I know (or think I do) that if you own something like T. Rowe’s RPSIX that the NAV at the end of the day reflects the combined NAVs of the underlying OEFs. But what about an etf comprised of other etfs - all of which trade and reprice continuously during the day? Is the conglomerate etf’s bid / ask price always representative of the aggregate prices of those underlying etfs (which are constantly changing throughout the day )? Or is it more “loosely-goosey” with traders focusing primarily on the bid / ask price of the combined etf? In this case, pricing might not always accurately reflect the value of those underlying funds. For the sake of argument, let’s assume that the underlying etfs are actively managed.
I think I know the answer. It would seem virtually impossible for the bid / ask price of an etf consisting of 30+ underlying etfs to represent accurately the combined price of all of those underlying funds at any given moment during the day. So it would seem that an etf “fund of etfs”’s pricing during the day is much less representative of the value its underlying assets than that of an OEF is when its NAV / price is determined at day’s end. Am I close?
Appreciate any explanations / thoughts.
Comments
You got it but I would not concern myself with the issue as long as you are following the other rules of ETF investing.
IOW, what you're asking is just a variant of a question already addressed (knowing an ETF's NAV). In math terminology, your problem can be reduced to a previously-solved problem.
See Boiling Water joke.
Until a few years ago, all ETFs were required to publish Intraday Indicative Values (IIVs), aka intraday NAVs (iNAV) every 15 seconds that purportedly "indicated" the NAV.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/etf-eulogy-inav-190000321.html
In this case, pricing might not always accurately reflect the value of those underlying funds.
That's true for "vanilla" ETFs as well. This is why Authorized Participants exist. They arbitrage away these discrepancies. They buy ETF shares and redeem them when the shares are underpriced, and do the reverse when shares are overpriced. Consequently ETF prices don't wildly diverge from values.
Same might be said of ”value” “momentum” and ”contrarian” investors.
Thank guys. It sounds like market forces, especially the role of arbitrage players, serve to keep bid / ask prices fairly well in line with the values of the underlying assets. My error was in thinking small (as in small investors). The big players likely have a gargantuan amount of data about the etf’s holdings on their computers and are able more or less to “ride herd” over bid / ask prices - raking in quick profits if bid / ask get too far out of line.