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US stock markets fall again as Trump calls Fed chair ‘a major loser’

Following are excerpts from a current report in The Guardian:

President amps up attacks against Jerome Powell, pushing him to lower interest rates to offset impact of tariffs
US stock markets fell again on Monday as Donald Trump continued attacks against the Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, who the US president called “a major loser” for not lowering interest rates. “There can be a slowing of the economy unless Mr. Too Late, a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW,” Trump wrote on social media.

In recent days, Trump has amped up attacks against the Fed chair, pushing Powell to lower interest rates to offset the inflationary impacts of the new tariffs. Trump is pressuring the Fed to cut rates, likely to appease the stock market, which plummeted after he announced his newest slate of tariffs. But Wall Street isn’t taking the bait and appears to be reacting in opposition to Trump’s attacks against Powell and the independence of the US central bank.

The Dow ended the day down 2.5%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite fell over 2.5% down and the S&P 500 fell 2.4%. Former tech stocks favorites including Tesla and Nvidia lost ground, while the value of the dollar fell to multiyear lows against most major currencies. Stock markets had recovered the losses they endured after Trump rolled out his “liberation day” tariffs proposals, which would have imposed huge levies on all of the US’s trading partners. But almost all the gains made in the stock market following Trump’s announcement of a 90-day pause of his so-called reciprocal tariffs have been erased amid these new jabs against Powell.

Powell, known to be extremely measured in his public remarks, has in recent weeks spoken out about Trump’s tariffs and warned that they may lead to a “challenging scenario” for the Fed, implying that the Fed has no plans to cut interest rates anytime soon: “Tariffs are highly likely to generate at least a temporary rise in inflation. The inflation effects could also be more persistent,” Powell told reporters on 16 April.

US inflation peaked at 9% in June 2022 but has slowly come down over the last few years, largely due to the Fed’s careful adjustment of interest rates. The Fed has set its inflation rate target at 2%. Powell often refers to the central bank’s “dual mandate” – to keep inflation in check while maximising employment. Higher interest rates can bring down prices, though it can come at the risk of higher unemployment. Over the last few years, the Fed has been able to bring down inflation while keeping the unemployment rate relatively low, around 4%. Last month, inflation cooled to 2.4%, though the most recent government figures do not account for the Trump tariffs.

The Fed has long been treated as a nonpartisan, nonpolitical federal agency, though Trump has recently floated the idea of terminating Powell, whose term is up in May 2026. “Powell’s termination cannot come fast enough!” Trump wrote on social media last week.

Such a move would be unprecedented and would likely put Wall Street into a further tailspin. In an interview with CNBC, Krishna Guha, the vice-chair of Evercore ISI, an equity research firm, said that there would be a “severe reaction” from markets if Trump fires Powell. “I can’t believe that’s what the administration is trying to achieve,” Guha said.

It’s also unclear whether Trump has the authority to remove Powell from his post. The supreme court is currently hearing a case that could give Trump more power to fire federal officials before their terms are up, though it’s unclear whether that could reach the Fed. Last week, Powell emphasized the importance of the Fed’s independence from political forces: “Our independence is a matter of law,” Powell said. “We serve very long terms, seemingly endless terms, so we’re protected by the law.”

But that doesn’t mean the Trump administration isn’t trying. On Friday, White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett told reporters that the administration “will continue to study” if they can legally fire Powell.

Fed officials meet monthly to discuss potential changes to the interest rate. The next meeting between officials will take place 6 and 7 May.

Comments

  • Many experts say if the regime fires Powell the markets would have a fit. As long as the regime is exploring purging the Fed I can’t imagine putting new money in the market. Of course some of our colleagues here have more guts than me.
  • edited April 21
    Ditto, I think the next few months will get worse as job loses and federal spending cutbacks hit the numbers. All for a sudden it's Powell's fault, tariffs have nothing to do with it. What a fustercluck.
  • "Another potential consequence of Powell’s removal would be an erosion of confidence in US assets as reliable, safe havens for international investors. If the United States’ financial and political system is perceived as unstable and critical policies are unpredictable, foreign investors may demand a higher return on their money to compensate for those risks. Powell seems to have alluded to this issue in recent remarks, saying that if uncertainty remains high, 'that would weigh on investment just in general” and the US would be “less attractive as a jurisdiction.'"

    "Tang explains that in an uncertain environment, the risk premium of investing in the US should be higher. He says the implication of this is higher bond yields and lower asset prices. If the Fed is seen as unreliable or politically compromised, foreign investors could also look elsewhere—'capital flight' in Wall Street lingo."

    https://www.morningstar.com/markets/why-feds-independence-matters-markets-economy-your-wallet
  • $1.4 trillion was erased from the markets today. The USA 2024 trade deficit for goods was $1.2 trillion, therefore the loss in equity market cap today equals 1 trade deficit.

    This highlights the need to quickly close these trade deals.
  • What trade deals are you waiting for? The deals our former allies and trading partners make with each other? Shithead declared bankruptcy six times and couldn’t make money with a casino. A real great dealmaker. Or upon second reading you were being sarcastic! I am so dense.
  • Larry - Take a chill pill, I share your concern!
  • Pop! Good advice. Thanks.
  • The puerile immaturity of the Toddler-in-Chief defies belief ... but then again, what do you expect from him.
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