Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
The heady days of 5%+ MMs being over (the two I've used at Fido are down ~ 25-30 basis points each, with surely more to come), I've sent some of the cash to limited duration and opened a position in WSHNX. Not seeing enough upside to add to risk ass…
Those are polling averages, weighted by recency, the record of the polling organization, house bias, and other factors.
The Silver Bulletin's a good place to go anytime the news of one freaky-looking poll comes out and gets headlines in the MSM, l…
D. Milbank is in his element! If I weren't already so sick of those hooligans, saboteurs, conspiracy theorists, and dunces, I'd read his book. Gotta think that their House majority will be gone when the new Congress convenes in January.
KH baited him over and over, he took the bait every time, and she landed him flopping and flailing on the bank. Take him out of his pseudo-alpha-male comfy place, and he's a fish out of water.
Hi @AndyJ et al
If you're not familiar with the movie, check/view the movie 'Matewan'.
Thanks, @Catch. The Sayles movie Matewan (and the W. Va. event itself) were exactly what I was thinking about when I posted. And like your post shows, bad thin…
Putin invaded Ukraine because he saw Biden as a "weak" Prez. Sure. And then, even granting that wild accusation, the administration proved Pootie wrong as wrong could be ... although FD's party tried to hand Ukraine over to Putin by refusing for mon…
The current numbers from Nate Silver's latest iteration (538 founder who left his creation after Disney/ABC bought it) here, widely considered the most rigorous and accurate polling averages.
"It wasn't until fairly recently that I became aware that I had helped build an enormous coal-fired generating complex. Who knew?"
@Old_Joe, that was the Navajo Generating Station, and it was demolished in 2020, so it's no longer messing with regio…
Thanks @Sven and @MikeW; hadn't seen that. It explains a lot about how they run it, and why it holds up so well most of the time. Still my #1 choice for a U.S. equity fund. (Conservative investor here.)
Hey @OJ, here are the very simple terms in which I understand the whole thing. The FRED high yield spread measure is the yield difference between junk corp bonds and Treasuries. (There's lots of detail on what's counted in the text below the graph.)…
@Hank: Perhaps. But had he, Trump might have picked a more acceptable running mate. In a sense, the Dems set him up by waiting til post convention.
True 'dat. Vance is the gift that keeps on giving.
Detail on that Bloom/MC poll for AZ: Harris is up 2 head-to-head, but they also did a separate poll including RFKjr, the libertarian, and Stein -- and she's up 4 when all the candidates are included. See 538 here.
Kelly would for sure help AZ and maybe elsewhere, like NV. He's a little more of a hardliner on the border, so could help swing some votes there. The other thing I'm imagining is an ad with Gabby about how Republicans support gun violence.
Pritzker…
The ranks of potential VPs are such a treasure. Dems have a hell of a cohort ready to serve, and the contrast with the two hateful lunatics is about as stark as it could be.
I'd love to see Whitmer on the campaign trail - she is such a great speak…
Good link, @Hank. Reading thru those pages reminds me of the Bill of Rights national tour/program (~ 2010??). In addition to one of the copies of the BoR that was reputed to have gone to the states for ratification, it featured a short film about th…
Per the Google AI piece: Why waste time on a constitutional amendment? Better to take over the Supreme Court, which has effectively "amended" the Constitution at least twice in a few months: castrating part of the 14th and inventing presidential imm…
Also caught a bit from a vid posted on HuffPo where he said that people with children should have more say in the system than those without. But nothing tops Trump's latest, to far-right "Christians" : vote this year, and after that, they won't have…
BTW - ABC news reports that the first polling has Harris over Trump by 2 percentage points in the popular vote.
I think that's the same poll that has her up 4 when RFK Jr. is included -- which IIRC is outside the margin of error.
Remember that the GQP court opened the floodgates with Citizens United. The other team can't play high and mighty and go into the game the right-wingers initiated with their hands tied behind their backs.
The appellate court for Florida is the 11th, very conservative, but they did reverse Cannon once. But from there, if successful, it'd go to the partisan hack majority in the hallowed halls of D.C. for another trashing of the Constitution, judicial p…
Every decision of the Extreme Ideologue Court and its wannabe judges like Cannon takes us a little further along in judicially rewriting/dismantling the Constitution. Imagine how far four more years of Trump, with a GQP Senate confirming Cannon-like…
From the accounts of the ruling, it appears the radical majority have left themselves enough wiggle room that they could allow prosecution of a prez they don't like while letting one they do like avoid prosecution.
This is how dictatorships work. …
Pimco has a totally new website since I last looked (weeks ago). PYLD shows as -31.09% "net other short duration instruments," which if memory serves, is not exclusively cash.
+1, @yogibearbull.
What a film resume he had. Saw Eye of the Needle recently: a great WW II suspense film with DS as a nasty German spy. He played it to the max, like he apparently did every role.
