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Sentiment & Market Indicators, 12/24/25

SENTIMENT & MARKET INDICATORS, 12/24/25
AAII Bull-Bear Spread +2.6% (below average)
CNN Fear & Greed Index 58 (greed)
NYSE %Above 50-dMA 58.41% (positive)
SP500 %Above 50-dMA 62.80% (positive)
These are contrarian indicators.

Edit/Add. AAII & CNN sentiments are moving in opposite directions. %Above 50-dMA are flat.

INVESTOR CONCERNS: Fed, dollar, debt, budget, tariffs, inflation, jobs, recession, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (199+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+27 weeks; fragile peace).
For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down.

Delayed jobs & inflation reports used questionable assumptions. Strong Q3 GDP was from AI capex. ACA premium subsidy is a tax credit & the vote will be in 2026. Regional Fed Bank Presidents were reappointed in December for 5-yr terms.
#AAII #CNN #Sentiment
https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/2359/thread
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