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2-yr yield is well correlated with the fed fund rates (shown is the upper-limit) but it has sprinted far ahead. Bond market controls the 10-yr yield. This chart will have a different look on refresh tomorrow afternoon. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=TVcz
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https://www.cnbc.com/2022/09/21/what-the-inverted-yield-curve-means-for-your-portfolio-.html