Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
No wonder why Woods screaming ****rate halt ...deflation*** past few wks. She maybe couple months early
So many folks lost $$ these days
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/she-never-explained-anything-im-a-senior-citizen-and-i-lost-100-000-in-th…
Bloodbath throughout today
Maybe more bloodbaths tomorrow- futures bright red
No support- seller bears market, multiple support levels broke today - waterfall
Probably holding patterns for us - no buying, wait for storms to pass
Hi sir Derf -not sure about ust bonds but Corp bonds usually 5 or 10 bucks transactions fee without margin fees per 5k 10k I think w vanguard or schwab (margin fees usually calculate at end of month)
For us they put it the final product/amounts aft…
JNK Etf hy-bonds or bonds etf fbnd appears with very attractive prices.
Personally I think UST could be too high and has records gains past 10 month/prices maybe too high...... If long time horizontal maybe jnk bonds could be little better
Last time pessimism this low / high Vix 28 low 30s, sp500 w another leg stretches down - were near June bottom and market bounces off +16% until Jackson Hole.... after hrs market Fri premarket show sp500 still dances / rebound toward near 50d MA no…
I read Bloomberg article last wk. Worth look at it again, it sounds like QT may have minimal impact to market but to early to tell and no one really knows, first time this ever happens.
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-08-31/federal…
Ty for the heads up
Not sure what to do now
- wait w cash /buy more CDs hoping crisis will pass
-pick solid companies (etfs funds you believe in) w good low Prices/ p.e. keep dca/buy into them (like faang stocks sp500 brkb Costco ev CMG target hd Wa…
Thank you
Think large recession Loomming now prob for remaining this yr and very long time next yr
Housing sector will turn over soon and may remain very weak for 12 months at least
Us jobs probably be bad in few months w all demand destruction f…
Especially sir ust 2 yr 5 yr 10 yr IMHO so expensive rsi severely high
Maybe wrong end of trade if keep buying them
Maybe good buy small portions dca spy iwm and wait 12 36 months
Thankyou sir - Mr Hank [indeed maybe master at technicals analysis/macro-economic themes, and trading strategies]. I started trading last yr so very new to this field/still very inexperience compared to one whom may have traded ++ 20 30 yrs plus. …
Hi Sir Baseball fans
Think everything maybe priced in... Mr Market know 95b QT restrictions for several wks now since Uncle Powell spoke few months ago before Jackson Hole. IMHO Feds maybe slow down first then maybe pivot in 4 6 months next spring…
Yesterday market after hr verything slightly pass critical 50d ma
Let see if support hold end of day
Lots big whales retail investors betting sp500 finish near 3950-4000 w puts calls quadruple witching day.... If no support below 3900 we may test Ju…
CPI data weak
https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/09/12/stock-futures-are-higher-as-wall-street-awaits-key-inflation-report-.html
Fire sale...
Yes sireee
-24 or 27% haircuts last downturns ( could not remember)
-17% now
Coming back slowly
Forgot added VHT tech also last wk
Friends also loaded ton slv gold 7d ago
Hi Sirs (Crash Hank Yogibearbull) been dca weekly sp500 and xlf great long terms good vehicles... Can't go wrong w SPY and XLF)
Also 50 bucks monthly into bit coins btc-cash(BCHUSD) prob think sale once BTC get to 45 50k or so see how memontum tur…
Not sure if he say anything different
His portfolio has not changed since March... Also got caught as bag holders on ways down... Think he only traded nflix recently but sold out as loss
He maybe one of the cheer leaders trying propped market up\bu…
Hi sir that is the 400billions dollars questions and so hard to answer
I Have lots time left +17yrs
Likely holding patterns for me for now for 6 8 wks??!!. No buys now... Hold everything
See how it goes next 4 6 wks... Maybe more pains more downt…
Right sir sorry thought you collect over 5k lol
Wonder why they charge > 5k extra for inflation issues...
Sometimes maybe better to get corp bonds least they give you ytm and final costs/ expected returns info /extra fees - no gimmicks.... Jus…
Hi sir you get around ~ 207 dollars return daily until it mature on your investment ( if calculating nearly corrected) . Enough for little gas coverage.
Not bad and almost guaranteed.
Reversed situation what we have owe 15k margin several wks a…
Like few weeks news previously:
Gazprom halted gas flows through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline to Germany Friday citing a gas leak and providing no time frame for when supplies could be restarted. Market red and oil up swings after.
Nord Stream i…
Oil has so many variables, extremely powerful, and at global center stage. So many factors causing refinery/oil and price changes. China COVID lock down, Russia Ukraine conflicts/geopolictical, inflation status, OPEC sentiments, Gulf storms/ oil r…
I sincerely apologize
I Think I am very wrong, after look at old data, recession-bears market downturns could be prolong (average) 18-24 months process. Probably several more legs downs sp500 likely to 3100 in next ~ 6 9 months per friend. Hang t…
Wow so true
mind boggling
Thank you for sharing thoughtful insights
Mothers portfolio loss ~13% and it's devastating/extremly sad to see since both mom and dad live on fixed incomes + govt subsidized / 401k -rmd quaterly distributions.
My heart al…
https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/01/jobless-claims-total-232000-the-lowest-level-in-two-months.html
Job not bad but still leg down.. Guess bear market bad news are worst news and good news are bad news
Get assigned puts #AMD likely tomorrow Will leap …
Thank you Sirs Mr Catch and Mr Sven
I think I am doing good mentality and physically.
We did have a 6% of double dip when sp500 reached 200 days ma last wk before Jackson Hole meeting. One week and it's night and day differences.
I Only traded…
Everything hammered include commodities gush -10%
Surprising ust10yrs flatlined
May need sit tight wait awhile for 2-6 months
Prob consolidation sideway stagnations/ 5 -7% downturns for quite awhile [ few months]
Very scare oil now
Prob won't buy more
Oil energy seem plateau, so expensive to jump in
Maybe good buy oil bonds or sale weekly put bet -15% off price
Updated
Oil big dumps off today wti -10% haircuts
Hi Sirs - what are your etfdb largest holder vehicle[s] or top 5 mf /etf/ holders?
Thankyou for disclosing. We maybe looking for new etf or funds maybe adding
Ours -
Spy
Qqqm
Iwm
Vwo
5% portfolio used for tradings
30s% bonds [mostly large corp, …
Webull let you trade 3a central time until 7p
Crypto is 24 hrs slot vegas machine even xmas new yr eve
Only bonds and options are limited during NY stock exchanges hrs...
Sold out of bbby earlier today
