How To Prepare Your Portfolio For The Worst When The Worst Is A Real Possibility

FYI: Doomsday scenarios don’t have to come with the hype, speed, and spectacle of a Hollywood blockbuster. The biggest threats today are slower-moving and decidedly less visual: The U.S.-China trade war could become an all-out conflict that plunges the world into recession and undoes globalization; a Japan-like deflationary funk could spread through the U.S. and Europe; or state-sponsored hackers could paralyze critical infrastructure, undermining confidence and sparking a cyberwar.

A relatively healthy U.S. economy, along with global central banks’ willingness to cut interest rates, have allowed some measure of optimism, despite alarming headlines. In fact, investors’ equity holdings as a share of their financial assets hovered around 30% earlier this year; the last time it was higher was in the late 1990s.

But that’s exactly why some strategists, fund managers, and financial advisors are beginning to consider the investment versions of survivalists’ supplies, including Spam, gas masks, and gold. “It’s really the first time in seven or eight years that we are starting to meaningfully derisk across portfolios,” says David Carter, chief investment officer at Lenox Wealth Advisors, which oversees $2 billion. “Whether the tariff war escalates or lingers, the downside is a no-growth world where risk sentiment evaporates. And central banks around the world are trying to provide a safety net, but it’s a small net with a lot of holes.”
Regards,
Ted
https://www.barrons.com/articles/how-to-prepare-your-portfolio-for-the-worst-when-the-worst-is-a-real-possibility-51566603417?mod=past_editions