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AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/7/23

yogibearbullyogibearbull
in Other Investing
AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/7/23

Vow! Bullish became the top sentiment (44.5%; above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (24.3%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.2%; near average); Bull-Bear Spread was +24.3% (above average). Investor concerns: Inflation (moderating but high); economy; the Fed; dollar; crypto regulations; market volatility (VIX, VXN, MOVE); Russia-Ukraine war (67+ weeks, 2/24/22- ); geopolitical. For the Survey week (Th-Wed), stocks were up, bonds down, oil up sharply, gold down, dollar down a bit. Post-debt-ceiling, yields to rise, financial liquidity to drain due to huge Treasury issuances. #AAII #Sentiment #Markets
https://ybbpersonalfinance.proboards.com/post/1062/thread

Comments

  • Sven
    AAII Sentiment Survey, 6/7/23

    Vow! Bullish became the top sentiment (44.5%; above average) & bearish became the bottom sentiment (24.3%; below average); neutral remained the middle sentiment (31.2%; near average)
    Big changes from a week ago based on whether the debt-ceiling deal will pass which it did ! The bulls went from 29% to 40% in one week.
  • yogibearbullyogibearbull
    Prior attempts for bullish turns fizzled in 2022 and 2023YTD, so watch if the BIG turn this week sticks. Max bullish was 75%, far from where we are, and 50s become high. Remember, sentiment surveys are contrarian, so buy/hold when max bearishness, sell when max bullishness.
  • Sven
    edited June 2023
    Exactly! Investor sentiment reflects their emotion. Money flow is more reliable on their buy/sell decision. Inflation data will be released next week and FOMC meeting take place on the same week.

    CME FedWatch say the Fed will hold in June. https://cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html

    Canada hiked their rate surprisingly this month. It appears inflation is still sticky everywhere.
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