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The Surprising S&P Stock Returns After A Fed Pause
"A long Fed pause, hopefully in 2023, might lead to surprising stock returns based on the effect of such pauses over the past 25 years. There have been five such pauses of over a year after the Fed began either to raise rates, such as now, or to drop them. In each case, the market showed outstanding gains during the paused period. We don't know when, or if the Fed will take a long pause during the current rising rate cycle, but if they do, investors will, in all likelihood, do quite well."
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https://reuters.com/markets/us/recession-drumbeat-gets-louder-more-us-ceos-strike-mellow-note-2023-2022-12-09/