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Charles

Thank you sma3! We are spending this summer in northwest again. I have no quiet place I can be before noon eastern (9 am here). Library opens at 9am! I've set up a session for Friday, 2 pm eastern ... posted on board. But, if that does not work, just call me at 805 468 9599 ... if I can pick up I will. Hopefully, can pick a day where you can attended from noon on. Very happy to do! c

About

Users name: Charles
Joined: March 2012
Visits: 9,427
Last Active: 12:24AM
Roles: Administrator, Premium

Comments

Yes, finally. Both DODIX and PIMIX up correspondingly. About 0.7%.

in Bond yields leap connected to sell-off Comment by Charles April 14
Yay!

in Bond yields leap connected to sell-off Comment by Charles April 14
YTD Performance Thru Friday, 11 April 2025 (aka WTD) -- Selected Funds Sorted by absolute percentage return (APR), best to worst. Includes several funds from Lewis Braham article posted by @Observant. For year through Friday: QQQ -11%, SPY -8.6…

in Updated MFO Ratings and Flows: March ... MTD Thru 11 April Comment by Charles April 13
Just posted all ratings to MFO Premium site, using Refinitiv data drop from Friday, 11 April 2025. Flows remain updated through 4 April. MTD numbers look a lot better than last week, but still down: SPY -4.5%, AGG -1.6%. SPY below 10mo and 3mo SMA…

in Updated MFO Ratings and Flows: March ... MTD Thru 11 April Comment by Charles April 13
Don't understand why DOGE is not going after military bases that even the services say they do not want. Remember Rumsfeld's Base Realignment and Closures (BRACs)? Ditto, much underutilized NASA centers.

in Major budget cuts proposed for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration Comment by Charles April 12
@Observant. Thanks, good article by Lewis Braham.

in Wednesday was no dead cat bounce says……. Comment by Charles April 12
Wow!

in JPMorgan Analyst’s ‘Redacted’ Report Spells Out Fear of [REDACTED] Comment by Charles April 11
Well, so much for things calming down. Have given back half yesterday’s equity rally and bonds are still falling.

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 10
Do hope things start to calm down, especially in bond markets.

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 9
@yogibearbull. "And options market activity showed that somebody knew of the announcement ahead and walked away with boatloads of money - SEC, are you too busy?" Yeah, I wondered about that too. If it's true, I do hope someone puts a spotlight on …

in Nobody Knows (Yet Again) - Howard Marks Memo Comment by Charles April 9
Thanks @Mark. I'm a big HM fan. @bee posted this interview on 9 April: Howard Mark's on Credit Market and tariffs: https://youtu.be/KpnUyGM5M-I

in Nobody Knows (Yet Again) - Howard Marks Memo Comment by Charles April 9
Bonds finally recovering, looks like.

in US stocks surge as Trump pauses ‘reciprocal’ tariffs for 90 days Comment by Charles April 9
And more ... The trades threatening the Treasury market

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 9
Yeah. But I'll side with @larryB on this one. I suspect if the administration listened this time, they'll try and make it right going forward. A dream I have.

in US stocks surge as Trump pauses ‘reciprocal’ tariffs for 90 days Comment by Charles April 9
Administration finally listened, looks like. Most IG bonds still negative after news. But, perhaps some hope of avoiding recession. And an SP500 bear market.

in US stocks surge as Trump pauses ‘reciprocal’ tariffs for 90 days Comment by Charles April 9
This piece from FT kind of sums up what (they think) has been happening here ... corroborating comments above from contributors to this thread: US Treasuries sell-off deepens as 'safe haven' status challenged

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 9
MM seems like good place to be right now. Maybe only place.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 9
From WSJ brief this morning ... Intensifying Selloff in U.S. Treasurys Stirs Fears An aggressive selloff in longer-term U.S. Treasurys overnight sent a worrying sign to markets that almost no asset is safe as President Trump’s sweeping new tariff…

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 9
Me too. New ground for me (which isn't saying much).

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
JR has been a skeptic for a while that the SP500 will continue performing like it has historically. c

in This Time, It Really Is the Tariffs Comment by Charles April 8
Related ... Hedge Fund Treasury Trading

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@Observant1. What Is The Basis Trade?

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
Well, far from "blowing up" ... but maybe for them: Quant hedge fund Renaissance suffers steep losses in tariff tumult

in James Bianco, "Who Blew Up" Today? Comment by Charles April 8
@stillers. Love Nate!

in Trump Tariffs Comment by Charles April 8
@bee. Really good! Did not realize it was an interview. Beautiful. c

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@Observant1. Yes, heavenly.

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 8
At close: HYD -0.89%, JNK -0.41%, IEF -0.50%, TLT -1.89%, AGG -0.52%.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
Probably not, at this point. Side note: On a recent train ride from Bellingham to Seattle aboard the Amtrak Cascades, which comes from Vancouver BC, there were NO Canadians on board.

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 8
@bee. Thank you! I'm a Howard Marks fan. Will look forward to reading. c

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
And I see yields up and bonds down again this afternoon. As of 12:30pm Pacific: HYD -0.8%, JNK -0.4%, IEF -0.4%, TLT -1.6%, AGG -0.4%.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
A bit over my head, but here's article on this topic in WSJ (may need subscription): Stocks Are in Turmoil, but Treasury Yields Are Stubbornly High

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@larryB. Trying to reduce entropy is an eternal challenge.

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 8
@yogibearbull. Good post.

in James Bianco, "Who Blew Up" Today? Comment by Charles April 8
@equalizer. Cute!

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@gman57. Yay. Predicting rates seems as hard as predicting equity markets. Maybe harder. In crash's recent post, I see BlackRock's Fink remains contrarian on rates.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
@WABAC. That's helps. Thank you.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 8
Indeed,

in FINVIS FUTURES, March 7 Comment by Charles April 8
Are you suggesting countries too (in addition to the hedge funds mentioned by @Observant1) started dumping Treasuries today helping push rates up?

in U.S. Treasury issues retribution??? What if there is a new tool being considered by foreign holders Comment by Charles April 7
Suspect the whiplash broke a few players today, given how much leverage can be in play.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 7
@Observant1. Thanks. That helps. Well, helps with understanding. It just did not make sense to me what happened today. Last Thursday was text book. But not today.

in So Much for Flight to Safety Comment by Charles April 7

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