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Paul Farrell: Beware Of Predictions, Optimism Bias
Seriously, Farrell is a joke. His opening statement is more indicative of confirmation bias rather than optimism bias. He is a disgrace to the field of Behavioral Economics and Psychology
I totally agree with Ted. Paul himself has made a whole bunch of predictions that did not pan out. I do not read his articles except when I stumble upon when someone links here.
In most of his articles these days, he makes outrageous claims and predictions that are consistently and persistently biased towards extreme pessimism. If you took Paul's advise your probably sat the whole bull out.
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In most of his articles these days, he makes outrageous claims and predictions that are consistently and persistently biased towards extreme pessimism. If you took Paul's advise your probably sat the whole bull out.