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AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/2/25

yogibearbullyogibearbull
edited July 10 in Other Investing
AAII Sentiment Survey, 7/2/25
BULLISH became the top sentiment (45.0%, above average) & neutral remained the bottom sentiment (21.9%, low*); bearish became the middle sentiment (33.1%, above average); Bull-Bear Spread was +11.9% (above average). Investor concerns: Tariffs, budget, jobs, inflation, recession, Fed, debt, dollar, geopolitical, Russia-Ukraine (175+ weeks), Israel-Hamas (67+14 weeks). For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks up, bonds up, oil up, gold up, dollar down. NYSE %Above 50-dMA 78.77% (overbought oversold). The Senate version of the budget bill is now at the House. July 9 tariff deadline is next week. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
Sentiments are CONTRARIAN indicators.
*Uncertainty in the outlook is unusually low.
https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/2073/thread

Comments

  • a2z

    so do you track anything where sentiment is just a component of forward probabilities?
    or is this all collapsed under the term 'sentiment' ?
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