Here's a statement of the obvious: The opinions expressed here are those of the participants, not those of the Mutual Fund Observer. We cannot vouch for the accuracy or appropriateness of any of it, though we do encourage civility and good humor.
Another, shorter-term consideration: SFGIX has about 1/3 of assets and MACSX about 1/2 in some of the most (short-term, based on 50d ma) oversold markets worldwide, per Bespoke Investment --- SE Asia, Taiwan, & S. Korea. They can always keep goi…
Reply to @Ted: Merry Christmas to you too, Ted. If you have a problem with reading articles before you post, and relaying what's relevant and important about them in the post, I'd be interested to know what exactly is the problem.
I think MFO could probably accommodate posting articles without creating a separate section if everyone who uses the site would agree to post only articles we've read fully and that we think have specific value to readers, and to state in the post w…
Swede: " I believe the folks over at GMO had a few sips ...."
The difference is that while GMO has let cash build somewhat in their funds, they've stayed mostly invested.
I agree with Investor - remember reading at one point that Europe in particular trades at a discount to U.S. most of the time (sorry, no reference). If that's correct, to figure out what level of bargain ex-U.S. might be at any point, you'd need to …
For a pretty good framing/summary of the Fed's considerations at this point, see here. Binya Applebaum, for those not familiar with him, is one of the best financial/econ reporters out there, imho: excellent ability to translate financial-ese and bu…
Reply to @Vert: Good point, comparing to ICMAX. To put numbers on it, ICMAX = 58% cash, +10.5% YTD; ARIVX = 65% cash, +6.0% YTD.
I had a minimum position in Aston based on EC's earlier record at Intrepid, but bailed in January when I noticed that …
David: "Since then, the long Treasury funds have lost more than 12% and long corporate are down nearly 6%."
Fortunately, those are not the only bond options. I'd argue that, for more or less conservative investors, short to intermediate corporate d…
Reply to @Derf: The poster who refers to "the crooked actively managed firms" must have had a rotten experience somewhere along the way, and/or got an A+ on the Bogleheads entrance exam.
I'll be mildly interested to see how the V equity group runs …
Reply to @mohan: Mohan, just quickly on the first question, I didn't write down what DS said last night about the range (yeah, there were a lot of numbers flying around at that point), but as of 10-31, the overlap was 15.6%.
Reply to @David_Snowball: Yep, David is very engaged in his livelihood; that's a gift that keeps on giving, hopefully to shareholders too.
I also enjoyed the interplay between our hosts.
Moved some $ out of MAINX into GBOAX.lw, plan to pick up a chunk of PMHIX after the cap gain distribution, and added NCOAX.lw with some former PIMIX $ that'd been sitting around for a while. The continuing theme is moving assets toward the middle of…
Thanks, David, the call was very informative. I had to miss the first 15 minutes so didn't want to ask something that'd already been covered, but the Q&A period covered what I wanted to hear -- good questions, all.
Mike, they did close it then to new investment through third parties, but you could still open a new individual investor account directly with Sequoia.
If we're talking about gold, as Bee seems to indicate, the simplest explanatory variable, the one that's driven mining activity for decades, is the price of the yellow metal. While there's certainly more to it than price alone, it's the most basic v…
Speaking of Andrew Foster and SFGIX, the latest shareholder letter, here, expands on his macro theme concerning the disconnect between the standard EM index and the actual economies of developing countries as they transition away from near-total exp…
Reply to @DavidV: This may or may not be helpful, but it's difficult to generalize; reading the prospectus for a given fund is the only way to know the level of flexibility that's built in. After you know that, it's easier to judge what the manager'…
Reply to @hank: Hank, they are the same fund: I class PAUIX vs. D class PAUDX - also see both shown here.
The portfolio info at the Pimco site is the most reliable and up-to-date. RA cut back on the "inflation" strategy earlier; the big drivers of …
Some great zingers in there. Here's the page with the full quarterly letter (free, no-hassle registration required), which includes Ben Inker describing how the GMOers have changed their methodology for their 7-year outlook. They've broadened the se…
Tip, if you sell now and switch to an index fund, remember to factor in that you'll owe tax on all the cap gains you've racked up over the past 20 years.
I owned Appleseed through the fund's back office when the E.R. was jacked up as described. That was my introduction to the system; you pay the higher NTF E.R. whether you buy the fund through the supermarket or not.
For those who think "destructive" inflation is right around the corner, here's a piece (and there are many others like it from actual economists, rather than money managers who think they're economists) that may bring on some cognitive dissonance.
…
Skeet ... I've subscribed to his weekly e-mail since I first heard of it, I think close to 2 yrs. now. I used the sector momentum ratings for a while to tactically buy & sell sector etf's. It's very much workable to do that, but the amount I fel…
The Ron Rowland/Invest with an Edge style-box momentum lead just recently switched from small and mid caps, the leaders for many months, to large caps.
Reply to @Charles: Bill the G. also pushed out duration in BOND from 4.9 ~ a month ago to 5.3 now, according to the Pimco etf site, and even PIMIX is keeping duration in the high 4's.
Reply to @mohan: I saw that this morning and wondered the same thing.
According to Yahoo price quotes, it opened on Oct. 3, so DS was probably buying over the course of the month and missed interest payments that would have come in if he'd been in…
Reply to @willmatt72: I know. They opened up a whole new opportunity set, and once you get to looking at all the options, it looks like a whole new ballgame.
I looked up GBOAX (also load-waived at Fido), and it looks like an interesting global fund. Looks to be pretty actively managed, & not that they're especially comparable, but it did better than MAINX during the taper tantrum.
Reply to @TSP_Transfer: I like the looks of TGMEX so far, too. Right, their commentary is really detailed on both fund positioning and investment environment.
Reply to @Vert: Hi Vert, no bond expert here, but my guess would be it's mainly a result of bargain-hunting management of a very small level of assets versus an enormous fund without a lot of room to add value. VWEHX is over $16 billion.
But don't…
Reply to @Old_Joe: I dunno -- seems like this kind of fund is in a pretty sweet spot now, and maybe they're only rarely in a really bad spot because they've typically got some, but not a whole lot, of both kinds of bond risk. So it might not be a ba…
Reply to @hank: I bought and sold RPIBX several years ago, before the crash, based on the strength of the euro. It was so heavily invested in developed-market, low-yielding, higher quality investment-grade debt that the currency movements totally ov…
Reply to @MaxBialystock: I think it's M* that says it's a "world" bond fund; I don't think they have categories for foreign regional bond funds.
Willmatt, it's not an EM bond fund either ... Asia includes a slug of developed markets/economies too,…
