snowball and others about RSIVX Thanks so much David_Snowball for providing some valuable and interesting insights about RSIVX! Like MikeM, I would have loved to get into RPHYX, but since that wasn't an option, I decided to puchase RSIVX in order to get exposure to another David Sherman fund based on my research at the time.
Question for David Snowball and others about RSIVX I heard about it here, so I can't take credit. FWIIW, I also heard of RPHYX and RPSIX here.