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Market timing is just gambling:

edited 2:15PM in Fund Discussions
One more post that timing the market is just gambling:

I reduced my equity holdings from 45% to 30% over the summer thinking things were too overvalued and told myself I will not buy until October which is normally not a good month. FOMO was hard as everything was going higher and higher just about EVERY day but I wasn't going to budge! I apologize for not alerting the board that I was going back to 45% November 3rd. The last 2 days are just a slap in the face which as we all know happens to all of us. Down days after a big purchase. I will follow my asset allocation plan, I will follow my asset allocation plan. I will continue to type that 100 times as punishment for bad behavior. UGH

Comments

  • It's human nature to want to protect what you have built. It works against us sometimes, no doubt.

  • edited 2:49PM
    Thanks for sharing your story but don't be too hard on yourself.
    Many extraordinary events have occurred this year which potentially
    could — and still may — destabilize equity markets.
  • Whenever we buy something, barring those with recurring fixed increments, we're guessing. Hopefully, with at least some reasoning and logic involved. It's all a matter of degree.
  • If it makes you feel any better (and I'm doubtful) even the most savvy get it wrong sometimes. See BRK and its investment in AAPL. Granted they made a huge pile while they held it but look what's happened since they started selling.
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